Shallow-Span — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

-$184

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,869

lifetime

Volume

$433.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$232

Open exposure

$13.3K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 67% $-148

Politics

31% 100% +$9

Other

22% 0% $-4

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No		-7,901	$-5,920	86¢	$-6795	$-874	06-24 16:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+10,814	$5,852	60¢	$6.5K	+$691	06-30 14:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	203	$36.6K	36,304	35,049	+1,255	open	—	01-31 08:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	76	$33.2K	34,130	27,830	+6,300	open	—	06-02 19:53
will axiom be accused of insider trading	34	$20.3K	17,444	18,019	-575	open	—	02-26 10:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	24	$17.8K	12,655	7,614	+5,040	open	—	06-17 18:06
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	29	$17.2K	9,474	9,474	+0	open	—	06-30 06:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	31	$15.0K	13,420	9,347	+4,074	open	—	06-01 12:56
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	49	$11.6K	12,229	8,753	+3,476	open	—	01-04 13:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	55	$10.8K	15,327	15,956	-629	open	—	01-31 14:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	47	$10.8K	10,151	10,151	+0	open	—	02-20 13:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	26	$10.2K	8,923	8,923	+0	open	—	04-18 22:30
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	34	$9.1K	4,974	4,974	+0	open	—	06-08 11:39
will company b be accused of insider trading	76	$8.9K	7,958	8,258	-300	open	—	02-26 08:52
will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	24	$8.5K	10,299	9,625	+674	open	—	06-05 21:05
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	13	$7.3K	9,752	9,752	+0	open	—	01-06 10:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	9	$7.3K	5,223	2,500	+2,723	open	—	05-22 21:31
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	17	$6.7K	618	8,519	-7,901	open	—	06-24 16:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$6.6K	11,423	609	+10,814	open	—	06-30 14:22
will bitcoin dip to 66k february 16 22	19	$6.5K	4,290	4,289	+0	open	—	02-18 19:12
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	16	$6.3K	3,205	3,351	-146	open	—	05-31 23:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	15	$6.2K	6,605	20	+6,585	open	—	06-12 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$5.9K	5,874	5,874	+0	open	—	04-19 19:58
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	28	$5.8K	6,176	193	+5,983	open	—	06-08 11:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	22	$5.7K	3,653	2,441	+1,211	open	—	03-30 17:15
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	34	$5.2K	3,466	3,059	+407	open	—	03-30 17:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$5.1K	3,009	3,009	+0	open	—	04-03 23:20
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase december 30 january 5	32	$5.0K	4,120	4,208	-88	open	—	01-05 13:41
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	23	$5.0K	3,409	3,409	+0	open	—	02-23 17:28
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	34	$4.9K	12,135	12,135	+0	open	—	01-04 00:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$4.8K	2,651	2,280	+371	open	—	03-31 18:49
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4.0K	2,258	2,258	+0	open	—	06-14 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 14:01:40	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe3d606…
07-01 21:02:02	will bitcoin dip to 55k on july 1	No	BUY	2,936	100¢	$2,933	0x6b7e74…
06-30 15:43:10	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	Yes	SELL	1,204	64¢	$775	0xc395b2…
06-30 15:07:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xe9ea2d…
06-30 15:06:32	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	Yes	BUY	1,204	83¢	$1,000	0x7e995d…
06-30 14:22:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,814	54¢	$5,840	0x493f28…
06-30 14:10:41	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x2e1203…
06-30 12:07:19	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 30	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xbc2dec…
06-30 09:04:41	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 30	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa47445…
06-30 08:43:50	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 30	Yes	BUY	90	84¢	$76	0xc9c41d…
06-30 08:43:47	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 30	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x56c3cb…
06-30 06:21:14	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	129	87¢	$112	0x4d2d7b…
06-30 06:08:02	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	4,253	100¢	$4,249	0xe8e5c8…
06-30 06:07:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x0da1c4…
06-29 19:44:02	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	129	88¢	$113	0x34f08c…
06-29 13:49:29	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	205	77¢	$158	0x9bf037…
06-29 13:42:10	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	234	70¢	$164	0x383f68…
06-29 12:11:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	234	84¢	$197	0xec7a38…
06-29 12:10:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x5a08cf…
06-29 11:52:50	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9a96a8…
06-29 08:26:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x5d15d5…
06-29 06:44:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x8c7838…
06-28 12:50:52	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	531	90¢	$478	0x99edb1…
06-28 12:46:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	133	90¢	$120	0x2d3d0f…
06-28 12:45:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	886	90¢	$797	0x1b3adc…
06-28 12:38:08	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	1,328	90¢	$1,195	0x49434e…
06-28 12:31:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	1,703	90¢	$1,533	0x10e987…
