Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,372

lifetime

Volume

$196.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-18 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

44% 0% -$32

Other

40% 0% -$37

Crypto

9% 14% -$3

Sports

5% 33% +$1

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	112	$23.2K	11,613	11,613	+0	No	-$12	08-17 16:02
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	90	$13.4K	6,693	6,693	+0	No	-$7	10-04 23:34
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	79	$11.1K	5,544	5,544	+0	open	—	10-06 20:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	84	$10.1K	5,037	5,037	+0	open	—	10-17 23:25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	62	$9.6K	4,793	4,793	+0	No	-$5	09-29 22:12
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	50	$9.3K	4,654	4,654	+0	No	-$5	09-03 00:10
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	40	$8.8K	4,411	4,411	+0	open	—	07-10 23:52
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	66	$8.2K	4,126	4,126	+0	open	—	10-10 23:46
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	46	$7.7K	3,832	3,832	+0	open	—	09-21 15:12
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	36	$7.5K	3,752	3,752	+0	No	-$4	08-17 15:55
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	34	$6.7K	3,341	3,341	+0	No	-$3	09-02 23:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	34	$6.2K	3,128	3,128	+0	No	-$3	09-03 00:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	40	$6.2K	3,112	3,112	+0	No	-$3	09-29 21:59
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	38	$6.0K	3,011	3,011	+0	open	—	10-18 21:44
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	48	$5.8K	2,916	2,916	+0	open	—	10-17 23:22
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	46	$5.6K	2,793	2,792	+0	open	—	10-17 23:17
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	32	$5.5K	2,736	2,736	+0	open	—	09-21 15:07
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	26	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	09-02 23:58
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	38	$5.0K	2,495	2,495	+0	No	-$2	10-10 23:44
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	22	$5.0K	2,485	2,485	+0	No	-$2	07-10 23:41
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	28	$4.8K	2,395	2,394	+0	No	-$2	09-21 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	34	$3.9K	1,970	1,970	+0	No	-$2	10-18 21:48
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	18	$3.3K	1,653	1,653	+0	No	-$2	09-03 00:13
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	20	$3.3K	1,638	1,638	+0	open	—	09-21 15:03
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	12	$2.7K	1,369	1,369	+0	open	—	07-10 23:38
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	8	$1.8K	899	899	+0	open	—	07-10 23:42
Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	10	$1.6K	801	801	+0	open	—	09-21 15:14
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	8	$1.4K	724	724	+0	open	—	09-03 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17?	6	$1.3K	643	643	+0	No	-$1	08-17 15:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	8	$1.0K	521	521	+0	No	-$1	10-10 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 21:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 18?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d8976…
10-18 21:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe96e36…
10-18 21:48:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x3ea83c…
10-18 21:48:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x138c94…
10-18 21:48:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x9b8512…
10-18 21:48:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xdb7c26…
10-18 21:48:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x03edbb…
10-18 21:48:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xac0140…
10-18 21:47:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x9b3b9b…
10-18 21:47:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x29979d…
10-18 21:47:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x9f01a5…
10-18 21:47:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x185595…
10-18 21:47:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x436e03…
10-18 21:47:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xb7ce57…
10-18 21:47:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf0800d…
10-18 21:47:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf72cf5…
10-18 21:47:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xfed8f1…
10-18 21:47:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf76ba3…
10-18 21:47:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf71017…
10-18 21:47:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xdf355c…
10-18 21:47:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xbd39d2…
10-18 21:47:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x26ff0d…
10-18 21:46:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x4daf06…
10-18 21:46:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xab8ee2…
10-18 21:46:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0xd58589…
10-18 21:46:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xadf8df…
10-18 21:46:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xddadef…
10-18 21:46:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x7ad93d…
10-18 21:46:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x54d2f7…
10-18 21:46:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x61aa7c…
10-18 21:46:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x510df1…
10-18 21:46:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4d94f0…
10-18 21:46:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x479c62…
10-18 21:46:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x2928bb…
10-18 21:45:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x4cea23…
10-18 21:45:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 20?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x6b18d8…
10-18 21:45:36	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x17cecc…
10-18 21:45:32	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x558da3…
10-18 21:44:42	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x335a89…
10-18 21:44:36	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x4a61ec…
10-18 21:44:33	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xb14b97…
10-18 21:44:29	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x695a72…
10-18 21:44:26	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x8e76a7…
10-18 21:44:21	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xfd1c32…
10-18 21:44:18	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0xa64971…
10-18 21:44:14	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x7687a4…
10-18 21:44:09	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x4260ef…
10-18 21:44:05	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x124f3e…
10-18 21:44:02	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x8d0013…
10-18 21:43:57	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x15457f…
10-18 21:43:53	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x280f96…
10-18 21:43:48	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x564850…
10-18 21:43:45	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xa8594f…
10-18 21:43:39	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x600bbf…
10-18 21:43:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x411761…
10-18 21:43:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x797a7e…
10-18 21:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xdb6f6a…
10-18 21:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf47240…
10-18 21:42:26	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x64a7e4…
10-18 21:42:20	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1cfaed…
10-18 21:42:00	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2606de…
10-18 21:41:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7ab040…
10-18 21:41:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xc0a752…
10-18 21:41:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x91a9db…
10-17 23:25:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x5854ca…
10-17 23:25:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xeb34a0…
10-17 23:25:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xd6b6d8…
10-17 23:25:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xfc1287…
10-17 23:25:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x898f16…
10-17 23:25:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x6f945e…
10-17 23:25:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0xeff1cc…
10-17 23:25:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x9b8694…
10-17 23:25:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x826eb0…
10-17 23:25:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xfef097…
10-17 23:25:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x69f66b…
10-17 23:25:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x917bbf…
10-17 23:25:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xafc9b9…
10-17 23:24:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x12fced…
10-17 23:24:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xc0b402…
10-17 23:24:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa3f864…
10-17 23:24:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xa3c376…
10-17 23:24:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x15d3b3…
10-17 23:24:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xde9052…
10-17 23:24:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x95d407…
10-17 23:24:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x1ac50e…
10-17 23:24:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf8a014…
10-17 23:24:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xec9193…
10-17 23:24:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa6dcc5…
10-17 23:24:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x32b277…
10-17 23:24:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb4e777…
10-17 23:24:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x98cdff…
10-17 23:24:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x573f33…
10-17 23:23:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xffddd8…
10-17 23:23:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xcbd4bd…
10-17 23:23:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x1f8d4f…
10-17 23:23:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x5d94d2…
10-17 23:23:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x0e6a93…
10-17 23:23:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x497beb…
10-17 23:23:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x0f3487…
10-17 23:23:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd84d19…