Shallow-Span — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

-$1.07K

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,020

lifetime

Volume

$487.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$241

Open exposure

$6.99K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 67% $-148

Politics

27% 100% +$9

Other

20% 0% $-4

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No		-7,901	$-5,920	88¢	$-6992	$-1,072	06-24 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	203	$36.6K	36,304	35,049	+1,255	open	—	01-31 08:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	76	$33.2K	34,130	27,830	+6,300	open	—	06-02 19:53
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	26	$24.2K	20,637	20,637	+0	open	—	07-07 20:15
will axiom be accused of insider trading	34	$20.3K	17,444	18,019	-575	open	—	02-26 10:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	24	$17.8K	12,655	7,614	+5,040	open	—	06-17 18:06
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	29	$17.2K	9,474	9,474	+0	open	—	06-30 06:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	31	$15.0K	13,420	9,347	+4,074	open	—	06-01 12:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$13.6K	11,423	11,423	+0	open	—	07-07 20:12
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	49	$11.6K	12,229	8,753	+3,476	open	—	01-04 13:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	55	$10.8K	15,327	15,956	-629	open	—	01-31 14:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	47	$10.8K	10,151	10,151	+0	open	—	02-20 13:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	26	$10.2K	8,923	8,923	+0	open	—	04-18 22:30
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	34	$9.1K	4,974	4,974	+0	open	—	06-08 11:39
will company b be accused of insider trading	76	$8.9K	7,958	8,258	-300	open	—	02-26 08:52
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	24	$8.5K	10,299	9,625	+674	open	—	06-05 21:05
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	13	$7.3K	9,752	9,752	+0	open	—	01-06 10:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	9	$7.3K	5,223	2,500	+2,723	open	—	05-22 21:31
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	17	$6.7K	618	8,519	-7,901	open	—	06-24 16:52
will bitcoin dip to 66k february 16 22	19	$6.5K	4,290	4,289	+0	open	—	02-18 19:12
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	28	$6.4K	6,586	0	+6,586	open	—	07-06 10:52
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	16	$6.3K	3,205	3,351	-146	open	—	05-31 23:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	15	$6.2K	6,605	20	+6,585	open	—	06-12 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$5.9K	5,874	5,874	+0	open	—	04-19 19:58
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	28	$5.8K	6,176	193	+5,983	open	—	06-08 11:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	22	$5.7K	3,653	2,441	+1,211	open	—	03-30 17:15
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	34	$5.2K	3,466	3,059	+407	open	—	03-30 17:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$5.1K	3,009	3,009	+0	open	—	04-03 23:20
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase december 30 january 5	32	$5.0K	4,120	4,208	-88	open	—	01-05 13:41
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	23	$5.0K	3,409	3,409	+0	open	—	02-23 17:28
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	34	$4.9K	12,135	12,135	+0	open	—	01-04 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 09:26:12	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	142	60¢	$85	0xbd9b3a…
07-23 09:25:18	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	298	66¢	$196	0x72aebe…
07-23 08:13:03	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	298	65¢	$193	0x2f00ce…
07-23 07:28:28	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x6f27f1…
07-23 06:54:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	61¢	$23	0xa9abfc…
07-22 22:41:51	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5fd127…
07-20 12:06:18	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase july 14 20	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x13c77f…
07-20 12:02:21	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0xbd3720…
07-20 10:13:58	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 14 20	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2c4634…
07-20 09:44:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 14 20	No	BUY	1,300	97¢	$1,258	0xdfa602…
07-20 09:21:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 14 20	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x54b45e…
07-20 07:54:12	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase july 14 20	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x83ef26…
07-20 07:52:01	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x1303b8…
07-20 07:20:30	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase july 14 20	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0x0c4ec6…
07-20 06:52:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 14 20	No	BUY	590	90¢	$529	0x623958…
07-17 05:29:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0x9abadf…
07-16 23:14:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	141	1¢	$2	0x500aef…
07-16 23:11:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	496	4¢	$20	0x40d364…
07-16 23:09:44	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x168769…
07-16 23:09:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xd31cbc…
07-16 23:09:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	582	2¢	$13	0x171471…
07-16 22:47:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	254	97¢	$246	0x97235e…
07-16 22:47:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x3b21e0…
07-16 22:44:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xa04f98…
07-16 22:44:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6898ec…
07-16 21:42:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x84a703…
07-16 21:41:50	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	92	96¢	$88	0xc0d72e…
07-16 21:41:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x56a44c…
