Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$458

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$121

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-08

last 11-09 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

78% 53% +$34

Politics

22% 62% -$3

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	+65	$59	94¢	$61	+$2	11-09 18:52
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	+27	$17	64¢	$17	$0	10-19 14:14
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	Yes	+63	$14	20¢	$12	-$2	11-08 09:47
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	+62	$20	18¢	$11	-$9	11-08 09:47
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	+27	$7	34¢	$9	+$2	10-19 14:14
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	Yes	+65	$14	13¢	$9	-$5	11-08 09:48
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	09-12 06:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	1	$59	65	0	+65	open	—	11-09 18:52
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	1	$50	62	0	+62	No	+$12	11-04 05:58
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	1	$42	66	0	+66	Yes	+$24	10-25 12:51
Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	1	$41	55	0	+55	Yes	+$14	10-21 09:04
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	1	$38	53	0	+53	Yes	+$15	10-20 15:30
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	2	$25	46	46	+0	No	-$25	10-19 07:12
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	11-08 09:47
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	1	$17	27	0	+27	open	—	10-19 14:14
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	1	$15	44	0	+44	Yes	+$29	10-17 09:34
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	1	$14	65	0	+65	open	—	11-08 09:48
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	1	$14	70	0	+70	No	-$14	10-25 12:50
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	1	$14	63	0	+63	open	—	11-08 09:47
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$12	29	0	+29	No	-$12	10-24 10:51
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	2	$11	55	55	+0	No	-$11	10-25 08:49
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	10-13 15:55
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?	1	$10	54	0	+54	No	-$10	10-20 15:30
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	1	$9	26	0	+26	Yes	+$17	10-24 10:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$7	13	0	+13	No	-$7	09-11 09:46
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	1	$7	27	0	+27	open	—	10-19 14:14
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	2	$5	66	66	+0	No	-$5	11-06 06:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	10-03 21:59
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	10-07 11:36
Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	10-17 09:35
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	09-08 19:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	09-12 06:35
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Feyenoord Rotterdam O/U 0.5	1	$3	5	0	+5	Over	+$2	09-09 16:26
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	+$5	10-07 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	09-08 19:07
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	09-13 12:19
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	09-12 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 18:52:16	Will Mongolia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?	No	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x59afe4…
11-08 09:48:00	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	Yes	BUY	65	21¢	$14	0xafe986…
11-08 09:47:52	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	Yes	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x414af1…
11-08 09:47:37	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xf2a77e…
11-06 06:36:54	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$0	0xd96607…
11-04 05:58:49	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xead814…
11-04 05:58:42	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xdf1ff5…
10-25 12:51:15	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	66	64¢	$42	0x0bf9d3…
10-25 12:50:44	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x4655a9…
10-25 08:49:21	Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0xf0433a…
10-24 10:51:48	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x78b02d…
10-24 10:51:36	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x6a245e…
10-21 09:04:18	Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x9e09db…
10-21 09:04:09	Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x89be65…
10-20 15:30:51	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xf98624…
10-20 15:30:38	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	53	72¢	$38	0x1ea4c9…
10-19 14:14:54	Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x840f11…
10-19 14:14:30	Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x401e6a…
10-19 07:12:53	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xf458a5…
10-17 17:05:23	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xc5d775…
10-17 09:35:35	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2ed08d…
10-17 09:34:41	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x157311…
10-17 09:34:18	Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xbfee9a…
10-13 15:55:09	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x71bf8d…
10-13 03:30:02	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd61a92…
10-07 11:37:04	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xdbba29…
10-07 11:36:49	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b1436…
10-03 21:59:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x884124…
09-13 12:19:31	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7e930b…
09-12 06:37:12	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc199fd…
09-12 06:35:25	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xe354e2…
09-11 09:46:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x73da15…
09-10 17:09:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaf69d8…
09-10 17:01:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x71e423…
09-09 16:26:09	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Feyenoord Rotterdam O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc1741c…
09-08 19:24:03	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcdef45…
09-08 19:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa3c92e…
09-08 19:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9cf32a…
09-08 19:04:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x017fba…
09-08 19:03:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x10defd…