Some-Baker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 23% $-46

Other

5% 0% $-5

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-13 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-13 09:55
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	$-5	05-11 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	$-5	05-13 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-13 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$3	35	0	+35	Down	$-3	05-12 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$3	13	2	+10	Down	$-1	05-12 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$2	15	0	+15	Down	$-2	05-12 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-13 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-12 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-12 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-12 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-12 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-12 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-13 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-13 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-12 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	+$4	05-12 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-12 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	$-1	05-12 11:06
Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 13:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x36cd5f…
05-13 12:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6b571c…
05-13 10:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc710e8…
05-13 09:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xda27ea…
05-13 09:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb2613c…
05-13 09:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x21617e…
05-13 09:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5be033…
05-13 09:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1f1b41…
05-13 09:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8a4691…
05-13 09:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xea8e20…
05-13 09:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5cf56b…
05-13 09:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f94f6…
05-13 00:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf1162d…
05-13 00:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x633f3d…
05-13 00:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x70b8b3…
05-13 00:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2b854a…
05-13 00:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x423b61…
05-13 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcf06b6…
05-13 00:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc00ae6…
05-12 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a4638…
05-12 23:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x061538…
05-12 23:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x13030b…
05-12 23:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x80a152…
05-12 23:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdf3d69…
05-12 20:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b1712…
05-12 20:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9ace6d…
05-12 20:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xe96f76…
05-12 20:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8037f6…
05-12 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9b009e…
05-12 20:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcc1ba0…
05-12 20:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8dc4dc…
05-12 13:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x181de4…
05-12 12:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdc141f…
05-12 12:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcb1a9e…
05-12 12:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2d2081…
05-12 12:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4455da…
05-12 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x86bf92…
05-12 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b7800…
05-12 12:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c3afc…
05-12 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x314be2…
05-12 11:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb94ff6…
05-12 11:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x070b77…
05-12 11:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x694edc…
05-12 10:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x56eb89…
05-12 10:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9ddefb…
05-12 10:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb35bb9…
05-12 10:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c7ae9…
05-12 10:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x034e71…
05-12 10:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x14bf20…
05-12 10:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4d3d71…
05-12 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x42fd80…
05-12 10:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8b0527…
05-12 10:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd50c18…
05-12 10:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb0d3f0…
05-12 02:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x31e0d8…
05-12 01:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x266356…
05-12 01:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe06389…
05-12 01:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1b1257…
05-12 01:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x891b2a…
05-12 01:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeadacd…
05-12 01:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x774d68…
05-12 01:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x76411a…
05-12 01:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x24fb2e…
05-12 01:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa4ce7a…
05-12 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x07fa3a…
05-11 22:53:20	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcc1037…
05-11 22:38:19	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa3426d…
05-11 22:37:53	Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xef2482…
05-11 22:35:33	Will Trump say "Regime change" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x04e1e3…
05-11 22:14:56	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9f4671…