Outrageous-Hybridisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-11 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

91% 79% $-135

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti closes above 89 on april 21 2026	4	$353	191	190	+0	open	—	04-21 21:00
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$333	168	168	+0	Yes	+$3	05-07 11:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	2	$327	165	165	+0	No	+$1	05-06 20:57
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$323	163	163	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 20:28
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$323	163	163	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 11:03
tsla close above 400 on april 21 2026	2	$319	164	164	+0	open	—	04-21 19:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	4	$318	161	161	+0	open	—	04-19 15:41
xagusd up or down on april 17 2026	2	$314	158	157	+0	open	—	04-17 20:50
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?	2	$314	161	161	+0	Yes	+$8	05-06 20:00
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$313	159	159	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 20:15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $77 Week of April 27 2026?	2	$311	157	157	+0	open	—	05-01 21:08
nvda close above 205 on april 17 2026	2	$311	157	157	+0	open	—	04-17 20:00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 1?	2	$309	156	156	+0	open	—	05-01 20:07
cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 40 59	10	$308	156	156	+0	open	—	04-21 15:55
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on May 6?	2	$304	164	164	+0	Yes	+$7	05-05 19:34
wti closes above 89 on april 20 2026	2	$301	153	153	+0	open	—	04-20 21:26
Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 28?	3	$294	149	149	+0	open	—	04-28 20:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on April 27?	2	$289	145	145	+0	open	—	04-27 21:00
will mother mary score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$288	147	147	+0	open	—	04-20 14:11
Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$282	142	142	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 20:38
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	2	$279	141	141	+0	open	—	04-19 16:00
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 27?	2	$278	145	144	+0	open	—	04-27 20:00
Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$278	144	144	+0	Yes	+$10	05-05 10:25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	3	$268	135	135	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 21:00
Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$266	135	135	+0	open	—	04-27 14:08
Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$266	137	137	+0	open	—	05-01 11:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$263	132	132	+0	open	—	04-26 16:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 24?	2	$263	132	132	+0	open	—	04-24 21:05
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 4?	2	$261	132	132	+0	open	—	05-04 19:57
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on April 24?	2	$254	131	131	+0	open	—	04-24 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:13:04	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	130	79¢	$103	0xca1cb2…
05-07 21:02:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 7?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0x134651…
05-07 20:18:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 7?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xa574c7…
05-07 20:15:12	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0x6c3153…
05-07 11:57:56	Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x122bab…
05-07 11:55:29	Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x603534…
05-07 11:00:17	Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x924dbe…
05-07 06:09:22	Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0x9c4da6…
05-06 20:57:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$164	0xe2370b…
05-06 20:28:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x3ff88b…
05-06 20:28:29	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x435550…
05-06 20:24:45	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1c5bc7…
05-06 20:20:52	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x228052…
05-06 20:20:52	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0cea99…
05-06 20:00:43	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x4886d6…
05-06 20:00:03	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x70d4e9…
05-06 16:23:40	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	161	95¢	$153	0x298e52…
05-06 11:03:42	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x2043ff…
05-05 20:43:26	Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x8b807d…
05-05 20:38:44	Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xea4f5e…
05-05 20:16:52	Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x68914c…
05-05 20:15:12	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0x749eb5…
05-05 19:36:20	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	159	98¢	$155	0xc2409d…
05-05 19:34:26	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	164	95¢	$155	0x0b5d08…
05-05 16:01:06	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	164	91¢	$149	0x71ddd4…
05-05 10:25:44	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x6fbb34…
05-05 10:23:56	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8ebc0f…
05-05 10:23:44	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9ee22b…
05-04 21:00:34	Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	144	93¢	$134	0xc848b5…
05-04 21:00:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8ba1d…
05-04 21:00:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x942e9d…
05-04 20:00:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0xe284b7…
05-04 19:57:12	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 4?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x4d5935…
05-04 16:49:02	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 4?	No	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0xc5b177…
