Unnatural-Skeleton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$770

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-27 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

57% 98% +$6

Politics

18% 100% +$1

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Tech

9% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	09-16 03:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	09-14 15:38
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	09-03 15:49
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	10-04 23:18
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-01 02:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$34	37	0	+37	No	+$3	09-24 21:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	09-23 09:43
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	08-05 14:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$1	09-01 03:51
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$2	10-13 05:57
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	06-27 12:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	09-01 01:37
will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-31 12:46
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$18	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-29 19:25
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	08-27 20:46
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	2	$16	10	7	+3	open	—	10-27 08:47
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-30 07:22
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-24 16:04
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	3	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-18 01:30
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-29 00:06
googl above 260 on january 30 2026	2	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	01-15 07:58
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-23 15:58
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 13:59
meta above 760 on january 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-17 17:59
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-30 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-05 23:00
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 12:07
Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-07 12:24
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-22 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:47:38	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2a147a…
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x708ba8…
10-24 00:15:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xe5a196…
10-13 05:57:28	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x5ec903…
10-12 13:33:54	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbdfba…
10-04 23:18:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xde3a1d…
09-24 21:02:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x205ce0…
09-23 09:43:32	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe9f22a…
09-22 22:59:11	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8d10be…
09-16 03:42:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa2880c…
09-14 15:38:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x01b9b0…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xc72ac7…
09-05 16:02:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xcb1039…
09-03 15:49:19	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x12584d…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x35d1c4…
09-01 01:37:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd0e651…
08-27 20:46:42	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x60f643…
08-27 03:04:54	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa287a…
08-26 21:39:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x710119…
08-24 19:09:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c4858…
08-24 17:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x5abc51…
08-14 14:19:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x048348…
08-12 19:45:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x34fd12…
08-12 17:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1813a9…
08-12 17:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x311746…
08-12 17:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdec3d7…
08-12 16:55:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x51e750…
08-12 16:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x856099…
08-12 15:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1476e1…
08-05 14:48:33	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x809e5a…
08-05 11:39:30	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x556135…
08-05 06:28:54	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7ded6d…
08-01 02:02:09	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7c2c7b…
07-31 12:46:21	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff4422…
07-31 01:26:36	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd0fca8…
07-30 14:18:27	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x9c9d65…
07-26 18:26:39	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3367e3…
07-26 09:49:37	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x661bc5…
07-24 03:06:58	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9031c1…
07-24 02:11:00	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0c6726…
07-23 13:08:18	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x67ec25…
07-23 01:37:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39a97d…
07-17 15:03:52	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x123eb3…
06-29 19:25:41	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x889196…
06-29 00:06:19	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f638e…
06-28 05:53:55	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x45ba42…
06-27 21:16:52	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaec82c…
06-27 12:49:35	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xeda071…
06-27 12:03:17	will coin reach 200 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcdb76a…
06-27 11:27:17	Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2000bc…
05-30 07:22:47	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x87ac4c…
05-15 05:46:09	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8aef59…
05-14 06:06:07	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x81e4f5…
05-10 12:07:06	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x86fcd3…
05-09 03:38:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd427c3…
05-07 22:47:15	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x041081…
05-07 12:24:43	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x208af1…
05-05 23:15:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xadd651…
05-05 23:00:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x71bcbd…
05-05 19:13:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7d8c45…
05-05 17:50:54	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf8e54d…
05-05 17:02:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa4ce7b…
05-05 15:05:04	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40cef0…
05-05 13:59:12	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe189c2…
04-29 13:11:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x348666…
04-21 09:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x648b62…
04-20 07:16:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x49b105…
04-19 20:06:38	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb46af9…
04-19 13:02:32	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa4574e…
04-18 22:39:30	Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95e1e3…
04-18 01:30:56	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc6612e…
04-17 16:01:04	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x26c4bd…
04-17 08:47:16	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2a41c0…
04-15 01:37:14	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb4c61b…
04-14 19:19:34	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e7aaf…
04-14 01:56:11	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x218ee9…
04-13 11:46:03	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb549bc…
03-29 12:55:06	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9a22c…
03-28 17:48:49	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf884cb…
03-27 02:15:01	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf0f19…
03-25 16:42:17	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7c0ce…
03-20 10:01:31	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7699b1…
03-19 05:12:43	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe59c20…
03-18 15:11:17	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90119c…
03-17 16:40:53	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6132ec…
03-16 02:31:59	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b6cf3…
03-15 07:19:49	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8fbda…
03-12 22:22:15	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c2d8a…
03-11 17:18:17	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8272c6…
03-10 06:42:17	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1e286…
03-09 08:55:59	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x238d62…
03-08 13:17:17	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c9f51…
03-05 20:44:07	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05cfeb…
03-05 03:50:19	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x882407…
03-03 07:10:41	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f318c…
02-26 20:20:32	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8ba0a2…
02-24 16:04:18	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x9e02bb…
02-24 01:53:06	pltr above 160 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x182826…
02-23 03:42:52	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x10619c…
02-22 08:09:56	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x34068a…