Rigid-Smoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

30 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$114

$114 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down		+9	$4	18¢	$1	$-3	05-05 23:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$6	0	8	-8	Up	$-2	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-05 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xb7230f…
05-05 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf19383…
05-05 20:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x08a81c…
05-05 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1f4532…
05-05 02:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5b3e1e…
05-05 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xac8660…
05-05 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x4f87dc…
05-05 01:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x80e0b6…
05-05 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd8acae…
05-05 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xae2016…
05-05 00:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4d17b6…
05-05 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1154da…
05-05 00:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x55ab5a…
05-05 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x024565…
05-05 00:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x32daf0…
05-05 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x236244…
05-05 00:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x63ef60…
05-05 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x46435a…
05-04 23:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x857402…
05-04 23:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9a91c0…
05-04 23:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x374559…
05-04 23:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb07491…
05-04 23:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4ebc04…
05-04 23:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7e1e73…
05-04 23:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0ddb01…
05-04 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x388140…
05-04 22:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9784a3…
05-04 21:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x50f5d6…
05-04 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2c0a8c…
05-04 20:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaf8f9c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	29	$4.02K	91	05-05 23:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$2.90K	74	05-05 23:30
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$1.58K	100	05-05 23:30
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	17	$2.29K	28	05-05 21:05
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$1.37K	85	05-05 23:30
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	15	$1.18K	244	05-05 23:30
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	14	$1.32K	57	05-05 21:09
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	14	$528	40	05-05 23:30