Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

258

Trades

1,213

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-15 04:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Politics

50% 32% -$64

Other

37% 34% -$54

Crypto

7% 35% -$4

Sports

6% 21% -$22

Tech

1% 40% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	27	$529	1,135	1,135	+0	No	-$11	04-01 09:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	30	$518	491	491	-0	Yes	-$37	03-06 16:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	23	$485	1,191	1,191	+0	No	-$23	03-26 08:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	16	$433	1,113	1,113	+0	No	-$20	03-26 20:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$425	1,732	1,732	+0	No	-$23	03-23 16:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	17	$365	653	653	+0	No	-$2	03-26 03:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	22	$363	496	496	+0	No	+$16	04-12 10:39
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	12	$346	792	792	+0	No	+$6	03-24 15:53
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	19	$278	461	461	+0	Yes	-$25	03-21 20:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	46	$271	564	564	+0	Yes	+$20	03-30 13:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	17	$242	313	313	+0	Yes	-$4	04-10 04:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	21	$232	285	285	+0	Yes	$0	03-02 15:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$216	383	383	+0	Yes	-$10	04-06 15:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	10	$214	382	382	+0	No	-$1	03-27 04:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$193	177	177	+0	Yes	-$3	03-31 17:00
cs2 mglz pain 2026 03 06 game1	43	$168	190	178	+12	TheMongolz	+$4	03-06 21:40
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	6	$168	136	136	+0	Yes	-$6	03-22 19:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	11	$167	120	120	+0	No	$0	03-27 14:49
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	22	$165	772	772	+0	No	-$12	03-06 14:16
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	4	$154	81	81	+0	No	$0	03-26 04:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	14	$143	180	180	+0	No	-$5	04-09 04:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$140	126	126	+0	Yes	+$6	04-11 19:11
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	4	$136	98	98	+0	Yes	+$16	03-22 19:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$130	110	110	+0	Yes	-$1	03-23 17:08
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	7	$125	124	127	-4	No	+$1	03-01 15:53
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	4	$120	156	156	-0	Yes	+$59	02-28 08:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$114	67	67	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 02:32
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$114	91	91	+0	Yes	-$3	04-05 15:23
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$104	139	139	+0	No	+$1	03-22 01:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	14	$102	1,339	1,339	+0	Yes	-$10	03-02 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-15 04:07:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x5c5edb…
04-15 00:04:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xa40596…
04-14 17:48:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa38214…
04-14 15:46:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xf8b42a…
04-14 15:45:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x54fa48…
04-14 13:00:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0xd2141c…
04-14 11:32:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x827f71…
04-14 11:19:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x3ef35c…
04-14 11:13:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0x83f478…
04-12 16:43:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	31	24¢	$7	0xa9b6c8…
04-12 16:43:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xf3881c…
04-12 16:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xf6d77e…
04-12 16:41:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xe91f48…
04-12 16:19:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	31	24¢	$7	0x352569…
04-12 16:13:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x363405…
04-12 16:13:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x2b225d…
04-12 13:04:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0x4675ad…
04-12 10:39:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	43	16¢	$7	0x3643e2…
04-12 04:27:49	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0x3a5265…
04-12 04:05:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0xf739aa…
04-12 03:50:31	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xf014b3…
04-12 02:50:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	66	10¢	$7	0xe0f717…
04-12 01:53:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0xcae057…
04-12 01:51:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xfa892a…
04-11 23:57:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xe722df…
04-11 20:05:39	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x40ff1a…
04-11 19:11:15	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x805ff6…
04-11 17:08:45	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xdefc2f…
04-11 16:07:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$10	0x8555b2…
04-11 12:37:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x9ea72b…
04-11 10:05:45	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0xd588f7…
04-11 06:20:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xc70229…
04-10 18:44:33	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xca8474…
04-10 18:43:13	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x54c201…
04-10 17:37:13	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x06f7a0…
04-10 17:08:27	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x21cb2a…
04-10 15:58:07	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	No	SELL	19	45¢	$8	0x968520…
04-10 15:47:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	78	12¢	$9	0x458cf5…
04-10 07:35:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x433bf9…
04-10 04:30:55	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0x6bcd1e…
04-10 04:27:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	46	29¢	$13	0xa72f59…
04-09 23:51:55	nba ind bkn 2026 04 09	Nets	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x1ddd98…
04-09 22:57:45	nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	Maple Leafs	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x405285…
04-09 18:59:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	78	14¢	$11	0xad882e…
04-09 16:42:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xe5d126…
04-09 16:15:11	atp blockx minaur 2026 04 09	Alexander Blockx	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0x1ce2c9…
04-09 16:13:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x4cf0e3…
04-09 16:11:19	atp blockx minaur 2026 04 09	Alexander Blockx	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xbac09a…
04-09 16:11:03	atp blockx minaur 2026 04 09	Alexander Blockx	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x67d6f1…
04-09 16:10:57	atp blockx minaur 2026 04 09	Alexander Blockx	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xdc92df…
04-09 15:59:41	cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x28fa4f…
04-09 15:57:35	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xe122e5…
04-09 15:54:31	cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xe8f127…
04-09 15:49:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0xb88969…
04-09 15:28:07	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xc2ec81…
04-09 15:26:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x337470…
04-09 14:55:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x9e0039…
04-09 13:58:55	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xe440d9…
04-09 13:54:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x73f4af…
04-09 13:50:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xca6ae8…
04-09 13:31:19	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	102	12¢	$12	0x3ba473…
04-09 13:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	60	23¢	$14	0x34726c…
04-09 11:14:09	nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	Maple Leafs	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xae3fcf…
04-09 10:42:07	nba ind bkn 2026 04 09	Nets	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x5570ab…
04-09 06:56:37	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	102	14¢	$14	0x28fd82…
04-09 05:32:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	32	30¢	$9	0xa09cea…
04-09 05:21:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xb4b8e0…
04-09 04:26:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0x6cf700…
04-09 04:04:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	44	27¢	$12	0x5743b3…
04-09 03:15:25	nba okc lac 2026 04 08	Clippers	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2869dd…
04-09 03:12:43	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	76	23¢	$17	0x218f7e…
04-09 03:10:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x5f6712…
04-09 03:05:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0x17cc25…
04-09 02:43:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x896770…
04-09 02:31:55	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	38	19¢	$7	0x38b785…
04-09 02:31:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0x9c942a…
04-08 20:09:35	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x211b2a…
04-08 20:09:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe6b01e…
04-08 20:04:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	43	43¢	$18	0x19b6ef…
04-08 20:02:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	110	9¢	$9	0x6af5a2…
04-08 19:44:43	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0xd6406f…
04-08 17:21:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x1338ea…
04-08 17:14:09	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x5bc5d2…
04-08 15:53:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	44	35¢	$16	0x06d7b8…
04-08 15:36:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xa05f5b…
04-08 14:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xac4949…
04-08 14:33:07	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0x810e7f…
04-08 10:48:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x5ffb73…
04-08 09:31:45	nba okc lac 2026 04 08	Clippers	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xee70b3…
04-08 09:10:15	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x8de2f3…
04-08 08:28:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0xa30046…
04-08 08:17:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x910ea8…
04-08 07:11:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	63	14¢	$9	0x7a48b9…
04-08 07:10:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xd97c5d…
04-08 06:52:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	29	36¢	$11	0x2c2e52…
04-08 06:52:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0x67e210…
04-08 06:27:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	96	12¢	$12	0x2e54b7…
04-08 05:11:41	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0x599267…
04-08 04:52:35	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0x12aee1…
04-08 04:51:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	36	32¢	$11	0x174dab…