05-01 21:08:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $77 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x04e165…
05-01 20:28:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $77 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0x0cdf05…
05-01 20:07:12	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 1?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x65c6df…
05-01 16:09:18	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 1?	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0x390daa…
05-01 11:33:34	Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9dd913…
05-01 11:32:56	Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd4074c…
05-01 11:32:56	Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x6007ff…
05-01 11:18:36	Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	137	94¢	$129	0x7bd71e…
05-01 11:14:36	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xe2ed8f…
04-30 21:13:20	Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	128	95¢	$122	0xb758a5…
04-30 21:07:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x7e56fc…
04-30 20:30:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x66fb73…
04-30 20:30:16	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x198123…
04-30 20:03:58	Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xe9f8d1…
04-30 20:03:30	Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x8efd4a…
04-30 14:25:54	Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0e0aaa…
04-30 14:25:06	Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0x45ffff…
04-30 09:02:12	Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0xdc8cd8…
04-29 21:00:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x1ff077…
04-29 20:25:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x202bb2…
04-29 20:24:28	Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9dbfb4…
04-29 20:21:54	Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x0f4b6c…
04-29 20:04:56	Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xab930e…
04-29 20:04:30	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x5a71bc…
04-29 17:34:08	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x37b5e7…
04-28 20:00:06	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x35153f…
04-28 20:00:06	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01d127…
04-28 16:42:22	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	149	97¢	$145	0xe6ea3c…
04-27 21:00:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x2c67a1…
04-27 20:09:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x74d58a…
04-27 20:00:04	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xce8f38…
04-27 16:26:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	145	93¢	$134	0xb0409d…
04-27 14:08:34	Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$134	0xe61e4d…
04-26 16:22:42	Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0x9788d4…
04-26 16:22:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x6b819b…
04-25 16:17:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x0cc197…
04-25 15:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xaafdfd…
04-24 21:05:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 24?	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x4ca8ae…
04-24 20:36:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x206c2f…
04-24 20:00:50	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on April 24?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x421ab0…
04-24 16:33:30	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on April 24?	No	BUY	131	94¢	$123	0x545e2a…
04-24 15:37:44	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0x7ca424…
04-24 14:22:18	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x94f942…
04-24 14:21:50	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x904ac2…
04-24 14:20:24	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5f76db…
04-24 13:38:50	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xfb8c82…
04-23 20:04:12	msft close above 410 on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xebec6f…
04-23 18:11:00	msft close above 410 on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x0b85cb…
04-23 13:14:58	cbre quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt12	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xc4b08a…
04-22 20:08:06	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xd8d682…
04-22 20:01:52	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x6c28c2…
04-22 20:00:06	tsla close above 400 on april 22 2026	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x52ab56…
04-22 20:00:04	tsla close above 400 on april 22 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf58447…
04-22 19:52:30	tsla close above 400 on april 22 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6444bc…
04-22 16:14:54	tsla close above 400 on april 22 2026	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x838cfe…
04-22 16:09:58	gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	Yes	SELL	125	89¢	$111	0xfb4e22…
04-22 12:25:58	gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	Yes	BUY	125	97¢	$122	0x59e995…
04-22 11:16:26	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x702fb0…
04-21 21:05:56	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x926dd4…
04-21 21:00:32	wti closes above 89 on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x14a62c…
04-21 20:43:38	wti closes above 89 on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x7314fe…
04-21 20:10:36	wti closes above 89 on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0xe8d7a9…
04-21 19:51:36	wti closes above 89 on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	167	98¢	$163	0x0f4eb1…
04-21 19:46:48	tsla close above 400 on april 21 2026	No	SELL	164	100¢	$163	0x93ca75…
04-21 16:14:12	tsla close above 400 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	164	95¢	$156	0x9fc14f…
04-21 15:55:20	cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 40 59	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xed83e3…