Harmonious-Buzzard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

778

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-26 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Politics

42% 0% —

Other

6% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$9.0K	7,778	7,778	+0	open	—	02-28 07:03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$8.3K	7,007	7,007	+0	open	—	02-28 06:45
btc updown 5m 1784397300	8	$6.5K	4,128	4,128	+0	open	—	07-18 17:58
btc updown 5m 1784396700	4	$4.8K	5,000	1,694	+3,307	open	—	07-18 17:50
btc updown 5m 1785080400	5	$3.3K	2,642	2,642	+0	open	—	07-26 15:44
btc updown 5m 1784397600	1	$3.0K	7,381	0	+7,381	open	—	07-18 17:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2.5K	16,250	0	+16,250	open	—	03-02 10:32
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$2.4K	32,977	0	+32,977	open	—	01-20 18:30
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$2.0K	25,868	0	+25,868	open	—	01-15 21:37
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$1.9K	27,703	27,703	+0	open	—	01-15 21:37
btc updown 5m 1783607700	2	$1.9K	984	984	+0	open	—	07-09 14:39
btc updown 5m 1783603500	2	$1.7K	931	931	+0	open	—	07-09 13:30
btc updown 5m 1785081000	2	$1.5K	2,115	0	+2,115	open	—	07-26 15:50
btc updown 5m 1783603200	2	$1.5K	781	781	+0	open	—	07-09 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$1.5K	877	877	+0	open	—	06-02 12:54
btc updown 5m 1783602000	2	$1.4K	774	774	+0	open	—	07-09 13:03
btc updown 5m 1783601100	2	$1.3K	704	704	+0	open	—	07-09 12:49
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$1.2K	5,146	0	+5,146	open	—	01-14 18:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$1.2K	739	739	+0	open	—	03-08 21:49
btc updown 5m 1783600200	2	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	07-09 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$1.1K	697	697	+0	open	—	06-02 12:47
btc updown 5m 1783608000	1	$965	1,148	0	+1,148	open	—	07-09 14:43
btc updown 5m 1783599900	2	$962	517	517	+0	open	—	07-09 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$954	1,128	1,128	+0	open	—	06-02 12:59
btc updown 5m 1783597200	2	$861	456	456	+0	open	—	07-09 11:45
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$802	509	509	+0	open	—	03-10 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$765	439	439	+0	open	—	06-02 12:39
btc updown 5m 1783594500	2	$756	420	420	+0	open	—	07-09 10:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$646	3,278	3,278	+0	open	—	05-28 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$626	354	354	+0	open	—	06-02 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 15:50:24	btc updown 5m 1785081000	Up	BUY	891	69¢	$617	0xafe20d…
07-26 15:50:24	btc updown 5m 1785081000	Up	BUY	1,224	76¢	$933	0x5e1f52…
07-26 15:44:52	btc updown 5m 1785080400	Up	SELL	1,214	58¢	$708	0xb9c048…
07-26 15:44:52	btc updown 5m 1785080400	Up	SELL	1,428	74¢	$1,056	0x4e0dd9…
07-26 15:40:58	btc updown 5m 1785080400	Up	BUY	183	63¢	$114	0xeede02…
07-26 15:40:58	btc updown 5m 1785080400	Up	BUY	1,285	57¢	$735	0x99c768…
07-26 15:40:58	btc updown 5m 1785080400	Up	BUY	1,174	60¢	$700	0x9854a8…
07-18 17:59:40	btc updown 5m 1784397600	Down	BUY	7,381	40¢	$2,951	0x3dc749…
07-18 17:58:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	SELL	903	78¢	$704	0xf61468…
07-18 17:58:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	SELL	1,006	86¢	$864	0x882cc8…
07-18 17:58:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	SELL	866	64¢	$558	0x6a9dc4…
07-18 17:58:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	SELL	1,353	72¢	$974	0x263aba…
07-18 17:57:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	BUY	918	88¢	$804	0x9b0b59…
07-18 17:57:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	BUY	1,323	81¢	$1,075	0x7dc0c1…
07-18 17:57:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	BUY	795	90¢	$712	0x4e6155…
07-18 17:57:01	btc updown 5m 1784397300	Up	BUY	1,093	74¢	$809	0x47982e…
07-18 17:50:04	btc updown 5m 1784396700	Up	SELL	1,694	6¢	$109	0x5e8364…
07-18 17:47:34	btc updown 5m 1784396700	Up	BUY	1,584	96¢	$1,524	0xed96ff…
07-18 17:47:33	btc updown 5m 1784396700	Up	BUY	1,644	95¢	$1,559	0x9e4d30…
07-18 17:47:33	btc updown 5m 1784396700	Up	BUY	1,772	91¢	$1,617	0x662746…
07-09 14:43:41	btc updown 5m 1783608000	Up	BUY	1,148	84¢	$965	0x1ebd5c…
07-09 14:39:11	btc updown 5m 1783607700	Up	SELL	984	99¢	$974	0x57efb4…
07-09 14:38:38	btc updown 5m 1783607700	Up	BUY	984	93¢	$915	0x35c1c7…
07-09 13:30:02	btc updown 5m 1783603500	Down	SELL	931	99¢	$922	0x8507d5…
07-09 13:28:38	btc updown 5m 1783603500	Down	BUY	931	81¢	$755	0x86cf87…
07-09 13:23:43	btc updown 5m 1783603200	Down	SELL	781	98¢	$765	0xe529b9…
07-09 13:23:34	btc updown 5m 1783603200	Down	BUY	781	97¢	$755	0xecc5c7…
07-09 13:03:05	btc updown 5m 1783602000	Up	SELL	774	98¢	$758	0xa63c12…
07-09 13:01:37	btc updown 5m 1783602000	Up	BUY	774	89¢	$690	0x07fc63…
07-09 12:49:44	btc updown 5m 1783601100	Down	SELL	704	99¢	$697	0xda36b7…
07-09 12:48:41	btc updown 5m 1783601100	Down	BUY	704	82¢	$580	0x88d477…
07-09 12:35:02	btc updown 5m 1783600200	Down	SELL	592	99¢	$586	0xfc5c20…
07-09 12:32:14	btc updown 5m 1783600200	Down	BUY	592	85¢	$505	0x44d214…
07-09 12:29:49	btc updown 5m 1783599900	Up	SELL	517	99¢	$512	0x2b13e4…
