Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$854

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

2,004

Trades

2,487

lifetime

Volume

$8.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-10 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 46% -$710

Other

23% 57% -$179

Politics

5% 57% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$4	65¢	$6	+$2	09-28 14:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+5	$4	86¢	$4	+$1	11-05 18:52
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+5	$1	19¢	$1	$0	11-06 08:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+24	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	09-03 14:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+6	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	10-05 07:40
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+5	$4	2¢	$0	-$3	10-23 09:57
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+5	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	11-02 20:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	22	$153	133	133	+0	No	+$33	07-23 19:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$111	79	79	+0	Yes	-$9	10-16 14:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 04:00 UTC	6	$106	7,560	263	+7,297	Down	-$105	02-20 04:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	5	$81	49	49	+0	No	+$1	09-16 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	2	$67	39	39	+0	No	+$7	10-14 05:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	3	$65	69	27	+43	No	-$15	09-30 02:07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	2	$57	38	38	+0	Yes	+$17	09-07 13:42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$51	33	33	+0	Yes	+$11	10-05 08:55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$48	30	30	+0	No	+$8	10-08 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	2	$48	29	29	+0	Yes	+$8	08-29 04:57
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$46	27	27	+0	Yes	+$6	10-06 14:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$46	27	27	+0	No	+$6	10-12 14:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 22:00 UTC	1	$45	169	0	+169	Down	-$45	02-19 22:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	2	$45	26	26	+0	No	+$5	10-10 04:53
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$45	26	26	+0	Yes	+$5	10-13 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	10-05 10:25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$44	25	25	+0	No	+$4	10-08 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	09-14 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	2	$44	25	25	+0	No	+$4	09-06 18:02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$3	10-08 04:46
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$3	10-06 08:05
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	3	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$3	10-06 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$43	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 14:56
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	09-15 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	10-13 05:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	09-12 06:21
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	10-13 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	10-10 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	10-09 14:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 22:15 UTC	1	$41	4,077	0	+4,077	Down	-$41	02-19 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:59:10	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbf9061…
11-10 14:10:45	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2d9630…
11-10 13:44:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x329d00…
11-10 04:38:58	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x43b45b…
11-09 23:20:52	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x97b914…
11-09 12:22:37	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0345e9…
11-09 05:02:37	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x55253a…
11-08 21:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6ae448…
11-08 05:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xda731a…
11-06 08:16:01	Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x60c518…
11-05 18:52:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe1db29…
11-04 15:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x310e5d…
11-03 05:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9a0394…
11-03 02:14:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x97d573…
11-03 00:43:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x480859…
11-02 21:11:37	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6c1d99…
11-02 20:07:58	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd5c187…
11-02 14:32:48	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x565a2a…
10-30 21:12:54	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x98d876…
10-30 21:12:54	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8b0924…
10-25 22:32:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdcea96…
10-25 22:24:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x2e5f2e…
10-23 09:57:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1bc8c5…
10-23 07:36:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2d4cf1…
10-23 07:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0x4a7d2b…
10-22 04:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0x636cd8…
10-20 04:04:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xbf9359…
10-20 04:04:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0x14216d…
10-19 07:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xe94840…
10-19 00:17:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc9999f…
10-18 15:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x62f369…
10-17 05:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1ef17a…
10-17 04:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x06ce8a…
10-16 14:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xe4d9fe…
10-16 12:08:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x19d97c…
10-16 09:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x4b4759…
10-16 04:41:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8afb13…
10-15 04:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xbadd8a…
10-14 05:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x7179db…
10-14 04:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x25493d…
10-13 13:58:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x48a91e…
10-13 11:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x44054f…
10-13 08:05:17	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xb43781…
10-13 05:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x66f0ba…
10-13 04:05:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd41ff2…
10-12 14:05:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xb11238…
10-12 13:15:48	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x9e2905…
10-11 04:03:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x16bf87…
10-10 08:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x70c62a…
10-10 07:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x850a39…
10-10 04:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xb4d533…
10-10 04:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x218f7e…
10-09 14:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x050137…
10-08 19:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9e715f…
10-08 19:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x2bf414…
10-08 14:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc760d0…
10-08 14:21:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x4228dc…
10-08 11:37:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xe0b288…
10-08 05:05:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x23d6ac…
10-08 04:46:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0xfd36a4…
10-08 04:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x5dbc1d…
10-06 15:40:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x565be3…
10-06 14:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x158e5b…
10-06 10:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc9f113…
10-06 09:13:48	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4ad433…
10-06 09:12:24	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x30c87f…
10-06 08:05:09	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x5b0206…
10-06 08:05:09	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x06b58f…
10-06 05:28:58	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xe51d5e…
10-05 13:53:37	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xdb464e…
10-05 10:25:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8d2d40…
10-05 09:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x4d42d3…
10-05 08:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xba2c33…
10-05 07:40:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3541dc…
10-05 04:03:37	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x64030a…
10-04 22:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x38fefc…
10-04 20:57:20	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xcc42d1…
10-02 12:13:39	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x08c11c…
10-01 18:53:33	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8e454c…
10-01 06:24:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x093731…
09-30 14:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x6cac93…
09-30 06:50:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x4fa7d0…
09-30 02:07:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x319f04…
09-29 22:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xc0e0ee…
09-29 19:17:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x183157…
09-29 10:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xb67cec…
09-28 17:33:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xda6ea4…
09-28 14:28:35	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x3a44e3…
09-28 14:28:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf414b2…
09-28 13:47:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x483fa8…
09-28 13:21:56	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x9475a4…
09-18 11:16:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	22¢	$19	0x4bbb0c…
09-18 04:02:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0x00dc62…
09-16 18:10:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x918642…
09-16 18:00:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xe70ad0…
09-16 14:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x912708…
09-16 14:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x702ab9…
09-15 15:25:06	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xce7add…
09-15 14:52:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x0c585f…
09-15 06:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0xfddde5…