Substantial-Fibrosis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,635

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-09 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Crypto

31% 65% $-11

Politics

17% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 423 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 27	4	$994	500	500	+0	open	—	03-28 06:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$504	600	600	+0	open	—	04-03 19:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 06:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 16:57
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	03-28 19:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$235	132	132	+0	open	—	04-01 16:29
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	2	$222	250	250	+0	open	—	04-03 21:05
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	7	$208	128	100	+28	open	—	04-03 21:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	04-04 15:05
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 13:55
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 15:27
will trumps approval rating be less than 39pt0 on april 3 2026	5	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 19:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	04-11 05:38
bitcoin above 72k on april 1	2	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	04-01 09:16
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	6	$123	150	0	+150	open	—	04-01 12:15
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	3	$119	121	0	+121	open	—	03-28 10:20
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$113	120	0	+120	open	—	04-06 19:11
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	5	$113	114	0	+114	open	—	04-01 10:09
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$108	114	0	+114	open	—	03-27 09:18
bitboy convicted	2	$107	112	0	+112	open	—	03-27 13:52
highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow	6	$106	120	0	+120	open	—	04-04 16:41
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	3	$105	200	0	+200	open	—	04-03 18:00
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	2	$105	111	0	+111	open	—	03-27 09:14
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	8	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	03-30 20:13
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 12c	5	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-01 09:38
highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 48forhigher	11	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-02 12:06
karoline leavitt out by march 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-28 20:29
will bitcoin reach 74k march 23 29	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-28 11:22
highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 10c	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 09:50
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	4	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 10:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7ce090…
06-09 09:39:49	btc updown 5m 1780997700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf9404d…
06-09 08:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x010311…
06-09 08:19:45	btc updown 5m 1780992900	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb29756…
06-09 07:49:55	btc updown 5m 1780991100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2e29a5…
06-09 07:44:49	btc updown 5m 1780990800	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b0d68…
06-09 07:39:43	btc updown 5m 1780990500	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x24d4f4…
06-09 05:59:55	btc updown 5m 1780984500	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9654a7…
06-09 05:44:40	btc updown 5m 1780983600	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x74a835…
06-09 04:24:52	btc updown 5m 1780978800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ad348…
06-09 03:39:37	btc updown 5m 1780976100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1d0c76…
06-09 02:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780972800	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x54c6d0…
06-09 02:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780972800	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2f31f2…
06-09 01:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x982b10…
06-09 01:14:37	btc updown 5m 1780967400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf8d7a9…
06-08 22:19:39	btc updown 5m 1780956900	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0ee506…
06-08 20:19:46	btc updown 5m 1780949700	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x85bf42…
06-08 20:09:51	btc updown 5m 1780949100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3f7399…
06-08 20:09:40	btc updown 5m 1780949100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3f32c5…
06-07 09:17:43	btc updown 5m 1780823700	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0d6a3e…
06-07 09:07:54	btc updown 5m 1780823100	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8c6ead…
06-07 08:57:40	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xff6cd6…
06-07 08:53:04	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xda23d8…
06-07 08:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780821600	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x660e8c…
06-07 08:22:42	btc updown 5m 1780820400	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0a2915…
06-07 08:02:40	btc updown 5m 1780819200	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9ccbdc…
06-07 07:52:42	btc updown 5m 1780818600	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x159b0d…
06-07 07:48:06	btc updown 5m 1780818300	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf77d75…
06-07 07:38:03	btc updown 5m 1780817700	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9b12f4…
06-07 07:32:42	btc updown 5m 1780817400	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6c4426…
06-07 07:08:25	btc updown 5m 1780815900	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc87a7c…
06-07 07:02:48	btc updown 5m 1780815600	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xff2bb6…
06-07 06:53:16	btc updown 5m 1780815000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1fb1c6…
06-07 06:43:03	btc updown 5m 1780814400	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6bee9a…
06-07 06:37:54	btc updown 5m 1780814100	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x21a5f5…
06-07 06:23:07	btc updown 5m 1780813200	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfd3fec…
06-07 06:14:06	btc updown 5m 1780812600	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa85a23…
06-07 05:52:45	btc updown 5m 1780811400	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3d20d4…
06-07 05:42:45	btc updown 5m 1780810800	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x933904…
