Tough-Alpenhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

2,424

Trades

2,622

lifetime

Volume

$116.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-30 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

81% 99% -$3

Sports

15% 100% +$18

Crypto

3% 97% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	9	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:39:18	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf0265d…
10-30 16:14:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4c43db…
10-30 05:01:01	Senators vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaa6dc7…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd9d906…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0d739d…
10-29 16:56:22	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6788a0…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe789cb…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39f79b…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x346562…
10-28 15:38:16	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x91dcaf…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x958431…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf15af5…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x41d5dc…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe7945d…
10-24 16:57:09	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x53a375…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc2d820…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9c5e9b…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4b3de…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47eb96…
10-23 19:42:09	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x754a51…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59e78e…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x43ec44…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x275d90…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4e1264…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1ac6e9…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5b1431…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbc8391…
10-20 17:00:39	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0e718b…
10-20 15:12:00	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x064397…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa809a6…
10-19 18:55:53	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3ee6a0…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbc4647…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb5827b…
10-18 17:09:11	Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5018c6…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb8fd8e…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52498b…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb92c1…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe2db81…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xcd57ee…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1867c9…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc91200…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f7c85…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe894b2…
10-14 12:36:47	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbe6ad1…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f7b6c…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3785b0…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x67f27a…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f8b62…
10-13 16:15:10	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e3374…
10-13 15:56:01	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3df2a3…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a43b3…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x692a27…
10-12 09:09:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x604610…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb60b3d…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0dd170…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc5c4e…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xf5d05a…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x90ab90…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf25ffb…
10-10 23:31:49	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x73f34a…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75c04b…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58c00e…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x107bf9…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x53582c…
10-09 14:48:54	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa203f9…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x03b530…
10-08 05:27:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5ea825…
10-07 19:16:34	W35 Las Vegas, NV: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anastasia Abbagnato	Anastasia Abbagnato	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef6ed5…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x3bda4e…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfa3a50…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf9d5f…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe67a9b…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x42636f…
10-06 20:36:56	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x29fa00…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0a4d89…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1267fc…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x441a00…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe90562…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf4299b…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1189f8…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x922358…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x47726b…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe2de8…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4bc087…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe3183f…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3f3493…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87b279…
10-02 19:33:23	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x61d1e7…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc40be…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc1d042…
10-02 14:15:36	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x852f69…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3f7fee…
10-02 14:12:35	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a81bf…
10-02 13:03:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6249d…
10-02 06:25:15	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd99c0…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa9e1e3…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f1aae…
10-01 21:09:03	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12adc1…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d95c0…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xd466ae…