Knotty-Creature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

1,784

Trades

2,557

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-05 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 92% -$92

Other

6% 80% +$103

Politics

1% 50% +$25

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	95	$653	523	448	+76	Yes	+$8	05-11 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	23	$381	315	275	+40	Up	+$2	05-06 16:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	60	$370	358	327	+31	Yes	+$15	05-09 12:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	37	$289	256	117	+139	No	-$63	05-07 16:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	43	$269	355	245	+109	Yes	-$12	05-08 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$193	182	182	+0	No	-$60	04-09 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	17	$167	232	122	+109	Up	-$34	05-10 10:04
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	4	$155	96	96	+0	No	+$31	04-30 17:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	19	$151	150	36	+115	No	+$7	05-11 03:13
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	4	$138	78	78	+0	No	+$17	04-30 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	34	$129	131	64	+68	Down	-$11	05-13 15:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	7	$128	91	91	+0	No	+$4	05-07 19:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	36	$124	122	107	+14	No	+$4	05-13 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	11	$120	107	85	+21	Down	+$5	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	19	$119	154	53	+101	Up	-$52	05-08 15:28
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	3	$101	61	61	+0	No	+$18	04-30 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-15 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$99	101	0	+101	Up	+$2	05-16 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$99	101	0	+101	Up	+$2	05-16 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$99	101	0	+101	Up	+$2	05-16 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$98	101	0	+101	Up	+$3	05-16 00:39
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	3	$98	59	59	+0	No	+$18	04-30 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$97	101	0	+101	Up	+$4	05-16 07:59
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	5	$88	107	154	-47	No	+$14	05-06 14:27
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	2	$86	47	47	+0	No	+$6	03-25 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	8	$80	101	33	+68	No	+$9	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$78	101	0	+101	Up	+$23	05-16 00:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7?	21	$76	90	22	+68	No	-$7	05-07 15:52
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$73	95	0	+95	No	+$21	03-06 10:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$72	65	65	+0	No	-$8	04-08 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 09:09:29	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	65	55¢	$36	0xa092e4…
07-04 19:34:05	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x9f09d1…
07-04 12:02:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x5194b9…
07-03 12:31:01	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xe7ad22…
07-03 02:47:23	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x283c20…
07-02 07:23:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd329a5…
06-01 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x2383fb…
06-01 07:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x822ac2…
06-01 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf57955…
06-01 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfaf0cc…
06-01 05:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x71c6e2…
06-01 05:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x647af0…
06-01 05:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xf1e411…
06-01 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x152436…
06-01 05:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf0daaa…
06-01 04:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x08a220…
06-01 03:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcd04a6…
06-01 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9735ec…
06-01 03:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x339fe6…
06-01 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x8850a8…
06-01 02:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9a1d14…
06-01 02:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x2dc57b…
06-01 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe4ed6e…
06-01 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xd310fa…
06-01 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3fc902…
05-31 23:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x880c35…
05-31 23:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xf6d5a6…
05-31 23:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xc23325…
05-31 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb97db3…
05-31 22:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xde10e0…
05-31 22:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbcdc6f…
05-31 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xef72d9…
05-31 21:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x2fd202…
05-31 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x33be9c…
05-31 21:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xee7613…
05-31 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6adbe7…
05-31 20:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xb4b5a0…
05-31 20:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4850db…
05-31 20:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbe5927…
05-31 20:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0b2068…
05-31 20:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x76ad6a…
05-31 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xff2340…
05-31 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x183757…
05-31 19:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x51e652…
05-31 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb2abd8…
05-31 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb61bbe…
05-31 18:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1f57b3…
05-31 18:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9d1f05…
05-31 18:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x910162…
05-31 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xadc78a…
05-31 17:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x095e06…
05-31 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1de0a1…
05-31 15:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x7559d6…
05-31 15:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x07c3b8…
05-31 15:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb9690b…
05-31 14:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x4ea2f6…
05-31 14:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfe449e…
05-31 13:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x773e30…
05-31 12:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc17e9e…
05-31 12:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x80c9f1…
05-31 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe72d17…
05-31 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd263d7…
05-31 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x47be3a…
05-31 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41e5c4…
05-31 11:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9a9cd9…
05-31 11:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc5ebb4…
05-31 11:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x611218…
05-31 10:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xbffd31…
05-31 10:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x107e06…
05-31 10:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1202cc…
05-31 10:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x4ef9e0…
05-31 09:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x6558e8…
05-31 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x007824…
05-31 09:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xfb990a…
05-31 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xae9117…
05-31 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x806c30…
05-31 07:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5e5413…
05-31 07:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x14d7af…
05-31 07:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3693d3…
05-31 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x05128c…
05-31 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x694cd9…
05-31 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x06b22b…
05-31 05:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x495cb0…
05-31 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x57b455…
05-31 05:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa4f9fc…
05-31 05:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x40dfb5…
05-31 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcdd6f9…
05-31 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x838ad4…
05-31 04:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9513c9…
05-31 04:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x5cca33…
05-31 04:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3230ba…
05-31 04:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xa9bf05…
05-31 04:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x111bd6…
05-31 03:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x96ec0b…
05-31 03:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1f2e1a…
05-31 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x535fe5…
05-31 01:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x75a242…
05-31 00:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc54e5b…
05-31 00:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9c91ba…
05-31 00:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xe2a24f…