Realized P&L
-$583
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
321
Trades
878
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$6
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 11-13 13:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Politics
64% 56% -$586
Other
27% 56% -$125
Sports
6% 52% +$109
Tech
3% 80% +$23
Crypto
1% 52% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +196 $13 1¢ $3 -$10 11-12 15:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? No +17 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-13 13:12
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-12 15:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? No +36 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-11 07:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-11 23:56
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30? No +14 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-11 23:55