Insistent-Mastoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$312

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.3%

Resolved

165

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$8.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-07 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

66% 4% -$224

Crypto

16% 0% —

Politics

12% 0% -$52

Tech

5% 0% -$23

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.3K	655	655	+0	open	—	05-19 11:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	10	$1.1K	576	576	+0	open	—	05-19 11:03
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	12	$160	140	140	+0	Yes	-$3	08-04 20:09
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	11	$144	140	140	+0	No	-$3	08-04 15:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	11	$134	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 11:42
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	9	$130	120	120	+0	No	-$2	08-04 21:48
will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	10	$112	120	120	+0	No	-$4	08-04 13:30
will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	10	$103	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-05 01:42
Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?	6	$100	80	80	+0	No	$0	08-04 18:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	9	$99	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	08-04 23:28
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	8	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	08-05 01:01
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	6	$94	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-04 21:53
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	10	$91	80	80	+0	No	-$1	08-04 18:30
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	3	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 02:45
will nflx reach 75 by august 3 2026	8	$71	56	56	+0	Yes	-$2	08-03 08:34
will the first eaglet hatch on april 9 2026 724 535	5	$70	48	48	+0	No	-$4	04-03 13:45
will wti dip to 75 by august 3 2026	5	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 23:51
iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	5	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	08-04 09:08
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	5	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	08-05 02:29
will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	5	$60	60	60	+0	No	-$3	08-04 22:00
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	5	$59	47	47	+0	No	-$1	08-03 16:29
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	2	$58	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-14 08:27
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?	6	$56	80	80	+0	No	-$1	08-04 15:57
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	5	$53	60	60	+0	No	-$6	08-05 13:44
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	3	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-03 15:18
will coin reach 150 by august 3 2026	3	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-03 13:30
will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	5	$53	60	42	+18	Yes	-$8	08-04 20:50
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	3	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 05:10
will spy reach 770 in august 2026	5	$53	60	40	+20	Yes	-$8	08-04 13:30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	3	$53	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-03 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 13:33:09	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xa3eb9c…
08-06 10:01:41	will nongshim redforce be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204225	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x3b1154…
08-05 13:44:50	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf98273…
08-05 13:44:24	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 105m by august 31 20260804004427307	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd2161d…
08-05 13:44:15	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 100m by august 31 20260804004427308	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xec09a2…
08-05 13:44:08	will mark kelly announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241621	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xb6f2bd…
08-05 13:43:53	will wes moore announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241609	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x270163…
08-05 13:43:44	beezie fdv above 100m one day after launch 20260804180933885	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xf6147b…
08-05 13:43:35	will marco rubio announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241646	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x2a0a65…
08-05 12:31:41	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 100m by august 31 20260804004427308	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8e48da…
08-05 12:14:18	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xc7c1e0…
08-05 12:14:17	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x426a0d…
08-05 11:01:36	will nvidia nvda q2 data center revenue be above 85b 20260803225408746	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xee87d6…
08-05 07:15:15	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 16b 20260804003708906	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x79e203…
08-05 02:30:06	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 10 2026 20260731024630661	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xa21a4b…
08-05 02:29:23	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x2fd987…
08-05 02:28:56	will titan esports club be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808475	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x99217c…
08-05 02:28:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x3f66a3…
08-05 02:28:14	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x2fbecb…
08-05 02:28:03	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x453eae…
08-05 02:27:48	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x52d16f…
08-05 02:27:12	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x63e8e5…
08-05 02:27:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x960504…
08-05 02:26:50	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x4acd46…
08-05 02:26:38	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8d91e2…
08-05 02:26:21	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x0c32de…
08-05 02:26:12	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x0586a3…
08-05 02:26:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x3698a9…
08-05 02:25:53	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x21081c…
08-05 02:25:42	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x80a793…
08-05 02:25:33	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xed07f7…
08-05 02:19:03	beezie fdv above 100m one day after launch 20260804180933885	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8a2c7e…
08-05 02:07:18	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8160ad…
08-05 02:01:32	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x4decaa…
08-05 02:01:27	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x4c618c…
08-05 02:01:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xfc7514…
08-05 02:01:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x610b81…
08-05 02:01:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x19aa9f…
08-05 01:55:21	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x135cff…
08-05 01:55:20	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeb0775…
08-05 01:50:15	will vivek ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241652	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x5fc816…
08-05 01:42:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x6627fd…
08-05 01:42:02	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x2aaad9…
08-05 01:41:59	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xb666c0…
08-05 01:41:59	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb2a8e1…
08-05 01:40:06	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x467cba…
08-05 01:40:05	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x797480…
08-05 01:34:57	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x86f21c…
08-05 01:30:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x27ffbc…
08-05 01:30:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x706eeb…
08-05 01:18:57	will vivek ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241652	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x84b3c0…
08-05 01:13:45	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x669d30…
08-05 01:13:42	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf62c3b…
08-05 01:01:03	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xf07e1b…
08-05 01:00:57	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xad6292…
08-05 00:50:35	will wes moore announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241609	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0e2d12…
08-05 00:49:06	will mark kelly announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241621	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5c7647…
08-05 00:47:05	will marco rubio announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241646	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x4e382e…
08-05 00:34:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0x18bea1…
08-05 00:34:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x297989…
08-05 00:00:03	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 16b 20260804003708906	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x532b62…
08-04 23:51:51	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xe586a2…
08-04 23:51:50	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc7b684…
08-04 23:28:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x2098cb…
08-04 23:28:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x91b33f…
08-04 23:28:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1a9d7c…
08-04 23:24:54	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8f2569…
08-04 23:01:47	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0xabd995…
08-04 23:01:42	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xcc2f1b…
08-04 22:49:32	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x619add…
08-04 22:40:20	will nvidia nvda q2 data center revenue be above 85b 20260803225408746	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5bffec…
08-04 22:23:59	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0xc85d91…
08-04 22:23:56	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc513c1…
08-04 22:00:09	will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x359996…
08-04 22:00:06	will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x02b1d6…
08-04 21:53:24	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	No	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x97474d…
08-04 21:48:47	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xf96b88…
08-04 21:48:44	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x416336…
08-04 21:43:15	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xf7ef2e…
08-04 21:43:12	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4768ac…
08-04 20:51:30	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1f4118…
08-04 20:51:24	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd13c5c…
08-04 20:50:29	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x130c71…
08-04 20:50:27	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x0f3866…
08-04 20:47:50	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x832c48…
08-04 20:47:42	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xad293f…
08-04 20:47:41	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x52c638…
08-04 20:47:39	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x69717e…
08-04 20:42:23	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xae47a3…
08-04 20:42:17	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf673a0…
08-04 20:37:09	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5cc025…
08-04 20:35:14	beezie fdv above 150m one day after launch 20260804180933886	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xf14ecb…
08-04 20:35:12	beezie fdv above 150m one day after launch 20260804180933886	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xeb2858…
08-04 20:28:29	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xe56366…
08-04 20:28:27	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xaf4e2b…
08-04 20:09:17	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	66¢	$27	0x492118…
08-04 20:09:11	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0ab0a0…
08-04 20:09:09	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xddd2b2…
08-04 20:09:09	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc95f41…
08-04 20:09:06	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb8208d…