06-07 04:53:06	btc updown 5m 1780807800	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9d8ee9…
06-07 04:47:49	btc updown 5m 1780807500	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x91fcaf…
06-07 04:44:15	btc updown 5m 1780807200	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc3236c…
06-07 04:38:16	btc updown 5m 1780806900	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x904ff7…
06-07 04:32:45	btc updown 5m 1780806600	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0eddc5…
06-07 04:28:57	btc updown 5m 1780806300	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe84f23…
06-07 04:17:42	btc updown 5m 1780805700	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5158c4…
06-07 04:08:55	btc updown 5m 1780805100	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4dd32d…
06-07 03:58:27	btc updown 5m 1780804500	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x87c1b5…
06-07 03:33:00	btc updown 5m 1780803000	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x07c8b7…
06-07 03:23:03	btc updown 5m 1780802400	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x807c60…
06-07 03:17:51	btc updown 5m 1780802100	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcdce70…
06-07 03:12:40	btc updown 5m 1780801800	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xae6cca…
06-07 02:58:01	btc updown 5m 1780800900	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb5ed76…
06-07 02:43:33	btc updown 5m 1780800000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7c9cec…
06-07 02:38:31	btc updown 5m 1780799700	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x831983…
06-07 02:32:52	btc updown 5m 1780799400	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa37d83…
06-07 02:22:43	btc updown 5m 1780798800	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5ff121…
06-07 02:03:04	btc updown 5m 1780797600	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xedaeb5…
06-07 01:53:33	btc updown 5m 1780797000	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x64222d…
06-07 01:48:01	btc updown 5m 1780796700	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfbeb39…
06-07 01:43:15	btc updown 5m 1780796400	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x257658…
06-07 01:27:42	btc updown 5m 1780795500	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9cf545…
06-07 01:22:46	btc updown 5m 1780795200	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x085afc…
06-07 01:12:45	btc updown 5m 1780794600	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9a6531…
06-07 00:57:58	btc updown 5m 1780793700	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc18682…
06-07 00:52:57	btc updown 5m 1780793400	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x22036a…
06-07 00:47:40	btc updown 5m 1780793100	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5f2455…
06-07 00:37:43	btc updown 5m 1780792500	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3f42d2…
06-07 00:17:51	btc updown 5m 1780791300	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbf3cac…
06-07 00:03:09	btc updown 5m 1780790400	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa0d0d2…
06-06 23:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780790100	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9c056d…
06-06 23:47:52	btc updown 5m 1780789500	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x922aa8…
06-06 23:37:46	btc updown 5m 1780788900	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb627b9…
06-06 23:33:10	btc updown 5m 1780788600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8ce2a0…
06-06 23:22:40	btc updown 5m 1780788000	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd3b84c…
06-06 23:17:54	btc updown 5m 1780787700	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe08ed4…
06-06 23:13:25	btc updown 5m 1780787400	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa5622a…
06-06 22:07:43	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf44794…
06-06 22:03:24	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2fd5cf…
06-06 21:53:34	btc updown 5m 1780782600	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0a20f5…
06-06 21:47:57	btc updown 5m 1780782300	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa5eb14…
06-06 21:43:10	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd986c0…
06-06 21:24:13	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd19c6e…
06-06 21:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2d81d5…
06-06 21:07:52	btc updown 5m 1780779900	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x373133…
06-06 21:03:07	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x491f40…
06-06 20:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780779300	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3bd25d…
06-06 20:42:40	btc updown 5m 1780778400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x097396…
06-06 20:33:01	btc updown 5m 1780777800	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9d8966…
06-06 20:27:54	btc updown 5m 1780777500	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x099493…
06-06 20:24:04	btc updown 5m 1780777200	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x596121…
06-06 20:17:42	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe26e4a…
06-06 20:12:51	btc updown 5m 1780776600	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb8a9f7…
06-06 20:03:01	btc updown 5m 1780776000	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6f7d1e…
06-06 19:52:42	btc updown 5m 1780775400	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6ab70f…
06-06 19:42:51	btc updown 5m 1780774800	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe0d258…
06-06 19:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780774200	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc44fd7…
06-06 19:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780773600	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa36964…
06-06 19:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780773300	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x355d45…
06-06 19:13:07	btc updown 5m 1780773000	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6290da…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	551	$533.3K	20,843	06-09 18:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	478	$136.3K	27,115	06-09 18:53
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	477	$165.3K	34,569	06-09 18:53
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	477	$132.2K	43,530	06-09 18:54
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	477	$132.0K	35,335	06-09 18:54
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	477	$39.2K	6,036	06-09 18:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	475	$152.1K	53,094	06-09 18:54
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	474	$403.2K	55,149	06-09 18:54