Livid-Admire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.99K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

15,471

Trades

298,954

lifetime

Volume

$360.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-28 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 59% -$4,997

Politics

1% 100% +$17

Other

0% 71% -$13

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 38234 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	—	+4	$2	99¢	$4	+$2	10-28 00:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	23	$1.7K	1,220	800	+420	No	+$14	05-26 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 02:45 UTC	491	$1.5K	3,001	0	+3,001	Up	-$6	01-15 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 03:00 UTC	290	$926	1,823	0	+1,823	Down	-$18	01-15 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:45 UTC	302	$747	1,499	0	+1,499	Up	-$5	01-11 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 23:30 UTC	255	$690	1,375	0	+1,375	Up	-$6	01-11 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:15 UTC	225	$688	1,332	0	+1,332	Down	-$96	01-31 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 04:45 UTC	219	$655	1,328	0	+1,328	Up	-$11	01-11 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 08:00 UTC	305	$653	1,294	0	+1,294	Down	-$15	01-26 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 07:30 UTC	288	$627	1,223	0	+1,223	Up	-$9	01-26 07:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 04:30 UTC	240	$621	1,251	0	+1,251	Up	+$0	01-11 04:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 09:15 UTC	284	$608	1,206	0	+1,206	Down	-$10	01-26 09:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 04:15 UTC	259	$593	1,177	0	+1,177	Up	-$4	01-31 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:45 UTC	87	$586	781	0	+781	Up	+$34	01-13 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 03:30 UTC	191	$583	1,154	0	+1,154	Down	-$9	01-15 03:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 16:15 UTC	220	$574	1,148	0	+1,148	Up	+$5	01-15 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 01:30 UTC	275	$570	1,131	0	+1,131	Up	-$3	01-15 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:45 UTC	217	$555	1,096	0	+1,096	Up	-$7	01-12 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 16:30 UTC	166	$546	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$1	01-10 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 01:45 UTC	202	$539	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	$0	01-12 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 07:45 UTC	262	$537	1,060	0	+1,060	Up	-$5	01-26 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 06:15 UTC	259	$533	1,065	0	+1,065	Up	-$5	01-29 06:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 06:00 UTC	256	$533	1,071	0	+1,071	Down	-$2	01-31 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 07:15 UTC	270	$511	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	-$4	01-29 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:00 UTC	51	$492	607	0	+607	Up	+$23	01-13 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:00 UTC	223	$487	960	0	+960	Up	-$1	01-31 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 20:00 UTC	108	$480	984	0	+984	Up	+$14	01-15 20:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 06:45 UTC	220	$476	953	0	+953	Up	+$3	01-31 07:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:00 UTC	186	$475	943	0	+943	Up	-$4	01-11 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 07:30 UTC	170	$475	955	0	+955	Up	-$14	01-29 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 23:45 UTC	254	$475	948	0	+948	Down	-$9	01-14 23:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x5403e5…
10-28 00:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5b4cfd…
10-28 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x729e46…
10-28 00:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf85130…
10-28 00:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x439752…
10-28 00:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe709a9…
10-27 23:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x36a59d…
10-27 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x841e83…
10-27 23:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd1a73d…
10-27 23:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7286fa…
10-27 23:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6722ef…
10-27 23:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf929fc…
10-27 23:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3732fe…
10-27 23:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x88fe02…
10-27 23:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6dbfba…
10-27 23:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcfe6f2…
10-27 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x995e83…
10-27 23:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef1573…
10-27 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x402761…
10-27 23:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x47169f…
10-27 23:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdb3c27…
10-27 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xefbdd6…
10-27 23:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xe1ddab…
10-27 23:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa1c287…
10-27 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4a59c2…
10-27 23:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x409ced…
10-27 23:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xd7ba66…
10-27 23:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x626c81…
10-27 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdc8a19…
10-27 23:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xc74087…
10-27 23:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x5b8253…
10-27 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdd1ec3…
10-27 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa5ab39…
10-27 22:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xa570bf…
10-27 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x33a3a8…
10-27 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x50bd23…
10-27 22:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x1248c8…
10-27 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x7370da…
10-27 22:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xcca452…
10-27 22:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x88029a…
10-27 22:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xfbb6f2…
10-27 22:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x7c170c…
10-27 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xe208d9…
10-27 22:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe72f63…
10-27 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0c86be…
10-27 22:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5d2e5f…
10-27 22:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x074b9c…
10-27 22:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x37d994…
10-27 22:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xa2dc3d…
10-27 22:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x2b909b…
10-27 22:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x527189…
10-27 22:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa1279c…
10-27 22:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x967039…
10-27 22:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6dfe79…
10-27 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf67872…
10-27 22:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xd7f8d4…
10-27 22:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x5e776d…
10-27 22:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x974d63…
10-27 22:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x7e1196…
10-27 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x291c79…
10-27 22:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x071841…
10-27 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x4b5662…
10-27 22:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfe1a7b…
10-27 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x5b2330…
10-27 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0579f6…
10-27 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xad31fd…
10-27 21:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xadd510…
10-27 21:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x4f1c45…
10-27 21:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8bca89…
10-27 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2126b6…
10-27 21:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5ca510…
10-27 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x05438f…
10-27 21:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x436b64…
10-27 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6bbf1a…
10-27 21:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x305c3a…
10-27 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa20c84…
10-27 21:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5cbfdb…
10-27 21:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc6c347…
10-27 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x609425…
10-27 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc79384…
10-27 21:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x982309…
10-27 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3c13b4…
10-27 21:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0303fc…
10-27 21:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa1e88c…
10-27 21:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0f3d06…
10-27 21:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc14f6f…
10-27 21:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xf1221a…
10-27 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd4d8cf…
10-27 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x5e2e36…
10-27 21:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9e8632…
10-27 21:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdb15e7…
10-27 21:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x73c01b…
10-27 20:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcb4b15…
10-27 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x47011a…
10-27 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x9dffb8…
10-27 20:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xdac48f…
10-27 20:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x171154…
10-27 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc3f35d…
10-27 20:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x9d50b3…
10-27 20:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8c7c4d…