Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 4?
closed
Total volume
$2,534
Trades
39
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 19:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.6¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $260 | $1.0K | $780 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $4 | $319 | $315 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $0 | $172 | $171 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $39 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $260 | $1.0K | $780 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 4 | — | $65 | $65 |
| Below median | 5 | $0 | $37 | $37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $129 | $129 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $267 | $265 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +830 | $256 | $256 | 6 | 05-04 16:49 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +751 | $541 | $541 | 3 | 05-04 16:47 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | +267 | $267 | $267 | 1 | 05-04 19:57 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-04 19:57 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +80 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-04 16:49 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 19:57 |
| Calculating-Vignette 0x8931…a5e4 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-04 18:53 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 16:49 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-04 18:53 |
| Vigorous-Tenet 0x56bc…a311 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-04 16:21 |
| Dimpled-Passenger 0x8862…bbf5 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-04 19:53 |
| Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-04 16:47 |
| Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-04 15:25 |
| Decimal-Ginseng 0xc2ca…4419 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 13:43 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 14:09 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 18:53 |
| Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 16:46 |
| Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 18:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 19:57:12 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d5935… |
| 05-04 19:57:12 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | BUY | 267 | 100¢ | $267 | 0x4d5935… |
| 05-04 19:57:12 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d5935… |
| 05-04 19:57:12 | Outrageous-Hybridisation 0xf4ab…e7bd | No | SELL | 132 | 100¢ | $132 | 0x4d5935… |
| 05-04 19:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6e7f6d… |
| 05-04 19:53:28 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e7f6d… |
| 05-04 18:53:52 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x38f955… |
| 05-04 18:53:52 | Calculating-Vignette 0x8931…a5e4 | No | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x38f955… |
| 05-04 18:53:52 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x38f955… |
| 05-04 18:01:46 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb655f0… |
| 05-04 18:01:46 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb655f0… |
| 05-04 16:49:02 | Outrageous-Hybridisation 0xf4ab…e7bd | No | BUY | 132 | 98¢ | $129 | 0xc5b177… |
| 05-04 16:49:02 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc5b177… |
| 05-04 16:49:02 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc5b177… |
| 05-04 16:49:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc5b177… |
| 05-04 16:47:42 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x91ddb0… |
| 05-04 16:47:42 | Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x91ddb0… |
| 05-04 16:46:46 | Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd264e6… |
| 05-04 16:46:46 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd264e6… |
| 05-04 16:21:22 | Vigorous-Tenet 0x56bc…a311 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x78a0b7… |
| 05-04 16:21:22 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x78a0b7… |
| 05-04 15:25:00 | Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xa3adce… |
| 05-04 15:25:00 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa3adce… |
| 05-04 15:05:18 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 37 | 69¢ | $26 | 0x41d555… |
| 05-04 15:05:18 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | SELL | 37 | 69¢ | $26 | 0x41d555… |
| 05-04 14:58:56 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 709 | 72¢ | $510 | 0x0b4c09… |
| 05-04 14:58:56 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 709 | 72¢ | $510 | 0x0b4c09… |
| 05-04 14:58:46 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 37 | 72¢ | $27 | 0x99c86d… |
| 05-04 14:58:46 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 37 | 72¢ | $27 | 0x99c86d… |
| 05-04 14:57:58 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 746 | 67¢ | $500 | 0x46bbcd… |
| 05-04 14:57:58 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 746 | 33¢ | $246 | 0x46bbcd… |
| 05-04 14:09:06 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x2cb596… |
| 05-04 14:09:06 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2cb596… |
| 05-04 13:55:18 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x2ba522… |
| 05-04 13:55:18 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x2ba522… |
| 05-04 13:53:30 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xa65161… |
| 05-04 13:53:30 | Dimpled-Passenger 0x8862…bbf5 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xa65161… |
| 05-04 13:43:30 | Decimal-Ginseng 0xc2ca…4419 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x126d41… |
| 05-04 13:43:30 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x126d41… |