06-28 12:30:44	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xd0c54a…
06-28 12:26:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	88	90¢	$79	0xf5495d…
06-28 12:25:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x0e4de2…
06-28 12:25:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	60	89¢	$54	0x67f8c3…
06-28 12:24:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0xf3ebee…
06-28 12:24:08	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x2635fb…
06-28 12:23:26	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	531	90¢	$478	0xc91c53…
06-28 11:33:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x4f0c67…
06-28 11:26:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x26cc4e…
06-28 11:20:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0x3633bc…
06-28 11:19:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x75415a…
06-28 10:36:59	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	18	69¢	$13	0x023b22…
06-28 10:36:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	1,074	72¢	$774	0x024f41…
06-28 09:06:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	41	72¢	$29	0xa16f12…
06-28 07:47:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	53	77¢	$41	0xc6c4a8…
06-28 07:47:13	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0xd4b325…
06-28 07:47:02	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	140	73¢	$102	0x7920da…
06-28 07:46:40	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	115	91¢	$105	0x6792bc…
06-28 07:00:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x2ccdf2…
06-28 06:27:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	1,745	77¢	$1,348	0x22aab0…
06-27 20:18:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0x66be68…
06-26 14:35:08	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	161	81¢	$130	0x130193…
06-26 14:14:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,130	29¢	$328	0x6b4620…
06-26 14:14:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	31¢	$21	0xd8f9a6…
06-26 14:13:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,324	30¢	$1,000	0x834eb3…
06-26 14:13:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	33¢	$48	0x30149f…
06-26 14:13:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	35¢	$45	0x000a2a…
06-26 14:13:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x6482b7…
06-26 14:08:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,806	38¢	$1,837	0x7b2c2f…
06-26 10:29:34	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xa07dd6…
06-26 07:51:40	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x852991…
06-26 07:42:16	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xf344fe…
06-26 07:42:13	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc10879…
06-26 07:42:10	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x1759da…
06-26 07:42:05	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x19ad6b…
06-26 07:42:01	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xfaca1e…
06-25 18:07:10	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xed3810…
06-25 15:25:34	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x42cc70…
06-24 16:52:10	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	42	83¢	$35	0x6ec8ff…
06-24 08:40:50	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x982750…
06-23 19:52:46	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	1,065	84¢	$895	0x87c859…
06-23 15:29:49	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	579	81¢	$469	0x56c64f…
06-23 15:29:16	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	1,001	82¢	$821	0xafad90…
06-23 15:19:35	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	61	34¢	$21	0x762153…
06-23 15:12:34	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0xf69c6f…
06-22 10:49:32	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 16 22	Yes	BUY	194	99¢	$193	0xca44f2…
06-22 00:51:47	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x36f3c1…
06-22 00:51:02	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x60ec0f…
06-22 00:50:53	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x54b762…
06-21 18:03:40	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	126	79¢	$100	0x3f8a5a…
06-21 17:18:17	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x213c3d…
06-21 17:11:04	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xfe95a7…
06-19 22:32:19	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6ceec4…
06-19 08:10:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	609	59¢	$359	0x8f3dcc…
06-18 07:21:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	61¢	$131	0x87ad42…
06-17 18:06:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3d163a…
06-17 17:30:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x570a31…
06-17 14:27:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x21c560…
06-17 13:49:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,050	100¢	$2,046	0xee07d3…
06-17 13:39:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x8378be…
06-17 13:39:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x622a8a…
06-17 13:39:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	381	61¢	$233	0x558093…
06-17 13:38:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x35d902…
06-15 15:00:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xee34a4…
06-15 14:59:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x47210a…
06-15 14:59:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	338	94¢	$317	0xbda28e…
06-15 08:28:58	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	274	86¢	$236	0xa0e6f3…
06-15 08:28:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x4bff2b…
06-15 08:28:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xba46e0…
06-15 08:28:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x050a9c…
06-15 08:28:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	126	90¢	$114	0x38f182…
06-15 08:26:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xc15bc4…
06-15 08:26:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x8f1719…