07-09 12:29:31	btc updown 5m 1783599900	Up	BUY	517	87¢	$450	0x7aecbf…
07-09 11:45:01	btc updown 5m 1783597200	Down	SELL	456	99¢	$451	0x55c9f9…
07-09 11:43:23	btc updown 5m 1783597200	Down	BUY	456	90¢	$410	0x2dc181…
07-09 10:59:22	btc updown 5m 1783594500	Up	SELL	420	99¢	$416	0x993bb1…
07-09 10:58:04	btc updown 5m 1783594500	Up	BUY	420	81¢	$340	0xe79d20…
07-09 10:44:49	btc updown 5m 1783593600	Down	BUY	340	85¢	$290	0xe9aebf…
07-09 10:34:56	btc updown 5m 1783593000	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x553de2…
07-09 10:33:40	btc updown 5m 1783593000	Down	BUY	283	76¢	$216	0x4ad21a…
07-09 10:30:02	btc updown 5m 1783592700	Down	SELL	221	99¢	$219	0x4726d2…
07-09 10:28:44	btc updown 5m 1783592700	Down	BUY	221	89¢	$197	0x95ce8f…
06-02 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	329	71¢	$235	0x92c397…
06-02 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	244	98¢	$239	0x721728…
06-02 19:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xc57608…
06-02 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1,128	14¢	$154	0x547490…
06-02 12:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,128	71¢	$800	0xdfca72…
06-02 12:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	877	98¢	$858	0x5ee15a…
06-02 12:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	877	68¢	$600	0x315270…
06-02 12:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	697	91¢	$636	0x76eaa9…
06-02 12:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	697	60¢	$418	0xdd39e1…
06-02 12:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	439	98¢	$430	0x024adb…
06-02 12:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	439	76¢	$335	0xda2859…
06-02 12:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	354	95¢	$336	0xe9a203…
06-02 12:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	354	82¢	$290	0xd8cec8…
06-02 12:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	252	81¢	$204	0x71555b…
06-02 12:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	252	61¢	$155	0x6a85e4…
06-02 12:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xe84de9…
06-02 12:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x3f445e…
06-02 12:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x10f324…
05-28 19:51:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	3,278	0¢	$3	0xc26345…
05-22 19:34:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	3,278	20¢	$643	0xd1fc4f…
05-21 20:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	168	6¢	$10	0x900ada…
05-21 20:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x4314e2…
05-21 19:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	286	47¢	$134	0xeca4fc…
05-21 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xd72244…
05-20 21:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x58054e…
05-20 21:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	81	54¢	$44	0x017b18…
05-20 21:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0xbac609…
05-20 21:03:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	2,094	10¢	$200	0xfffbf9…
04-28 13:30:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xe32252…
04-23 19:51:06	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,097	25¢	$278	0x43fd42…
04-22 06:16:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x8c5105…
04-21 18:16:06	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf3946b…
04-21 17:03:34	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xff59ea…
04-21 17:03:28	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xd00329…
04-21 17:03:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xa23ae2…
04-21 17:03:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	122	1¢	$1	0xa6b7d7…
04-21 17:03:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x6a7d32…
04-21 17:02:48	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xa36211…
04-21 17:02:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x8e9907…
04-21 17:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x592920…
04-21 17:01:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	698	1¢	$5	0x12c0cb…
04-21 17:01:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x80eeec…
04-21 17:01:16	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xecff48…
04-21 17:01:06	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0xae7c27…
04-21 17:00:58	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xa37bc1…
04-21 17:00:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x705bcb…
04-21 17:00:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x51da34…
04-21 17:00:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x5b5e2f…
04-21 16:58:28	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 spread away 4pt5	Rockets	SELL	27	51¢	$14	0xb31566…
04-21 16:58:18	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0x7e8889…
04-21 16:58:12	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	66	81¢	$53	0x09712d…
04-21 16:58:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0c72cd…
04-21 16:57:54	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0xe2a64e…
04-21 16:57:32	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x8b9488…
04-21 16:57:30	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x71e270…
04-21 16:57:28	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa4ceb6…