Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?
Yes won
Total volume
$1,094
Trades
36
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-06 20:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.4¢
(top1%: 59% YES on $154
vs crowd: 91% YES on $831)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $91 | $63 | +$28 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $51 | $14 | +$38 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $596 | $1 | +$595 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $15 | $0 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $91 | $63 | +$28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $88 | — | +$88 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $15 | $1 | +$14 |
| Median | 3 | $108 | — | +$108 |
| Below median | 5 | $35 | $0 | +$35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $163 | — | +$163 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $253 | $3 | +$250 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +278 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 05-06 16:23 |
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | +253 | $253 | $253 | 1 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +131 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-06 14:01 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +101 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-06 14:54 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-06 14:30 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-06 19:58 |
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | +31 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-06 16:23 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-06 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-06 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-06 19:53 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-06 20:38 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 16:15 |
| Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 19:55 |
| Beneficial-Magic 0x99ba…1a4c | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 19:50 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 19:55 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 19:50 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 14:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 20:38:33 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x7ad819… |
| 05-06 20:38:33 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x7ad819… |
| 05-06 20:00:03 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 253 | 100¢ | $253 | 0x70d4e9… |
| 05-06 20:00:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 92 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70d4e9… |
| 05-06 20:00:03 | Outrageous-Hybridisation 0xf4ab…e7bd | Yes | SELL | 161 | 100¢ | $161 | 0x70d4e9… |
| 05-06 19:58:11 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe66db0… |
| 05-06 19:58:11 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe66db0… |
| 05-06 19:58:11 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe66db0… |
| 05-06 19:55:51 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7ba3c4… |
| 05-06 19:55:51 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ba3c4… |
| 05-06 19:55:49 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda9d69… |
| 05-06 19:55:49 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xda9d69… |
| 05-06 19:53:36 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0603b4… |
| 05-06 19:53:36 | (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x0603b4… |
| 05-06 19:53:36 | (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x476fe3… |
| 05-06 19:53:36 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x476fe3… |
| 05-06 19:50:10 | Beneficial-Magic 0x99ba…1a4c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x73faa1… |
| 05-06 19:50:10 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x73faa1… |
| 05-06 16:23:40 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x298e52… |
| 05-06 16:23:40 | Outrageous-Hybridisation 0xf4ab…e7bd | Yes | BUY | 161 | 95¢ | $153 | 0x298e52… |
| 05-06 16:23:40 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 146 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x298e52… |
| 05-06 16:15:47 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdd90ee… |
| 05-06 16:15:47 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdd90ee… |
| 05-06 14:54:04 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x1b5b8e… |
| 05-06 14:54:04 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1b5b8e… |
| 05-06 14:54:04 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1b5b8e… |
| 05-06 14:30:44 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x01581a… |
| 05-06 14:30:44 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9470ec… |
| 05-06 14:30:44 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9470ec… |
| 05-06 14:30:44 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x01581a… |
| 05-06 14:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xdafa9f… |
| 05-06 14:01:06 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 131 | 42¢ | $55 | 0xc56863… |
| 05-06 14:01:06 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xdafa9f… |
| 05-06 14:01:06 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 131 | 58¢ | $76 | 0xc56863… |
| 05-06 11:14:48 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xbd3ca9… |
| 05-06 11:14:48 | Firsthand-Ashram 0x95a0…e80b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xbd3ca9… |