(anonymous) 0x5641fd…bf2038
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$311
Unrealized P&L
+$458
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
32
Trades
261
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$2.43K
20 positions
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-31 02:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
61% 33% -$462
Politics
33% 73% +$485
Crypto
4% 25% -$90
Tech
2% 0% -$244
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +960 $890 94¢ $907 +$17 10-29 21:29
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +270 $17 100¢ $270 +$253 10-29 23:10
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +273 $260 99¢ $269 +$9 10-26 15:54
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +217 $177 90¢ $197 +$20 10-29 22:47
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +670 $136 26¢ $171 +$35 10-31 02:21
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +170 $129 62¢ $105 -$25 10-29 15:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $45 97¢ $97 +$52 10-29 22:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +255 $45 32¢ $83 +$38 10-29 23:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +100 $59 64¢ $64 +$5 10-24 22:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $31 42¢ $42 +$12 10-12 16:16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +121 $40 34¢ $41 +$1 10-29 21:01
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $29 36¢ $36 +$8 10-12 23:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $27 12¢ $35 +$8 10-15 20:39
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +63 $8 52¢ $33 +$25 10-29 22:42
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $32 30¢ $30 -$2 10-28 23:35
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +600 $16 4¢ $26 +$10 10-29 17:53
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +47 $16 38¢ $18 +$3 10-29 22:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-16 12:36
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $13 0¢ $1 -$12 10-26 22:34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +1 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 10-27 12:08