Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
182
Trades
335
lifetime
Volume
$3.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$218
24 positions
First seen
2026-09-09
last 11-01 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
70% 70% +$49
Politics
13% 82% +$50
Sports
13% 40% +$6
Crypto
1% 67% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$17
Tech
1% 0% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will the opportunity party win 10 12 seats in the new zealand house of representatives in the 2026 new zealand legislative election No +20 $11 100¢ $20 +$9 10-28 19:34
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$7 10-29 21:26
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$5 09-30 17:59
Will Macklin Celebrini record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? No +20 $15 87¢ $17 +$3 10-06 12:59
will anthropic ipo on november 20 2026 No +20 $13 76¢ $15 +$2 10-26 23:21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? No +20 $15 75¢ $15 +$0 10-14 02:12
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? No +20 $15 63¢ $13 -$2 09-30 22:03
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference? No +20 $15 56¢ $11 -$4 10-03 18:04
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +20 $7 54¢ $11 +$4 09-12 23:03
Will the San Antonio Spurs finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? No +20 $15 53¢ $11 -$4 10-14 02:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%? No +20 $14 46¢ $9 -$5 09-24 20:30
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 46¢ $9 -$6 09-23 12:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $7 68¢ $8 +$2 09-15 12:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +19 $13 42¢ $8 -$4 09-12 23:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $4 45¢ $5 +$1 09-15 12:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 09-16 03:23
Will the Republican win the North Carolina Supreme Court general election? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 09-15 23:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +20 $15 24¢ $5 -$10 09-18 02:06
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +6 $3 68¢ $4 +$2 09-15 12:14
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? No +20 $12 12¢ $2 -$10 10-14 17:26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $2 46¢ $1 -$1 09-12 22:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 19¢ $1 -$1 09-15 12:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 09-15 12:42
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 09-15 23:30