Conscious-War — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$314

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-12 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$1

Sports

25% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	9	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	02-11 04:03
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5	4	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 00:55
nba sas lal 2026 02 10 spread away 8pt5	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 05:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	07-25 02:35
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 05:53
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5	3	$3	22	0	+22	open	—	04-27 00:53
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 23:52
epl not wol 2026 02 11 not	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 21:16
bitcoin up or down february 11 2am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:35
epl sun liv 2026 02 11 btts	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 22:07
dota2 spirit1 vpp 2026 02 11	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 15:55
nba mia nop 2026 02 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 03:25
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 17:28
ethereum up or down february 11 2am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:59
mls laf col 2026 04 22 total 2pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 04:31
sol updown 15m 1770793200	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	02-11 07:05
itc bol laz 2026 02 11 bol	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 21:56
dfb bay rbl 2026 02 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 21:47
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 16:04
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 05:43
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 04:14
Will Llaneros FC vs. Alianza FC end in a draw?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 17:05
eth updown 15m 1770793200	13	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:15
nba okc phx 2026 02 11	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 03:03
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-23 03:29
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 18:31
btc updown 15m 1770793200	19	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 00:14
nba sas lal 2026 02 10 total 225pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 18:07:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf77a9b…
08-12 18:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x7957a9…
08-12 18:06:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x86721c…
08-09 23:20:45	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3fbb76…
08-08 13:26:54	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x63b75f…
08-01 06:25:44	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a52e3…
08-01 06:10:30	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21694b…
08-01 06:04:17	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c0d75…
07-27 03:44:33	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51234c…
07-27 01:25:21	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6bb8b…
07-26 01:58:49	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb7233a…
07-26 00:48:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9fb5a…
07-25 16:59:49	ufc riz tfortu 2026 07 25	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d878c…
07-25 16:29:45	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x6b193a…
07-25 16:29:45	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x5dd2c6…
07-25 16:29:43	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xba0319…
07-25 16:29:43	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x8f62f8…
07-25 16:29:42	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb9df2e…
07-25 16:29:42	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x4f331c…
07-25 16:29:36	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xe20b9d…
07-25 16:29:12	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf39387…
07-25 16:29:09	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x392869…
07-25 16:28:40	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x3cbce5…
07-25 02:35:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x245e0e…
07-25 00:52:28	ufc avagae say1 2026 07 25	Saygid Izagakhmaev	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6ff4c6…
07-25 00:50:00	ufc dus3 msaid 2026 07 25	Muhammad Said	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x666fc1…
07-25 00:49:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x8f3639…
07-24 21:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x723838…
07-07 17:10:59	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x863f9f…
07-06 22:31:31	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82281d…
07-04 02:59:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea0cf3…
07-02 05:25:29	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f64c1…
07-01 14:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c78b0…
07-01 13:53:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc2d79b…
07-01 13:53:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd104a2…
07-01 11:44:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf15f9f…
07-01 10:45:28	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x153324…
07-01 10:36:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x694236…
07-01 10:13:46	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0544ab…
07-01 09:12:44	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7d626…
07-01 08:01:22	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc902b5…
06-25 06:55:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc45bff…
06-25 04:33:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x041b21…
06-25 01:03:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x268df9…
06-25 00:18:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfb66ed…
06-24 15:53:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xc54d50…
06-24 12:27:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14a538…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda8ab5…
06-24 12:18:23	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe70a…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbe39d3…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x78a85a…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36ba26…
06-24 12:18:23	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3194e5…
06-14 16:28:31	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe159ee…
06-14 16:28:30	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6674d7…
06-14 16:28:28	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x553efa…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7e80e7…
06-13 22:06:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xad2e12…
06-11 02:29:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6f7379…
06-10 18:32:00	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b08b7…
06-10 18:31:04	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe8d311…
06-10 18:30:31	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd1f74a…
06-05 04:30:22	will anthropics valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb9952c…
06-04 09:09:22	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3289e9…
06-04 09:01:45	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	Aurora	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2420b…
06-04 00:48:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1e527e…
06-04 00:40:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6005ae…
06-03 22:39:54	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3e06d7…
06-03 21:45:30	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdc9918…
06-03 21:43:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xac7b3b…
06-03 21:43:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xae4304…
06-03 18:37:54	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x427abb…
06-03 16:33:10	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedf870…
06-03 15:13:57	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xfbe51b…
06-03 14:09:56	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6828e7…
06-02 21:22:55	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbfc240…
06-02 21:08:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x2693ba…
06-02 20:35:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x872603…
06-02 20:08:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc9272b…
06-02 18:56:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x28d0b4…
06-02 06:30:03	Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ddc2f…
06-01 21:20:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1356a0…
06-01 17:07:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a21dd…
06-01 15:53:58	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31640b…
06-01 12:53:46	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3833b3…
06-01 12:31:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xad9b28…
06-01 12:10:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x201198…
05-29 06:12:06	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x460c49…
05-29 00:01:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f2a71…
05-28 18:49:13	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa40db3…
05-28 17:43:08	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x502011…
05-28 17:28:36	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8331ed…
05-28 16:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6dba60…
05-28 15:56:42	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6fd322…
05-28 15:52:05	Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)	TLN Pirates	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x335801…
05-28 11:34:26	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1fb532…
05-28 11:03:08	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0452be…
05-28 11:00:03	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x608991…
05-28 09:53:15	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf5fd9e…
05-28 08:18:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb890fe…