07-16 21:37:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	806	89¢	$717	0x7e0abc…
07-16 21:35:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x6d8a16…
07-16 21:34:59	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	754	87¢	$656	0x524d73…
07-14 10:39:34	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	SELL	749	100¢	$748	0xd7ed0e…
07-13 06:11:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	428	90¢	$385	0xb4fb93…
07-13 06:10:59	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	72	91¢	$66	0x0b33fb…
07-13 05:48:10	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x23ea59…
07-13 05:14:25	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xacc0b2…
07-13 05:14:13	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	255	91¢	$233	0x09e12b…
07-13 05:06:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0x3d7518…
07-13 05:04:08	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	110	88¢	$97	0x01dcf4…
07-12 18:15:35	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	56	85¢	$47	0xb06cf8…
07-12 18:15:19	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xb95d4b…
07-12 18:10:02	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	861	85¢	$732	0x8e9603…
07-12 18:09:11	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	744	100¢	$741	0x63dce4…
07-12 18:06:23	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	66	85¢	$56	0xa9497a…
07-12 16:08:32	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xba4ddd…
07-12 16:07:25	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x28629e…
07-12 13:05:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xa73691…
07-12 13:00:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	264	90¢	$238	0x796f8c…
07-12 12:24:14	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x6378dc…
07-12 12:16:10	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	283	90¢	$255	0x3f0b9a…
07-12 11:10:02	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x15aceb…
07-12 07:29:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x16e80b…
07-12 07:29:31	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0xd9f039…
07-12 06:19:26	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	405	95¢	$383	0x2e6408…
07-12 06:16:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	500	91¢	$457	0x373244…
07-12 06:15:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	130	88¢	$114	0xae7c87…
07-12 06:15:28	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0xe9da6e…
07-12 00:11:34	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x9a0962…
07-12 00:11:14	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x080b87…
07-11 23:23:14	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x52ba91…
07-11 22:06:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x4b4ab1…
07-11 22:05:47	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	325	99¢	$321	0x3bd9cd…
07-11 12:17:44	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	104	93¢	$96	0x2b3a04…
07-11 09:10:04	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	889	99¢	$877	0x059057…
07-11 09:07:46	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x722196…
07-11 08:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xd97687…
07-11 08:10:52	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	58	89¢	$51	0x937d08…
07-11 08:03:41	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xa188a1…
07-11 07:23:53	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x696d0c…
07-11 07:22:10	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	99	83¢	$82	0x512b23…
07-11 07:13:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase july 7 13	No	BUY	76	85¢	$65	0x0794fe…
07-10 17:56:37	will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	529	98¢	$520	0x7c1725…
07-10 17:35:02	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	393	87¢	$344	0xbd603a…
07-09 20:21:01	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	228	83¢	$190	0xa91238…
07-09 06:17:22	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	297	77¢	$229	0x0a3b67…
07-09 05:36:29	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x5fa5e6…
07-09 05:36:22	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0xe107d9…
07-08 21:31:23	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	138	92¢	$127	0xa7d8b7…
07-07 20:15:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10,902	0¢	$11	0x7cce44…
07-07 20:12:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,961	65¢	$4,524	0x33e8d6…
07-07 19:32:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,040	65¢	$1,326	0x3354c4…
07-07 19:04:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x5e5fb9…
07-07 19:03:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	900	69¢	$624	0x53bee4…
07-07 19:02:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,014	65¢	$659	0xbb3d90…
07-07 18:42:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	699	72¢	$503	0x2c345e…
07-07 18:42:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	65¢	$520	0x12929f…
07-07 12:41:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0x6a8ceb…
07-07 12:33:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	244	84¢	$205	0x37b453…
07-07 12:33:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	182	84¢	$153	0xb9b743…
07-07 12:33:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc63595…
07-07 12:33:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbf2b98…
07-07 12:33:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x168b2e…
07-07 12:33:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6,666	84¢	$5,599	0x80535c…
07-07 12:32:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	109	84¢	$92	0xd5c869…
07-07 12:32:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x31e2b6…
07-07 12:32:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	980	84¢	$823	0xbd2e03…
07-07 11:00:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	190	81¢	$154	0xf85016…
07-07 10:59:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,400	81¢	$1,134	0x599e5b…
07-07 10:57:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xfb503a…
07-07 10:57:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xc26469…