Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$228

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$338

Open exposure

$255

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-26 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

98% 100% +$11,744

Tech

2% — —

Other

1% 0% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+10,389	$482	2¢	$255	-$228	10-26 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	3	$14.9K	13,210	13,210	+0	Yes	+$10,879	02-28 08:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	5	$14.9K	43,977	43,977	+0	Yes	+$865	02-22 13:14
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	71	$482	10,389	0	+10,389	open	—	10-26 18:35
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$102	444	0	+444	Arsenal FC	-$102	10-21 15:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	10	$93	1,245	1,245	+0	open	—	10-22 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:35:15	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,100	3¢	$35	0xbecf0f…
10-26 18:26:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x9d0ea3…
10-26 18:26:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x673382…
10-26 18:26:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x62271c…
10-26 17:38:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x532de5…
10-26 16:28:15	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x861bb0…
10-26 16:28:15	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x714ca0…
10-26 16:28:15	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x6e2e03…
10-26 15:23:35	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	481	3¢	$16	0x6e66b2…
10-26 15:00:21	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xe1ec09…
10-26 15:00:21	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa3f090…
10-26 15:00:06	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcb519d…
10-26 15:00:06	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x358140…
10-26 15:00:06	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0x26a7a8…
10-26 15:00:06	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x119a79…
10-26 15:00:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2aa164…
10-26 14:53:17	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb55939…
10-26 14:52:39	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x415e19…
10-26 14:52:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xe64048…
10-26 14:52:17	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7b531e…
10-26 13:52:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xb7a6e4…
10-26 13:52:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2841c4…
10-26 13:50:12	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x5d3f79…
10-26 13:49:27	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x456f31…
10-26 13:39:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf9dac9…
10-26 13:39:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb96887…
10-26 13:39:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x7585a2…
10-26 13:39:48	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x00442a…
10-26 13:36:59	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x2133d5…
10-26 10:52:30	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd1de25…
10-26 10:52:30	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x411f65…
10-26 10:52:30	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x128380…
10-26 07:33:54	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x82501b…
10-26 07:33:54	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3981f8…
10-26 07:26:27	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd4ffa9…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$3	0xaf166e…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa2fb83…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x9c83ac…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x538c0d…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x3f9e43…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x3f59cf…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,158	7¢	$76	0x1f64e5…
10-22 18:35:21	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xcf0061…
10-22 18:35:21	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x014ba5…
10-22 15:18:11	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0xdac402…
10-22 14:58:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,371	6¢	$89	0xe0a0db…
10-22 14:58:05	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	129	6¢	$8	0x7bf129…
10-22 14:34:02	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x9adbbe…
10-22 14:34:02	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x7ac083…
10-22 13:42:08	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xa95906…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xf28951…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xc9d0b0…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xbaa79c…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x9c7e59…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x95d579…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x95c1c0…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x73b799…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$11	0x70f626…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x671f82…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x4dd7f5…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x4cf0ca…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x3e2aa0…
10-22 12:02:24	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x246c2d…
10-22 10:49:42	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x73e2d4…
10-22 10:31:26	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	299	6¢	$17	0xe0519e…
10-22 10:30:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1,245	3¢	$41	0x782fd6…
10-22 10:06:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x10ff26…
10-22 10:05:08	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	328	4¢	$12	0x0fbcab…
10-21 19:45:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xeb30d1…
10-21 18:48:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xdcdd2e…
10-21 18:48:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xb2ed06…
10-21 18:48:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa0dd67…
10-21 18:48:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x6fa1fa…
10-21 18:48:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x4e8872…
10-21 18:48:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4843be…
10-21 17:45:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x54c6d9…
10-21 17:45:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,025	4¢	$43	0x1afbda…
10-21 15:44:54	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	444	23¢	$102	0x24b7f4…
10-21 15:40:47	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	225	3¢	$8	0xf90c24…
10-21 14:07:00	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	588	3¢	$18	0x2639e1…
02-28 08:55:43	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	13,210	97¢	$12,879	0xa3317b…
02-22 13:14:58	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43,977	18¢	$7,865	0xeffc8b…
02-14 07:43:35	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	5,992	17¢	$1,000	0x709019…
02-14 07:41:47	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,594	18¢	$1,000	0xc5b02d…
02-14 07:41:15	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	7,219	14¢	$1,000	0x59030b…
02-14 07:39:29	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,827	19¢	$2,500	0x76939a…
02-14 07:36:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17,864	14¢	$2,500	0xe50240…
02-14 07:34:49	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,692	13¢	$1,000	0x2a5026…