Metallic-Tie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

201

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$5.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-05 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 74% -$208

Other

24% 86% -$14

Sports

7% 50% -$18

Politics

3% 44% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	10-05 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for france by feburary 1	13	$201	248	248	+0	No	+$1	01-18 13:08
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$141	141	0	+141	Yes	+$0	02-01 16:26
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$118	225	0	+225	Knicks	-$2	06-06 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:35 UTC	3	$105	208	0	+208	Up	+$3	06-06 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:35 UTC	3	$105	208	0	+208	Up	+$1	06-06 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:55 UTC	3	$105	206	0	+206	Up	+$4	06-06 05:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:05 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Down	+$4	06-06 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:25 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Up	-$6	06-06 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:15 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Down	+$4	06-06 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:50 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Up	-$6	06-06 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:55 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Down	+$4	06-06 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:40 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Up	-$6	06-06 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:45 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Down	+$4	06-06 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:25 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Down	-$4	06-06 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:00 UTC	3	$104	206	0	+206	Down	+$4	06-06 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:10 UTC	3	$104	208	0	+208	Up	-$4	06-06 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:25 UTC	2	$104	206	0	+206	Up	-$6	06-06 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:25 UTC	2	$103	204	0	+204	Up	+$5	06-06 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:05 UTC	2	$103	204	0	+204	Down	+$5	06-06 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:45 UTC	2	$103	204	0	+204	Down	+$5	06-06 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:25 UTC	3	$102	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	06-05 03:19
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	06-08 00:38
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-07 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-06 13:52
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	10-05 13:40
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	09-03 11:18
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	4	$87	95	95	+0	Silver	-$1	01-18 04:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$69	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 02:58
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$68	100	0	+100	Yes	+$32	02-07 11:58
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$68	55	13	+42	No	+$0	08-27 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:41:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf43b96…
10-05 13:40:05	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x51eac9…
09-03 11:18:28	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x806409…
08-27 10:24:52	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x37baea…
08-26 23:45:51	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1db3aa…
08-20 23:31:33	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x60a67d…
08-02 02:36:47	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x404fa3…
08-02 02:36:29	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe269ca…
07-26 09:49:37	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x894991…
07-19 15:19:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf38190…
07-10 23:52:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x603f6e…
07-07 02:29:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x776de6…
07-02 22:52:23	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x014a6c…
07-01 17:14:55	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb9fef2…
06-30 17:20:04	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe6bc48…
06-28 23:12:47	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe5cb7b…
06-26 17:02:47	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfff8aa…
06-26 11:26:05	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xca7bc1…
06-25 11:06:19	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b8716…
06-23 02:10:35	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3b59e…
06-21 02:44:34	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x978ead…
06-17 02:04:49	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x94602a…
06-16 04:46:49	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x69d432…
06-15 02:58:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	85¢	$35	0x198aac…
06-15 00:50:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x364f83…
06-11 06:21:55	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x58d317…
06-11 06:20:22	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xb64e3c…
06-08 00:38:51	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x561303…
06-07 01:48:49	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xf425f1…
06-07 01:48:39	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x30dc43…
06-06 15:58:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x94f518…
06-06 15:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x5315d2…
06-06 15:57:49	cs2 fut tyloo 2026 06 06	FUT Esports	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xf43c77…
06-06 15:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x11c4b4…
06-06 15:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x091c31…
06-06 15:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x2e9857…
06-06 15:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x7f457a…
06-06 14:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x65ef5e…
06-06 14:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x67a85d…
06-06 14:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3078d3…
06-06 13:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4253a5…
06-06 13:52:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3de6e7…
06-06 13:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5440c7…
06-06 13:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x2e533f…
06-06 13:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7b9abc…
06-06 13:11:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf800f0…
06-06 12:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x68a291…
06-06 12:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1f04d9…
06-06 12:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x50c8d3…
06-06 12:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x86035d…
06-06 11:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x607968…
06-06 11:43:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xdd9ed4…
06-06 11:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	96	51¢	$49	0xe39683…
06-06 11:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x7232ed…
06-06 09:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	96	51¢	$49	0xcc3c80…
06-06 09:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xc0a8ec…
06-06 09:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	96	51¢	$49	0x9a408d…
06-06 09:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xa0630f…
06-06 09:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x58b8c9…
06-06 09:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xd6d71d…
06-06 08:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x84e2e6…
06-06 08:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x5b4cd3…
06-06 08:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x0b45a0…
06-06 07:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xb547b7…
06-06 07:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x2e5e07…
06-06 07:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x40f8d3…
06-06 07:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	106	51¢	$54	0x8cede2…
06-06 06:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0b1070…
06-06 06:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4b0a98…
06-06 06:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0xe4587f…
06-06 06:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xccb547…
06-06 06:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3a4354…
06-06 06:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xf999c7…
06-06 06:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc56d81…
06-06 06:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc568f2…
06-06 06:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0x2b94b0…
06-06 05:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2553ec…
06-06 05:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0x335639…
06-06 05:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	97	53¢	$52	0x10d9a8…
06-06 05:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6b63dd…
06-06 05:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x986f99…
06-06 05:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x39d154…
06-06 02:52:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x222a31…
06-06 02:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x392429…
06-06 02:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x9e8cbc…
06-06 02:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xa78e4f…
06-06 02:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x1480db…
06-06 02:05:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xa7213e…
06-06 02:05:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x1f3f66…
06-05 03:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72247d…
06-05 03:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x4c0387…
06-05 03:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x1dc3df…
06-04 23:25:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8daa8…
06-03 13:46:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f5b2d…
06-01 15:18:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x00b0cb…
06-01 15:18:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x100ee5…
06-01 15:16:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x57061a…
06-01 14:28:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	37¢	$21	0xd038c5…
06-01 14:24:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5a3fa2…
05-31 06:16:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe6de9c…