Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$129,819
Trades
11,855
Unique wallets
588
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-10-03
First seen
2026-10-03
last 10-03 02:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.5¢
(top1%: 72% YES on $67.6K
vs crowd: 55% YES on $125.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 122 | $36.5K | $46.8K | $10.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 175 | $18.8K | $6.5K | +$12.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 203 | $11.5K | $2.9K | +$8.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 88 | $2.1K | $249 | +$1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 174 | $48.4K | $19.3K | +$29.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 127 | $8.1K | $1.8K | +$6.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $773 | $121 | +$652 |
| Median | 20 | $159 | $39 | +$120 |
| Below median | 74 | $711 | $133 | +$578 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 50 | $1.2K | $106 | +$1.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 59 | $4.2K | $2.3K | +$1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 57 | $5.4K | $32.7K | $27.3K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x90e3…34ad | Down | +17,831 | $9,390 | $9,390 | 409 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | Down | +12,979 | $10,404 | $10,404 | 364 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x01e8…e002 | Down | +8,583 | $5,728 | $5,728 | 151 | 10-03 01:58 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | +5,009 | $4,089 | $4,089 | 63 | 10-03 01:57 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +4,896 | $2,032 | $2,032 | 350 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +4,512 | $2,021 | $2,021 | 322 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +4,387 | $2,052 | $2,052 | 249 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +4,220 | $1,930 | $1,930 | 234 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Miserly-Pound 0x9ad6…4251 | Up | +3,000 | $2,935 | $2,935 | 30 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Caring-Memory 0x13f0…a50f | Up | +3,000 | $2,970 | $2,970 | 12 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Up | +3,000 | $2,970 | $2,970 | 21 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x699c…7f49 | Up | +2,700 | $432 | $432 | 26 | 10-03 01:58 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Up | +2,543 | $991 | $991 | 83 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +2,347 | $723 | $723 | 21 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc524…6176 | Up | +2,196 | $1,282 | $1,282 | 9 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5a4…f977 | Up | +2,045 | $754 | $754 | 81 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +2,028 | $1,852 | $1,852 | 1 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | +2,000 | $1,980 | $1,980 | 5 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1621…b159 | Down | +2,000 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4f4…19bb | Up | +1,998 | $469 | $469 | 20 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | +1,902 | $1,851 | $1,851 | 22 | 10-03 02:00 |
| Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | +1,785 | $1,225 | $1,225 | 72 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7442…3c88 | Up | +1,778 | $297 | $297 | 19 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4f4…19bb | Down | +1,776 | $262 | $262 | 17 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x213a…4ca8 | Down | +1,748 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 10-03 02:00 |
| Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | +1,732 | $660 | $660 | 63 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Up | +1,708 | $794 | $794 | 74 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +1,705 | $1,632 | $1,632 | 6 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5a4…f977 | Down | +1,559 | $229 | $229 | 64 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc3a…9928 | Down | +1,525 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a4c…98d0 | Up | +1,510 | $284 | $316 | 24 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +1,448 | $1,386 | $1,386 | 20 | 10-03 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Down | +1,424 | $604 | $604 | 96 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Up | +1,419 | $781 | $781 | 67 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +1,380 | $463 | $463 | 11 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +1,356 | $437 | $437 | 22 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +1,323 | $737 | $737 | 28 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcda…eecc | Up | +1,295 | $559 | $563 | 43 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9be1…7f4e | Up | +1,280 | $580 | $580 | 57 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Up | +1,279 | $591 | $591 | 130 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc7b…b840 | Up | +1,276 | $710 | $710 | 51 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec | Down | +1,250 | $705 | $705 | 50 | 10-03 01:58 |
| Dense-Standoff 0x4c8e…b38f | Up | +1,170 | $594 | $594 | 45 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +1,163 | $371 | $371 | 88 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +1,143 | $664 | $664 | 69 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Down | +1,134 | $180 | $180 | 45 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc421…6118 | Up | +1,105 | $642 | $642 | 11 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x10d5…5388 | Down | +1,084 | $909 | $909 | 70 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Down | +1,047 | $565 | $565 | 136 | 10-03 01:58 |
| Compassionate-Leverage 0x48e5…a482 | Down | +994 | $774 | $774 | 30 | 10-03 01:57 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | +972 | $684 | $684 | 69 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Sardonic-Mink 0x8438…3680 | Down | +956 | $232 | $232 | 16 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Aromatic-Promise 0x6655…fca6 | Down | +934 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | +837 | $434 | $434 | 90 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x09f6…73a4 | Down | +830 | $173 | $173 | 21 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2aca…487e | Down | +825 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 10-03 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9be1…7f4e | Down | +825 | $142 | $142 | 40 | 10-03 02:00 |
| Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | +806 | $537 | $537 | 64 | 10-03 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +801 | $451 | $1,324 | 77 | 10-03 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7442…3c88 | Down | +800 | $88 | $88 | 4 | 10-03 01:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:01:44 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x67725e… |
| 10-03 02:01:44 | Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Down | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67725e… |
| 10-03 02:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x1408…afbf | Down | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x753237… |
| 10-03 02:01:27 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x753237… |
| 10-03 02:00:15 | Hearty-Antique 0x803d…fc31 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda11ce… |
| 10-03 02:00:15 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda11ce… |
| 10-03 02:00:12 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x372331… |
| 10-03 02:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x372331… |
| 10-03 02:00:11 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xacada6… |
| 10-03 02:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x202b…bbcd | Up | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xacada6… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x63ef89… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 206 | 99¢ | $204 | 0xbd75e9… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x8324…64f1 | Down | BUY | 350 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x1e4ae7… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x63ef89… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x63ef89… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 350 | 99¢ | $346 | 0x50ccb3… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | BUY | 350 | 99¢ | $346 | 0x1e4ae7… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x2aca…487e | Down | BUY | 206 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbd75e9… |
