Faint-Closure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$369

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

4,544

Trades

7,195

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-09 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$369

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	44	$145	112	112	+0	Down	-$2	06-01 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	48	$140	128	128	+0	Down	-$10	06-01 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	27	$89	77	71	+6	Down	-$7	06-01 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	34	$86	76	75	+1	Down	$0	06-01 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$85	90	0	+90	Up	+$5	04-29 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	25	$84	59	58	+1	Up	+$0	06-01 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$82	92	0	+92	Down	+$9	04-27 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$82	91	0	+91	Down	+$9	04-27 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	32	$82	73	73	+0	Up	-$5	05-28 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	32	$77	76	70	+6	Down	-$6	06-02 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	32	$77	74	72	+2	Up	+$0	06-01 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$75	80	0	+80	Down	+$5	04-29 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	31	$73	74	62	+12	Up	-$3	06-02 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	22	$72	66	66	+0	Down	+$4	05-28 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	18	$72	54	52	+2	Down	-$1	05-28 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$70	78	0	+78	Down	+$8	04-29 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$67	80	0	+80	Down	+$13	04-29 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	28	$66	66	56	+9	Up	-$3	06-01 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	24	$65	60	56	+4	Up	+$1	06-02 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	25	$64	61	50	+11	Down	-$2	06-01 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$64	70	0	+70	Down	+$6	04-27 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$64	78	0	+78	Up	+$15	04-29 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$63	79	0	+79	Down	+$16	04-29 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	24	$63	62	51	+11	Down	-$1	05-28 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	18	$63	48	48	+0	Down	+$1	05-31 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	24	$57	53	49	+4	Up	-$3	06-02 00:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 20:00 UTC	3	$56	60	0	+60	Up	+$4	04-21 20:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:30 UTC	3	$55	60	0	+60	Down	+$5	04-21 19:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC	3	$54	60	0	+60	Down	+$6	04-24 15:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 02:15 UTC	3	$53	59	0	+59	Up	+$6	04-22 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 12:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xde3b75…
10-09 11:49:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x61e033…
10-09 11:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0009b8…
10-07 01:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xb7ecb7…
10-07 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdf4708…
10-04 10:14:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe52284…
10-04 09:41:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7f09f5…
10-04 08:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8322f8…
10-04 07:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc30cf2…
10-04 07:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x29d3c4…
10-04 06:26:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca14f2…
10-04 04:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xba2e82…
10-04 04:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8afc0a…
10-04 04:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf3baa0…
10-04 03:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x394969…
10-04 02:55:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x29ebb7…
10-04 02:55:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x76a3a0…
10-04 02:29:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd79451…
10-04 01:11:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc72634…
10-04 00:10:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xff8922…
10-03 23:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xca9180…
10-03 23:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7ea443…
10-03 22:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9629ea…
10-03 22:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0325d4…
10-03 21:40:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6011f2…
10-03 18:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0f12e3…
10-03 18:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xae0ff5…
10-03 15:12:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7aefdd…
10-03 12:41:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe22696…
10-03 11:12:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x873441…
10-03 10:43:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x62ac90…
10-03 10:26:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x017bb2…
10-03 09:57:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x564b9e…
10-03 08:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c6dec…
10-03 07:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6f21a5…
10-03 07:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5a08ab…
10-03 07:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2569ef…
10-03 06:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf9b735…
10-03 06:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6e0381…
10-03 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x38f12b…
10-03 04:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x937694…
10-03 01:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcabac4…
10-03 01:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2db051…
10-03 01:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x01b46e…
10-03 00:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd4b823…
10-02 23:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd44e0b…
10-02 22:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd9faad…
10-02 22:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4a225f…
10-02 22:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x20d142…
10-02 21:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x690596…
10-02 19:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4622bb…
10-02 18:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x39bb18…
10-02 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3cafd5…
10-02 17:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x58aeba…
10-02 16:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x97593a…
10-02 16:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x66c821…
10-02 15:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe4f7f6…
10-02 14:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb0af31…
10-02 14:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa22227…
10-02 14:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6687e8…
10-02 14:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb6d31e…
10-02 14:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbbcd32…
10-02 14:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x3ab666…
10-02 14:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1cdd8b…
10-02 13:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x084b29…
10-02 13:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1a1dee…
10-02 13:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd7f79d…
10-02 13:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x853b0e…
10-02 12:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x39905b…
10-02 12:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x397208…
10-02 12:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x53df94…
10-02 12:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bd466…
10-02 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xba1883…
10-02 11:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7fa642…
10-02 11:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x1df9b5…
10-02 11:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa5e3e8…
10-02 10:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x530939…
10-02 10:28:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-02 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe9ea2d…
10-02 10:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf35be2…
10-02 09:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a8459…
10-02 08:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x14c1cb…
10-02 08:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb2c369…
10-02 07:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x82b104…
10-02 07:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x08ec74…
10-02 06:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa51277…
10-02 06:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13e096…
10-02 06:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x729e12…
10-02 05:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x151049…
10-02 04:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2bbdb4…
10-02 04:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8f85c3…
10-02 04:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbfbbef…
10-02 04:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x459ddd…
10-02 03:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8231f9…
10-02 02:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4746c7…
10-02 02:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x65ef9a…
10-02 01:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fc469…
10-02 01:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa085cc…
10-02 00:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc86553…
10-01 23:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5ce6fe…
10-01 20:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x7d8283…