Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$53

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

239

239 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.62K

$5.62K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 10-27 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 47% +$17

Other

4% 0% -$29

Politics

1% 0% -$40

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+83	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-26 00:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+53	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-27 00:56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	+50	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-26 00:18
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+206	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-27 00:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	17	$1.2K	7,913	1,659	+6,254	Down	+$34	10-27 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	15	$439	778	278	+500	Up	+$19	10-26 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	9	$427	790	290	+500	Up	+$17	10-27 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$355	357	257	+100	Up	+$45	10-27 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	14	$276	365	216	+149	Up	-$24	10-27 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	7	$274	709	209	+500	Up	+$64	10-27 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$265	435	357	+78	Down	-$15	10-26 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	16	$243	189	184	+5	Up	+$48	10-26 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	10	$230	152	152	+0	Down	+$50	10-26 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$183	634	134	+500	Down	+$74	10-27 00:34
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	5	$171	169	169	+0	open	—	10-26 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	9	$159	138	138	+0	Down	+$9	10-26 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	14	$151	1,209	175	+1,034	Up	-$9	10-26 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$147	353	103	+250	Down	+$37	10-26 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$139	97	97	+0	Up	+$9	10-27 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$100	211	0	+211	Up	-$100	10-27 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$89	50	50	+0	Up	+$9	10-26 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	7	$78	1,575	36	+1,539	Down	-$22	10-27 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$77	537	37	+500	Up	-$3	10-26 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$69	662	130	+531	Up	-$11	10-26 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$63	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	10-27 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$50	15,265	0	+15,265	Down	-$50	10-26 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	8	$45	591	35	+556	Up	-$5	10-26 23:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$40	1,032	0	+1,032	No	-$40	10-25 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$40	855	0	+855	Down	-$40	10-27 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$40	788	0	+788	Down	-$30	10-26 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$35	25	25	+0	Up	+$15	10-26 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	10-26 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$30	122	0	+122	Down	-$30	10-26 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	10-26 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x74b1ee…
10-27 00:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8e8fba…
10-27 00:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xff74e4…
10-27 00:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd20268…
10-27 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8175b5…
10-27 00:56:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd2f9a8…
10-27 00:56:39	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	0¢	$1	0xf21cd9…
10-27 00:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	76¢	$28	0xc9cb67…
10-27 00:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x615732…
10-27 00:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	149	17¢	$25	0x217087…
10-27 00:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xe81821…
10-27 00:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	87	58¢	$50	0x731833…
10-27 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd4564b…
10-27 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x48fdb1…
10-27 00:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfea059…
10-27 00:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xe70eac…
10-27 00:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x106850…
10-27 00:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	98	65¢	$64	0x09f8bb…
10-27 00:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x215838…
10-27 00:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xffc4ee…
10-27 00:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x01e7ea…
10-27 00:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xa07a86…
10-27 00:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xbe273e…
10-27 00:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf359e8…
10-27 00:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe6f626…
10-27 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xeff900…
10-27 00:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x147788…
10-27 00:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc987fd…
10-27 00:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd20150…
10-27 00:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa9dc8c…
10-27 00:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe96677…
10-27 00:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xb2bdf3…
10-27 00:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x34a874…
10-27 00:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3fc44a…
10-27 00:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6d4f19…
10-27 00:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	134	96¢	$129	0xb1c985…
10-27 00:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	68	36¢	$25	0x3a8055…
10-27 00:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xd44333…
10-27 00:28:24	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f7edc…
10-27 00:27:35	Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3e28f3…
10-27 00:27:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x70f1ca…
10-27 00:27:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x3e1f45…
10-27 00:27:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb2ba4d…
10-27 00:26:56	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd45aa3…
10-27 00:26:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6fb3c1…
10-27 00:26:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x374f72…
10-27 00:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	97	76¢	$74	0xb6b803…
10-27 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8c8678…
10-27 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x409e8b…
10-27 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x069e59…
10-27 00:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xbbcabb…
10-27 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xac9a52…
10-27 00:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0xd2ed02…
10-27 00:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x76eb00…
10-27 00:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4050d1…
10-27 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x416156…
10-27 00:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	254	17¢	$43	0x132c2d…
10-27 00:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	45	19¢	$8	0xc808d5…
10-27 00:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x139012…
10-27 00:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	357	52¢	$186	0x49f4db…
10-27 00:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xa35f81…
10-27 00:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	351	28¢	$98	0xceb9f5…
10-27 00:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	351	29¢	$100	0xae1268…
10-27 00:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	294	25¢	$75	0x1883d6…
10-27 00:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xd64a49…
10-27 00:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	212	31¢	$66	0x489f8c…
10-27 00:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xbf1f87…
10-27 00:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	401	47¢	$189	0x320d15…
10-27 00:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x2cbcc4…
10-27 00:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdff6e2…
10-27 00:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x622107…
10-27 00:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x64961d…
10-27 00:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8d7eb3…
10-27 00:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0xcf31b6…
10-27 00:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xfc3397…
10-27 00:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xc24213…
10-27 00:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	118	51¢	$60	0x0dc126…
10-27 00:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x94530c…
10-27 00:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xc31d0b…
10-27 00:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x75bdf1…
10-27 00:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x35f11a…
10-27 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x5d00bf…
10-27 00:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	228	76¢	$173	0x9de749…
10-27 00:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x84978b…
10-27 00:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x9cdbd8…
10-27 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5ca9d8…
10-27 00:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xbb9695…
10-27 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x1375c2…
10-27 00:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	137	72¢	$99	0xc07d46…
10-27 00:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x9ef7fe…
10-27 00:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x624038…
10-27 00:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xe826bf…
10-26 23:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3049c7…
10-26 23:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3367c4…
10-26 23:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	130	22¢	$29	0xaad188…
10-26 23:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xbc601d…
10-26 23:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x810430…
10-26 23:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x112efc…
10-26 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	357	35¢	$125	0x5548b4…
10-26 23:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xce749b…