| 10-03 02:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x213a…4ca8 | Down | BUY | 350 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x50ccb3… |
| 10-03 02:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x76ddf4… |
| 10-03 02:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x6e30…1da1 | Up | SELL | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0x446fb7… |
| 10-03 02:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xd5a4…f977 | Down | BUY | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x76ddf4… |
| 10-03 02:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x9be1…7f4e | Down | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcfe7a6… |
| 10-03 02:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0x446fb7… |
| 10-03 02:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xcfe7a6… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xb4e0…eb9a | Down | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x9be1…7f4e | Down | BUY | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20f847… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xb9b9…5837 | Down | BUY | 48 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 46 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x6c386e… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | Grouchy-Evaluation-Net 0x206a…3197 | Down | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xdc7b…b840 | Down | BUY | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x41b0c5… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x1f9c…fb0a | Down | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2311dd… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd5a4…f977 | Down | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 64 | 99¢ | $64 | 0xeb7829… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xae39…ff04 | Down | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Down | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c386e… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd5a4…f977 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x815a7a… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 321 | 91¢ | $291 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x0e37…42ec | Down | BUY | 29 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Down | BUY | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeb7829… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x815a7a… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $42 | 0xd6ac22… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Down | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Down | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xd5a4…f977 | Down | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6ac22… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xc66e…bdee | Down | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 64 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x20f847… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x41b0c5… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 44 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0b3da0… |
| 10-03 02:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…38ee | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2311dd… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Imperfect-Purity 0x695e…6803 | Up | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x929e4b… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xf6ec…b67a | Up | BUY | 223 | 90¢ | $201 | 0xac17d2… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Up | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x964283… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xb5e7…da4c | Down | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x929e4b… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x964283… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc5b9…90a0 | Up | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xb961eb… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…38ee | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1edead… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5a650f… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x943c…77c2 | Down | BUY | 27 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x9732d7… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x9ea2…7388 | Down | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x335df5… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0x335df5… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 43 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf391d3… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x964283… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xdc7b…b840 | Down | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb961eb… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc4f4…19bb | Down | BUY | 214 | 10¢ | $21 | 0xac17d2… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc5b9…90a0 | Up | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x90854f… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x668d…b4cb | Down | BUY | 221 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc2eef7… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Imperfect-Purity 0x695e…6803 | Up | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x5a650f… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x964283… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xf9c4…7d24 | Down | BUY | 44 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x1f6739… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc5b9…90a0 | Up | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x8ba89c… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x4142…bc6e | Down | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb6692… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf391d3… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1edead… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Down | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xac17d2… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc4f4…19bb | Down | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3a9c67… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xee6bb8… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…38ee | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x19822a… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xbbc2…0220 | Down | BUY | 411 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xaca2a4… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 35 | 85¢ | $30 | 0xdbeb61… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Down | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xf391d3… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x96f7…b3fb | Down | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xd366d5… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Down | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3a9c67… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6271…2c5a | Down | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x964283… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x56b909… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xc4c440… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xbb6692… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc5b9…90a0 | Up | BUY | 73 | 84¢ | $61 | 0x6bd6fd… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x316795… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x5330…3f6e | Up | BUY | 80 | 88¢ | $70 | 0xf391d3… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x316795… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x90854f… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc666…2582 | Up | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xc99554… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6122…2c55 | Up | BUY | 411 | 99¢ | $407 | 0xaca2a4… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xc5b9…90a0 | Up | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xf6e64e… |
| 10-03 02:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x78f4…38ee | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x9f6075… |