Conscious-War — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$301

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-07 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$1

Sports

26% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+5	$1	46¢	$2	+$1	07-01 13:53
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes		+2	$1	50¢	$1	+$0	07-06 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	9	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	02-11 04:03
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5	4	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 00:55
nba sas lal 2026 02 10 spread away 8pt5	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 05:31
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 05:53
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5	3	$3	22	0	+22	open	—	04-27 00:53
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 23:52
epl not wol 2026 02 11 not	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 21:16
bitcoin up or down february 11 2am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:35
epl sun liv 2026 02 11 btts	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 22:07
dota2 spirit1 vpp 2026 02 11	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 15:55
nba mia nop 2026 02 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 03:25
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 17:28
ethereum up or down february 11 2am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:59
mls laf col 2026 04 22 total 2pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 04:31
sol updown 15m 1770793200	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	02-11 07:05
itc bol laz 2026 02 11 bol	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 21:56
dfb bay rbl 2026 02 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 21:47
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 16:04
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 05:43
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 04:14
Will Llaneros FC vs. Alianza FC end in a draw?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 01:06
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 17:05
eth updown 15m 1770793200	13	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:15
nba okc phx 2026 02 11	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 03:03
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-23 03:29
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-10 18:31
btc updown 15m 1770793200	19	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-11 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 00:14
nba sas lal 2026 02 10 total 225pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 05:51
nba sas lal 2026 02 10 spread away 14pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-11 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:10:59	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x863f9f…
07-06 22:31:31	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82281d…
07-04 02:59:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea0cf3…
07-02 05:25:29	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f64c1…
07-01 14:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c78b0…
07-01 13:53:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc2d79b…
07-01 13:53:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd104a2…
07-01 11:44:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf15f9f…
07-01 10:45:28	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x153324…
07-01 10:36:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x694236…
07-01 10:13:46	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0544ab…
07-01 09:12:44	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7d626…
07-01 08:01:22	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 2pt5	T1	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc902b5…
06-25 06:55:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc45bff…
06-25 04:33:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x041b21…
06-25 01:03:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x268df9…
06-25 00:18:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfb66ed…
06-24 15:53:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xc54d50…
06-24 12:27:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14a538…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda8ab5…
06-24 12:18:23	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbfe70a…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbe39d3…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x78a85a…
06-24 12:18:23	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x36ba26…
06-24 12:18:23	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3194e5…
06-14 16:28:31	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe159ee…
06-14 16:28:30	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6674d7…
06-14 16:28:28	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x553efa…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7e80e7…
06-13 22:06:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xad2e12…
06-11 02:29:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6f7379…
06-10 18:32:00	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b08b7…
06-10 18:31:04	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe8d311…
06-10 18:30:31	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd1f74a…
06-05 04:30:22	will anthropics valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb9952c…
06-04 09:09:22	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3289e9…
06-04 09:01:45	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04	Aurora	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2420b…
06-04 00:48:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1e527e…
06-04 00:40:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6005ae…
06-03 22:39:54	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3e06d7…
06-03 21:45:30	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdc9918…
06-03 21:43:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xac7b3b…
06-03 21:43:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xae4304…
06-03 18:37:54	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x427abb…
06-03 16:33:10	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedf870…
06-03 15:13:57	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xfbe51b…
06-03 14:09:56	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6828e7…
06-02 21:22:55	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbfc240…
06-02 21:08:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x2693ba…
06-02 20:35:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x872603…
06-02 20:08:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xc9272b…
06-02 18:56:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x28d0b4…
06-02 06:30:03	Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ddc2f…
06-01 21:20:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1356a0…
06-01 17:07:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a21dd…
06-01 15:53:58	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31640b…
06-01 12:53:46	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3833b3…
06-01 12:31:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xad9b28…
06-01 12:10:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x201198…
05-29 06:12:06	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x460c49…
05-29 00:01:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f2a71…
05-28 18:49:13	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa40db3…
05-28 17:43:08	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x502011…
05-28 17:28:36	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8331ed…
05-28 16:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6dba60…
05-28 15:56:42	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6fd322…
05-28 15:52:05	Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)	TLN Pirates	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x335801…
05-28 11:34:26	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1fb532…
05-28 11:03:08	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0452be…
05-28 11:00:03	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x608991…
05-28 09:53:15	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf5fd9e…
05-28 08:18:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb890fe…
05-28 02:18:17	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6112c3…
05-27 17:05:45	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeb9358…
05-27 16:05:22	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdb533e…
05-27 16:04:46	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc364d5…
05-27 13:28:57	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00002f…
05-27 13:28:41	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59c980…
05-27 13:28:29	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6c41b…
05-27 13:20:17	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x143988…
05-27 12:08:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc00aa…
05-27 10:23:38	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0a601…
05-27 09:52:57	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfbf6a5…
05-27 09:31:06	Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	GLYPH	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2497a5…
05-26 13:57:37	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e809d…
05-16 07:34:37	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc08a1a…
05-16 03:03:34	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4a897…
05-15 20:42:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xdeee83…
05-15 18:28:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x1fac8a…
05-15 18:28:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x15b084…
05-15 16:21:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xa9a824…
05-15 16:21:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x7f08a2…
05-15 16:20:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xfda015…
05-15 16:20:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x5fd942…
05-15 16:20:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x48187d…
05-15 06:36:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb8a95…
05-14 16:06:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f28c7…
05-14 14:36:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf1592…
05-14 14:35:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xcd5456…
05-14 14:34:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x72d5b6…