Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

315

Trades

1,193

lifetime

Volume

$32.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$114

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 08-10 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

93% 92% -$908

Sports

5% 32% -$247

Crypto

1% 45% -$5

Politics

1% 75% -$32

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No		+200	$173	52¢	$105	-$68	07-18 16:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No		+11	$10	90¢	$10	+$0	07-22 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,793	0	+1,793	Yes	+$37	05-10 10:28
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 20c	5	$1.2K	1,244	0	+1,244	No	+$24	04-21 16:35
highest temperature in atlanta on april 19 2026 70 71f	16	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	Yes	+$4	04-19 20:23
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	2	$849	1,186	0	+1,186	No	-$849	06-15 17:31
highest temperature in tokyo on april 9 2026 21c	231	$831	420	419	+0	No	+$7	04-09 16:53
highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 74 75f	3	$585	590	0	+590	Yes	+$5	04-18 09:29
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$568	619	0	+619	Yes	+$51	05-10 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 78°F or higher on May 5?	3	$546	555	0	+555	Yes	+$9	05-03 10:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	4	$516	517	0	+517	Yes	+$1	04-16 07:39
lowest temperature in london on april 22 2026 7c	2	$471	472	0	+472	Yes	+$1	04-22 08:36
atp martine sonego 2026 04 14	41	$435	625	0	+625	Lorenzo Sonego	-$221	04-14 11:45
highest temperature in houston on april 24 2026 76forhigher	1	$402	404	0	+404	Yes	+$2	04-22 09:49
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	2	$402	408	0	+408	Yes	+$6	04-21 16:11
highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 22corhigher	5	$384	388	0	+388	Yes	+$5	04-14 11:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	1	$366	382	0	+382	Yes	+$16	05-04 16:03
highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 62forhigher	1	$351	352	0	+352	Yes	+$1	04-18 13:40
highest temperature in chicago on april 12 2026 44forhigher	12	$350	352	0	+352	Yes	+$2	04-11 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$325	330	0	+330	Yes	+$5	05-05 09:11
highest temperature in miami on april 12 2026 90forhigher	6	$324	327	0	+327	No	+$3	04-12 17:41
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 18 2026 26c	1	$320	322	0	+322	Yes	+$2	04-18 10:27
highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 74forhigher	1	$303	304	0	+304	Yes	+$2	04-22 10:08
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$295	318	0	+318	No	+$23	05-15 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 5?	1	$282	287	0	+287	Yes	+$5	05-05 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 29?	1	$281	285	0	+285	No	+$5	04-28 09:35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on May 4?	1	$276	282	0	+282	No	+$7	05-03 07:55
mlb mia atl 2026 04 13	25	$264	418	0	+418	Miami Marlins	-$123	04-14 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 23?	1	$262	264	0	+264	No	+$3	05-22 08:34
atp roncade sakamo 2026 04 13	9	$258	151	136	+15	Pedro Sakamoto	+$14	04-14 01:04
nhl car phi 2026 04 13	29	$255	502	0	+502	Flyers	-$75	04-14 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 29?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	04-29 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:29:33	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x1ee712…
07-23 13:55:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x29f1c2…
07-23 13:50:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	146	77¢	$113	0x8f442a…
07-22 13:04:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb79077…
07-22 13:04:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xf4270c…
07-22 13:04:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x59f3b2…
07-22 13:04:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x6d942c…
07-22 13:04:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x09f9a4…
07-22 13:04:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xf02f73…
07-22 13:04:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xba3850…
07-22 13:04:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xe4c5c7…
07-22 13:04:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xdec8f7…
07-22 13:04:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xbe907c…
07-22 13:04:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	55	70¢	$39	0x445439…
07-22 12:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x070a77…
07-22 12:05:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd748e…
07-22 12:03:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd1679…
07-22 11:38:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1f54ff…
07-22 11:19:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbe786…
07-22 10:59:12	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x2e23e6…
07-22 10:50:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfe25dd…
07-22 10:49:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0x12742c…
07-22 10:35:49	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x166cea…
07-22 10:33:28	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x036e9b…
07-22 10:32:19	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x56ef16…
07-22 10:26:22	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7183fc…
07-22 10:23:12	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdad458…
07-21 09:55:16	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x081118…
07-20 21:47:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4f4cf6…
07-19 18:25:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdf9df7…
07-19 17:51:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x8bb933…
07-19 17:11:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8c4430…
07-19 16:48:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x341537…
07-19 16:45:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x9e041e…
07-19 16:36:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x05972b…
07-19 16:34:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x64d32c…
07-19 16:16:31	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2dadce…
07-18 16:36:36	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$173	0xf627f5…
07-09 13:05:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2850c4…
07-06 20:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa49d70…
07-06 20:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x375696…
07-06 20:44:13	XRP Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8f0002…
07-06 20:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x1e71aa…
07-06 20:44:13	XRP Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x1d9aca…
07-06 20:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x818a32…
07-06 20:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xe8dd72…
07-06 20:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x76f1b9…
07-06 20:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x340a75…
07-06 20:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x78192a…
07-06 20:43:11	Solana Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb7d5a9…
07-06 20:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xff0c68…
07-06 20:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xa0004f…
07-06 20:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x1cc139…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xfee689…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf112ba…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xdf4855…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xdb2421…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xd95d11…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xd60f67…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xd56159…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xcbf359…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xc64a25…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbc8a15…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x93ffc9…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x910b31…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x658b86…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x64ae5e…
07-06 20:43:04	Solana Up or Down - July 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x647093…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5b231b…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x33d8d0…
07-06 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1d16e5…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x188b82…
07-06 20:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x10bbc7…
07-06 20:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xdacda9…
07-06 20:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xd34ecd…
07-06 20:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x75a1e7…
07-06 20:42:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0x49460f…
07-06 20:41:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x230381…
07-06 20:41:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x22c5af…
07-06 20:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x7fc4ba…
07-06 20:41:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x9b3a8d…
07-06 20:41:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x6e30dd…
07-06 20:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x52b538…
07-06 20:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x2c2974…
07-06 20:41:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x92d3bd…
07-06 20:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4427b8…
07-06 20:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x02371b…
07-06 20:41:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa18e42…
07-06 20:41:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x197043…
07-06 20:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xd2806b…
07-06 20:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xc7c987…
07-06 20:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5c26e4…
07-06 20:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2f37ad…
07-06 20:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xf21c88…
07-06 20:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x9a1da5…
07-06 20:40:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x2f3de0…
07-06 20:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x24fa1b…
07-06 20:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xc99807…
07-06 20:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x52ccd2…
07-06 20:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x10d448…