Equal-Gear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

573

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$54.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 11-05 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

53% 39% -$532

Crypto

43% 66% -$727

Politics

4% 27% -$227

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+200	$10	7¢	$13	+$3	11-03 05:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+261	$10	3¢	$7	-$3	11-03 05:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	2	$2.1K	1,144	1,137	+7	No	+$143	04-18 03:16
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	4	$1.7K	2,018	1,956	+63	No	+$131	04-20 07:37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	2	$1.6K	823	823	+0	No	+$42	09-26 07:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$1.5K	812	812	+0	No	+$101	09-29 01:12
lol tes blg 2026 04 16	6	$1.3K	1,050	1,050	+0	Top Esports	-$265	04-16 12:42
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	3	$1.2K	784	780	+4	No	-$244	04-21 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,242	1,242	+0	Yes	-$485	09-29 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$1.0K	619	619	+0	No	+$222	09-25 17:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	2	$1.0K	533	533	+0	No	+$53	09-12 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$919	490	490	+0	No	+$59	09-11 08:51
j1100 ver jef 2026 04 18 ver	2	$870	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	04-18 06:47
dota2 aur1 sar1 2026 04 18	5	$858	500	499	+1	Aurora	+$10	04-18 12:53
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	5	$762	512	512	+0	Yes	-$97	09-15 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	3	$752	425	425	+0	No	+$97	09-08 08:52
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$711	442	442	+0	Yes	-$89	09-07 00:55
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	9	$641	342	342	+0	No	+$41	09-17 18:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	2	$590	397	397	+0	Yes	+$50	09-21 00:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:00 UTC	2	$571	292	291	+1	Down	+$11	04-02 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$477	367	367	+0	Yes	+$257	08-25 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:55 UTC	1	$443	447	0	+447	Down	+$4	04-08 11:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	1	$427	437	0	+437	No	+$10	09-08 10:48
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	2	$404	218	216	+1	No	+$29	04-22 08:30
lol bro1 foxy 2026 04 17	2	$385	250	250	+0	BNK FearX Youth	+$15	04-17 06:11
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	5	$369	379	379	+0	Yes	+$269	09-22 13:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	2	$365	421	421	+0	Yes	+$165	08-31 12:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$354	665	665	+0	No	-$230	09-30 14:20
highest temperature in ankara on april 23 2026 7c	10	$344	400	300	+100	No	-$50	04-23 12:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 04:45 UTC	1	$338	355	0	+355	Down	+$18	04-09 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:55 UTC	1	$334	338	0	+338	Down	+$3	04-09 03:59
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	2	$306	200	199	+1	No	-$51	04-10 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 09:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1006d3…
11-05 09:23:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4cafba…
11-04 16:38:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xeab47d…
11-03 10:08:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x82b105…
11-03 09:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xd6cfde…
11-03 09:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xcb8b9c…
11-03 05:47:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$20	0x0c0cb0…
11-03 05:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x056fc2…
11-03 05:41:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	261	4¢	$10	0xabc62e…
11-03 05:41:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xfc82cc…
11-02 09:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x63a2e2…
11-02 09:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x8a5e33…
11-02 09:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf81be5…
11-01 13:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x0d6cbd…
10-31 13:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xee0428…
10-30 09:58:49	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc38c61…
10-29 09:48:59	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf07be2…
10-29 09:39:29	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	32	80¢	$26	0x75e285…
10-29 09:38:50	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa3cc33…
10-29 09:34:31	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd9b437…
10-28 13:24:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd32a4e…
10-28 09:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x9e6753…
10-28 08:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x2add80…
10-28 08:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x293803…
10-28 08:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0xf62133…
10-28 08:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x3ddc2e…
10-27 13:16:56	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Namibia	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x3723c6…
10-27 13:08:17	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Namibia	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x31d76e…
10-26 13:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xcad769…
10-25 13:35:35	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	Pakistan	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x49a8b4…
10-24 16:25:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfe0090…
10-20 03:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x73f851…
10-19 12:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe1adeb…
10-19 04:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x37b6ad…
10-18 03:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x328516…
10-18 03:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	39	43¢	$17	0x8bba14…
10-18 01:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6f3347…
10-17 13:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7fa371…
10-17 02:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xeb226a…
10-16 02:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0xf4e625…
10-15 15:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x54b2cd…
10-15 13:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0dc6dc…
10-14 13:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x08cdf6…
10-07 16:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x907d14…
10-07 16:16:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	16¢	$15	0x118e3a…
10-07 10:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	26¢	$24	0xf7bd7e…
10-06 13:15:43	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	49¢	$26	0x8482e8…
10-05 02:22:28	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0x70d901…
10-05 02:20:50	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	23¢	$22	0x41ea6a…
10-04 11:31:13	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x0c3544…
10-03 15:44:17	West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	India	SELL	56	48¢	$27	0x7ef57c…
10-03 13:15:20	West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x35e3e9…
10-03 08:11:30	Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India	India	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x4fad1f…
10-03 04:09:47	Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India	India	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xc96d86…
10-02 07:49:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x18dfbc…
10-01 13:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	21	79¢	$16	0x253658…
10-01 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xd7ef9b…
10-01 11:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x83a6ba…
10-01 08:52:51	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x869e20…
09-30 14:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	665	9¢	$62	0xcc0b92…
09-30 05:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	665	44¢	$292	0x16a101…
09-29 16:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,242	25¢	$311	0x84c577…
09-29 01:15:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,242	64¢	$796	0x1a237b…
09-29 01:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	812	100¢	$811	0x467ac1…
09-28 06:55:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	812	87¢	$710	0xf9c41b…
09-26 13:08:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x941ed3…
09-26 07:53:44	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xe711ff…
09-26 07:53:05	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x085ff9…
09-26 07:50:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	SELL	823	100¢	$822	0x6c20c5…
09-25 17:27:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	823	95¢	$780	0xf42dbf…
09-25 17:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	619	100¢	$618	0xea5cab…
09-25 17:25:29	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x5eedd4…
09-24 19:58:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	619	64¢	$396	0x689e23…
09-24 03:45:59	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0xd7314a…
09-23 04:00:28	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	30¢	$51	0x643074…
09-22 13:55:37	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0x196d6e…
09-22 13:54:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	98¢	$115	0x855866…
09-22 11:41:57	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	74¢	$123	0x6d3ed4…
09-22 10:46:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?	Yes	BUY	134	7¢	$10	0xa79e3c…
09-21 13:29:03	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0x2b1798…
09-21 06:13:47	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0x7894ac…
09-21 00:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	397	81¢	$320	0x739433…
09-20 11:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	397	68¢	$270	0x43f4af…
09-19 04:29:57	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	13¢	$50	0x2f32a6…
09-19 02:46:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	388	3¢	$10	0xecaa1c…
09-19 02:45:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0xaca36d…
09-17 18:15:40	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x39103c…
09-17 16:16:06	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe8d2fb…
09-17 15:05:40	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0a0bf2…
09-17 13:56:45	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x2ca050…
09-17 12:56:01	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x99e4cd…
09-17 10:41:19	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdb5283…
09-17 08:43:55	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x127ab4…
09-17 08:43:55	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0fbf07…
09-16 06:21:06	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	342	88¢	$300	0x78c8e5…
09-15 12:18:27	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	54¢	$112	0x43098d…
09-14 16:20:54	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x5cc39e…
09-14 16:03:06	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x76a47b…
09-14 12:47:10	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	76¢	$193	0x3c1f51…
09-13 19:27:34	Will White House post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	84¢	$430	0x378d1a…