Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$488

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

1,808

Trades

6,512

lifetime

Volume

$70.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

19 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 50% +$401

Other

24% 27% -$625

Politics

21% 27% -$179

Sports

5% 19% -$42

Tech

1% 35% -$33

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+60	$6	6¢	$3	-$3	09-18 17:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	+4	$4	25¢	$1	-$3	09-07 12:48
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	09-26 18:59
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	+1	$1	60¢	$1	$0	09-11 03:39
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+0	$0	79¢	$0	$0	09-05 14:33
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+20	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-26 19:44
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	7¢	$0	+$1	09-24 16:54
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	09-14 07:26
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+1	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-27 13:08
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+0	-$3	74¢	$0	+$3	09-11 09:59
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221269	No	+0	$0	76¢	$0	$0	08-23 00:13
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	09-10 19:29
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	No	+0	$0	93¢	$0	+$0	09-15 17:24
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	+0	$1	92¢	$0	-$1	09-24 16:31
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+0	$0	79¢	$0	+$0	09-04 06:42
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	+0	$2	63¢	$0	-$2	09-20 19:51
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	+0	$6	18¢	$0	-$6	08-23 09:42
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221278	Yes	+0	-$4	13¢	$0	+$4	08-22 13:37
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+0	-$3	3¢	$0	+$3	09-16 23:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:50 UTC	4	$314	285	280	+4	Down	+$29	03-24 23:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:40 UTC	2	$302	263	260	+4	Up	+$116	03-23 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:00 UTC	3	$296	240	236	+4	Down	+$64	03-23 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:05 UTC	2	$293	240	236	+4	Up	+$70	03-23 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:40 UTC	4	$293	263	259	+4	Down	+$12	03-24 23:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:50 UTC	4	$291	249	245	+4	Down	+$8	03-24 23:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:55 UTC	2	$271	240	236	+4	Up	+$36	03-23 06:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:15 UTC	2	$247	254	250	+4	Up	-$45	03-23 07:18
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	15	$227	234	234	+0	No	-$11	08-28 09:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:40 UTC	2	$224	256	253	+4	Up	+$36	03-23 07:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:30 UTC	2	$221	154	151	+3	Down	+$67	03-23 06:32
Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	4	$213	208	208	+0	open	—	08-23 04:56
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	10	$205	400	100	+300	Down	-$45	08-30 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:35 UTC	2	$200	263	260	+4	Up	+$6	03-23 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:20 UTC	2	$197	283	279	+4	Down	-$98	03-23 07:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:50 UTC	2	$194	204	201	+3	Up	-$2	03-23 07:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:05 UTC	2	$190	179	176	+3	Up	-$2	03-23 08:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:05 UTC	2	$186	136	134	+2	Down	+$30	03-23 06:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:05 UTC	2	$183	121	120	+2	Down	+$25	03-23 06:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:05 UTC	2	$177	132	130	+2	Down	+$84	03-23 21:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:45 UTC	2	$164	213	209	+3	Down	-$33	03-23 07:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:00 UTC	2	$163	256	253	+4	Up	-$33	03-23 08:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:20 UTC	6	$150	294	0	+294	Down	-$150	03-23 07:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:10 UTC	17	$148	662	0	+662	Up	+$130	03-23 08:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:15 UTC	2	$145	104	103	+2	Down	+$49	03-23 08:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:25 UTC	1	$143	300	0	+300	Up	-$143	03-23 07:25
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	2	$142	96	95	+2	Down	+$48	03-26 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:45 UTC	2	$140	163	161	+3	Up	-$16	03-23 05:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:45 UTC	6	$139	89	89	+0	Down	+$39	03-23 23:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:00 UTC	2	$139	278	274	+4	Up	-$57	03-23 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:20:18	Will Monaco finish first in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xfd3350…
10-27 15:32:18	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5d9fab…
10-27 14:48:57	Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xcb2f4e…
10-27 14:16:56	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xfb5f50…
10-27 13:55:59	Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0xd753d6…
10-27 12:11:57	Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xe6e861…
10-27 11:15:18	Will Vox receive less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x8fb343…
10-27 08:56:20	Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xefc8c4…
10-27 03:29:15	Will Junts win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x04305e…
10-27 03:24:24	Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xa9aac6…
10-27 02:35:23	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xc716d8…
10-27 00:45:33	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x445d5b…
10-27 00:16:54	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x4630f4…
10-26 23:55:03	Will PP win 138-143 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xb3f367…
10-26 22:45:38	Will PNV win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xd0a04e…
10-26 21:22:38	Will Lamar Jackson lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x98145b…
10-26 21:10:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3264f0…
10-26 17:57:09	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc969d5…
10-26 16:02:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xbe84fa…
10-26 15:58:35	Will Yashar win 20-22% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x2929c9…
10-26 15:54:09	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x08ca8a…
10-26 15:48:38	Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc3223c…
10-26 14:56:02	Will Josh Allen finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xd03537…
10-26 14:44:06	Will Josh Allen finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xe8946a…
