Vigorous-Tenet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-05 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

53% 81% $-17

Crypto

24% — —

Sports

15% 67% +$1

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 gir	7	$127	79	63	+16	open	—	04-10 13:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	16	$121	69	69	+0	open	—	04-22 06:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	6	$69	41	41	+0	open	—	04-22 03:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	4	$49	28	28	+0	open	—	04-21 20:55
nba phi was 2026 04 01	3	$48	35	17	+17	open	—	04-01 08:52
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	3	$46	34	17	+17	open	—	04-07 01:04
sea rom pis 2026 04 10 pis	3	$44	32	16	+16	open	—	04-10 13:35
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-19 13:27
lal esp get 2026 03 21 get	2	$42	38	38	+0	open	—	03-21 16:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	3	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	04-01 01:49
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 total 1pt5	4	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	03-30 19:25
nba was por 2026 03 29	3	$40	27	16	+11	open	—	03-29 14:15
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	2	$37	25	25	+0	TYLOO	$-10	05-11 06:10
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 01:51
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	05-19 13:27
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	05-19 13:27
nba sac atl 2026 03 28	3	$35	22	17	+6	open	—	03-28 17:02
nba nyk mem 2026 04 01	2	$35	13	26	-13	open	—	04-01 23:36
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	05-19 13:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 10	4	$35	25	13	+13	open	—	04-10 13:35
nba sas gsw 2026 04 01	2	$34	13	26	-13	open	—	04-01 23:36
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	2	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	$-2	05-10 01:00
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	4	$32	17	17	-0	open	—	03-28 15:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils	2	$32	19	19	+0	Andrea Pellegrino	$-4	05-09 19:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-28 15:20
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 gen	2	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	04-06 09:10
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	03-28 15:20
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-28 15:21
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	3	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	03-28 15:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 3	2	$31	34	0	+34	open	—	04-03 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 00:17:06	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x542802…
06-02 18:25:18	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x69edd1…
05-31 10:00:11	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xcf2f14…
05-19 13:27:56	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$9	0xc4ff46…
05-19 13:27:49	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0xa0a6a8…
05-19 13:27:40	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xd473c3…
05-19 13:27:35	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$18	0xef4d9e…
05-19 12:35:10	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x1c3640…
05-19 11:35:51	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xcbc135…
05-19 11:35:12	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8660ca…
05-19 10:40:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x202e91…
05-19 10:34:13	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xae1c50…
05-19 03:12:33	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xea3e6e…
05-19 03:10:53	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x1d19a5…
05-15 12:30:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xd12649…
05-14 01:51:35	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x7ff0e8…
05-14 01:51:31	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xb6e10d…
05-14 01:51:30	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xaf2c17…
05-13 21:19:41	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8ef38d…
05-13 21:12:48	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xedea4d…
05-13 19:20:59	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x947895…
05-13 15:35:17	Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x22d60b…
05-13 10:10:08	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xd01f1d…
05-13 06:15:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xb5f68c…
05-13 04:57:51	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xf85b25…
05-12 13:45:45	Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevic	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0xab93d2…
05-12 12:00:22	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xfbdba0…
05-11 14:37:15	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x1e6156…
05-11 14:04:05	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x2c9230…
05-11 06:10:09	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	TYLOO	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xee081b…
05-11 00:05:22	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x67bb78…
05-10 18:45:12	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	TYLOO	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x3ad5ef…
05-10 06:45:47	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xe683f1…
05-10 01:00:09	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$15	0x73c5fc…
05-09 19:35:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xa2a1c8…
05-09 08:35:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x6d711b…
05-09 00:23:20	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcef104…
05-08 08:15:02	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1c0c9b…
05-08 07:00:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x973fc1…
05-08 05:48:07	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd743c5…
05-06 23:40:12	LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	HMBLE	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0xc6ddba…
05-06 19:10:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 6?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x1fb402…
05-06 17:26:34	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x33e8eb…
05-06 15:25:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x0dddb4…
05-06 14:05:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0x6dcc60…
05-06 11:05:26	Brazzaville: Brandon Perez vs Younes Laaroussi	Younes Laaroussi	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x93c50d…
05-06 09:45:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 6?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x76fd48…
05-06 00:05:46	Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon	Florent Bax	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb0eadf…
05-05 18:53:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xdc27e3…
05-04 16:21:22	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 4?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x78a0b7…
05-04 16:08:10	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x64558b…
05-04 13:35:54	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x3270b7…
05-03 22:10:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x9419e7…
05-01 20:30:10	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $280?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf04901…
05-01 15:32:36	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $280?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xa860bc…
04-30 19:50:28	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $370?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7105c2…
04-30 19:32:28	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $365?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x594091…
04-30 11:40:50	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $345?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x89aed7…
04-30 08:46:56	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $340?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x8dd83e…
04-29 08:10:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x4e2e48…
04-23 03:20:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 23	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xa4af31…
04-23 00:15:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 23	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x7475e5…
04-23 00:15:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 23	No	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0x0e7558…
04-22 13:31:44	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 23	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x58955e…
04-22 13:16:48	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 22	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0x0c620c…
04-22 13:13:42	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 22	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbe7016…
04-22 06:40:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xaf3b17…
04-22 06:17:44	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xc997e0…
04-22 06:17:42	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x11f10a…
04-22 06:17:06	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x2fa141…
04-22 03:15:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 22	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x074314…
04-22 03:00:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x619ca3…
04-22 02:17:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc0b666…
04-22 02:11:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xeb3a4a…
04-22 00:30:16	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x2d681e…
04-22 00:20:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x2a2f1d…
04-22 00:15:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x28e275…
04-22 00:10:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x9989cd…
04-22 00:09:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x1712c8…
04-21 21:05:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xad4570…
04-21 21:02:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x00de07…
04-21 20:55:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x855ad8…
04-21 20:52:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x809f11…
04-21 19:40:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x98ce9c…
04-21 19:35:16	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0xe8840c…
04-21 19:30:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x8ff649…
04-21 19:26:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xd0c333…
04-21 19:25:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x7614cf…
04-21 19:24:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa34bb6…
04-21 19:20:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x82bd6a…
04-21 19:18:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xad359e…
04-21 16:40:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x03b3e0…
04-21 16:35:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x626bba…
04-21 16:05:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x05732d…
04-21 16:02:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xe1d44b…
04-21 13:45:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x123c64…
04-21 13:43:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x76d56f…
04-21 12:50:32	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x33e8c8…
04-21 12:46:04	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x4e4f00…
04-20 19:10:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 21	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x3e2350…