Honest-Missile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-10 01:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

80% 40% +$1

Other

16% 100% +$1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	+2	$1	57¢	$1	$-0	05-10 01:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	+6	$1	12¢	$1	$-0	05-08 02:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	7¢	$1	$-0	05-08 09:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$8	0	8	-8	Spurs	$-0	05-07 04:43
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$5	0	5	-5	Knicks	$-0	05-09 01:50
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$5	7	0	+7	Knicks	+$2	05-06 09:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-08 02:22
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1	3	0	+3	Pistons	$-1	05-08 00:52
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 01:23
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-08 09:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-08 09:15
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-05 05:30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$1	2	0	+2	Spurs	+$1	05-08 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 01:23:22	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5869b4…
05-09 01:50:32	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xef89a0…
05-08 12:29:31	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x014be8…
05-08 09:16:07	Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x335d52…
05-08 09:15:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x94b5db…
05-08 02:22:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x064f54…
05-08 00:52:17	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4f245d…
05-07 04:43:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x596eaf…
05-06 09:24:44	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x341cdf…
05-05 05:30:06	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x17f2b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	7	$2.51K	132	05-09 15:54
(anonymous) 0x82a5…674e	7	$978	54	05-09 15:40
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	6	$63.8K	999	05-09 08:14
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	6	$32.0K	52	05-09 04:15
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	6	$10.8K	30	05-09 15:20
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	6	$5.93K	64	05-09 23:50
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	6	$4.00K	36	05-09 04:16
Female-Slump-Expedition 0xa623…a4fe	6	$863	14	05-08 23:26