10-26 14:27:23	Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x92ec54…
10-26 14:00:15	Will Drew Rasmussen lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x7fb925…
10-26 13:59:09	Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xeb08b9…
10-26 13:14:42	Will PP win 132-137 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xa00c19…
10-26 11:42:39	Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x1c0547…
10-26 10:34:29	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x0206bd…
10-26 09:47:29	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xaa66d1…
10-26 09:15:59	Will Junts win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xb56bc5…
10-26 08:25:32	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xffe425…
10-26 06:44:02	Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x5e9902…
10-26 04:50:47	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x920eb2…
10-26 03:53:42	Will Loïs Openda score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x44e00f…
10-26 02:33:06	Will DN SOOPers make a roster change by December?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xb3bbac…
10-26 02:24:56	Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xa3a146…
10-26 00:06:18	Will Chicago Bears finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xaf465b…
10-25 22:57:50	Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xf20f21…
10-25 22:55:57	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xf197a9…
10-25 22:44:06	Will Yashar win 20-22% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xf30dc2…
10-25 21:59:35	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xd8a99e…
10-25 21:05:36	Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x9ba443…
10-25 19:18:44	Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three-pointers made per game in 2026-27?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xf20048…
10-25 16:56:14	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.50T and $2.75T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x58e3d9…
10-25 16:37:15	Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x42934b…
10-25 15:12:39	Will Dallas Mavericks advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x7899cb…
10-25 15:10:44	Will PP receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	23	84¢	$19	0x953ee2…
10-25 14:11:32	Will Gemma Chan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x19827e…
10-25 13:37:23	South Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc45d45…
10-25 13:04:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5d1cbd…
10-25 12:47:11	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 90% to 92%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x82cf8e…
10-25 12:07:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 35% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6e7847…
10-25 11:02:57	Will Ben Johnson win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6513e1…
10-25 10:35:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x57d920…
10-25 10:35:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4c2530…
10-25 07:45:32	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xb5dc42…
10-25 07:21:20	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x3840e9…
10-25 07:06:53	Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5ad24e…
10-25 06:25:17	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xbc949c…
10-25 06:11:47	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x094535…
10-25 04:54:15	Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3b8f77…
10-25 04:26:12	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xff907d…
10-25 04:15:32	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 1% to 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x301f77…
10-25 03:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xdc2f71…
10-25 03:23:39	Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3ded3c…
10-25 02:51:15	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 1% to 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x669488…
10-25 01:23:36	Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xfa7109…
10-25 01:04:33	Will CCa win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x64673f…
10-25 00:57:32	Will Vox receive less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xbbff97…
10-25 00:30:50	Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6a52cf…
10-25 00:20:20	Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xd41774…
10-25 00:01:48	Will Vox win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda1894…
10-24 23:42:12	Will Penélope Cruz be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9b9bb7…
10-24 23:36:09	Will the ACC conference win the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xc7cc03…
10-24 23:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x29e7ed…
10-24 23:21:03	Will iiTzTimmy win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x84fd0c…
10-24 23:02:42	Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference?	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0xbd37eb…
10-24 22:56:26	Will zekken play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x4cf2df…
10-24 22:45:30	Will PP win 132-137 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf75b0c…
10-24 22:31:03	Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x553b05…
10-24 22:20:38	Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8575b4…
10-24 22:04:09	Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x966d61…
10-24 21:49:05	Will Junts win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xf99848…
10-24 21:49:05	Will Junts win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbc6464…
10-24 21:39:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0xf3a070…
10-24 21:35:20	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.50T and $2.75T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3f814c…
10-24 21:22:02	Will Lamar Jackson lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x51c9bc…
10-24 21:22:00	Will Lamar Jackson lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x42a9d2…
10-24 21:00:06	Will Vox receive less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe7ab9a…
10-24 19:51:20	Will Vox receive less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xf1d81b…
10-24 18:30:56	Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x22e326…
10-24 18:06:03	Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x2688cd…
10-24 18:00:33	Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc1feeb…
10-24 17:41:51	Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xea2f47…
10-24 17:41:02	Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xd4a3e1…
10-24 17:41:02	Will Zendaya be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xd4a3e1…
10-24 17:40:47	Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x2c2260…
10-24 17:29:11	Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x689fef…