Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

35.5%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-28 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

77% 20% +$6

Sports

12% 7% -$1

Politics

6% 20% -$18

Crypto

4% 0% -$16

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		-26	-$16	70¢	$-18	-$2	05-12 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$132	71	71	+0	Yes	$0	09-28 11:49
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	06-24 11:30
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 09:29
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	5	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-21 15:26
will the announcers say guillotine during ufc 250 20260610175532912	6	$40	60	40	+20	No	$0	06-22 16:00
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	4	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-21 10:19
will keir starmer be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533201	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-24 14:49
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-24 03:56
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	3	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	06-22 13:26
over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	07-22 12:50
spy closes above 755 on july 22 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-22 13:15
wti closes above 71 on june 23 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 07:36
spy closes above 730 on june 23 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 14:06
wti closes above 85 on august 21 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	08-21 15:17
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 04:37
wti closes above 84 on july 22 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 13:42
will fokus qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827685	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	-$1	07-22 12:33
will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	4	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 02:31
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-28 07:41
spy closes above 740 on july 22 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-22 06:46
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 07:18
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	1	$26	0	50	-50	No	+$26	01-14 22:41
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	2	$22	30	0	+30	Yes	+$8	01-28 12:14
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	2	$21	0	28	-28	No	-$7	05-13 22:28
will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	5	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-24 23:55
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	-$20	07-10 06:57
spy closes above 745 on july 22 2026	2	$19	40	0	+40	Yes	+$1	07-22 18:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$19	30	0	+30	Yes	-$19	01-03 06:45
la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	07-23 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 11:49:44	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x960f54…
09-28 11:48:18	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4551ab…
09-28 11:13:29	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xc836dd…
09-28 11:11:44	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x47a2d4…
09-28 07:41:05	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xa09d8c…
09-28 07:37:56	Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0c3af5…
09-28 07:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x552f5c…
09-28 07:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x9bbf30…
09-28 07:35:02	will ewy dip to 186 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x613b76…
09-28 07:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x538d76…
09-28 07:30:09	will mu dip to 1080 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x021b8c…
09-28 07:28:32	will mu dip to 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3004c9…
09-28 07:24:18	will ewy dip to 186 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x64f96b…
09-28 07:22:05	Will “Swim” by BTS win Best K-Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x3c90c4…
09-28 07:19:32	Will “Swim” by BTS win Best K-Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xef8703…
08-21 15:59:27	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd24b8d…
08-21 15:58:55	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x41cb2b…
08-21 15:58:52	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x568662…
08-21 15:58:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x3b8fa9…
08-21 15:57:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x0b1041…
08-21 15:56:04	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe20c9e…
08-21 15:55:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xe1e611…
08-21 15:55:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x610436…
08-21 15:51:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc7fd87…
08-21 15:26:27	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4df853…
08-21 15:17:37	wti closes above 85 on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x373bc2…
08-21 15:12:04	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc91336…
08-21 15:12:04	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x8c7f88…
08-21 14:17:24	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc5bfac…
08-21 13:32:58	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xabb995…
08-21 13:04:13	wti closes above 85 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa04d61…
08-21 10:19:49	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xeb989c…
08-21 09:29:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8ba4b5…
08-21 08:13:19	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9aab2e…
08-21 08:11:07	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x177b9d…
08-21 07:47:21	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x06881f…
08-21 07:22:54	Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x02c4a8…
08-21 06:39:37	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x321903…
08-21 06:39:06	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc2eef9…
07-24 04:37:58	will american express say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416060	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x82d7bf…
07-24 04:37:21	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x8543fc…
07-24 04:37:09	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xbec5c6…
07-24 00:45:51	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa9a765…
07-24 00:40:43	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x12b0ac…
07-23 21:15:40	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa55904…
07-23 21:10:21	will intel say ai or artificial intelligence 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650075	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd2b46e…
07-23 21:06:37	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6f88ba…
07-23 21:05:30	will intel say advanced during earnings call 20260717163650078	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf065d3…
07-23 20:43:40	wti closes above 89 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9a3eee…
07-23 19:35:37	will american express say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416060	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe811b2…
07-23 15:58:58	spy closes above 730 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2a56f5…
07-23 14:08:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb7c4e5…
07-23 14:08:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x392823…
07-23 11:50:06	Will Dow say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x17e1e6…
07-23 11:46:58	Will Dow say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xebe870…
07-23 11:45:03	will dow say margin 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814087	No	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xc5145b…
07-23 11:24:30	will dow say capacity during earnings call 20260717163814090	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x804e7f…
07-23 11:14:58	will dow say infrastructure during earnings call 20260717163814093	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa310a3…
07-23 10:32:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x17ac5e…
07-23 07:44:31	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3a2cbb…
07-23 07:32:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1dde17…
07-22 20:43:57	xagusd up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb0ecf5…
07-22 20:13:33	wti closes above 82 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x76d429…
07-22 18:48:00	spy closes above 745 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe735d7…
07-22 17:54:10	spy closes above 745 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa194b8…
07-22 13:42:33	wti closes above 84 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x51f029…
07-22 13:30:03	will rklb reach 70 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa6b938…
07-22 13:26:15	wti closes above 84 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x432df9…
07-22 13:15:33	spy closes above 755 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x47b09f…
07-22 13:14:28	spy closes above 755 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6f6ba9…
07-22 12:50:42	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x397049…
07-22 12:50:16	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb0ba0b…
07-22 12:49:39	will rklb reach 70 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5ed559…
07-22 12:33:30	will fokus qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827685	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xc2345e…
07-22 09:03:13	will fokus qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827685	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x235008…
07-22 06:46:34	spy closes above 740 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x7f0406…
07-22 06:23:15	spy closes above 740 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xdb57af…
07-22 04:03:22	will wildcard qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509969	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x4ae0a0…
07-22 04:02:46	will wildcard qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509969	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x815c31…
07-22 03:48:19	will wildcard qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509969	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3efc5c…
07-22 02:58:31	will spirit qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509946	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xfa018b…
07-22 02:58:10	will spirit qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509946	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5fa074…
07-16 07:18:19	Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x334a76…
07-11 02:31:07	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	Yes	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x3df547…
07-11 02:30:52	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xd0964f…
07-10 10:09:46	will gleans valuation hit high 9b by july 31 20260630205002622	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8dd3eb…
07-10 10:09:35	will delta air lines say fleet during earnings call 20260709172401002	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x79044b…
07-10 09:33:16	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7bb989…
07-10 09:31:22	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xfd0981…
07-10 09:24:19	will delta air lines say fleet during earnings call 20260709172401002	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x172796…
07-10 07:58:11	will gleans valuation hit high 9b by july 31 20260630205002622	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf63fb5…
07-10 06:57:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd68f43…
07-10 06:55:56	Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2d8165…
06-25 01:26:35	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x9e716f…
06-25 01:24:59	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221708	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa072ed…
06-24 23:55:23	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x88471b…
06-24 23:55:22	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x88ffee…
06-24 23:55:20	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd22bc6…
06-24 23:55:20	will trumps remarks not air 20260616194255626	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x7a37d2…
06-24 20:01:04	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6de00c…