Tough-Alpenhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,716

lifetime

Volume

$78.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-30 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$3

Sports

16% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	9	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 08:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 21:42
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5	5	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-17 04:23
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs EKO Esports - Game 2 Winner	4	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 17:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 13:42
epl new bou 2026 04 18 btts	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-18 15:38
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-25 04:48
mlb nym chc 2026 04 17 total 13pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 20:48
will notre dame win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-29 22:08
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 19:48
will the match end in a draw or not be completed 766	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-12 09:04
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-13 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 18:01
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-20 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:30:05	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2515f1…
06-30 19:59:26	cs2 alkaa red7 2026 06 30 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xec6661…
06-30 19:16:40	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8bce09…
06-30 17:59:56	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x206d52…
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4fd9f4…
06-30 06:06:20	will lennart kahl score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2b047…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x114c43…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87b2f6…
06-30 01:45:55	mlb det nyy 2026 06 29 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7468f…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xacb0c6…
06-29 19:06:13	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb92ab1…
06-29 16:05:01	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd3e2ce…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd60a3f…
06-29 13:08:34	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xddf7a6…
06-28 09:38:43	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa124e2…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf6dcad…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdba7d7…
06-27 18:49:16	codmw faz lat1 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x715205…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x906264…
06-27 18:05:37	codmw faz lat1 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfeb408…
06-27 18:03:16	codmw faz lat1 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x51ed95…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x978d02…
06-27 02:05:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x198716…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc91e3e…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa065d0…
06-25 22:21:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 shots leroy sane gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d2a72…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x012314…
06-25 11:57:58	cs2 sashi am 2026 06 25 game1	Sashi Esport	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa82fd5…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x899e69…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4a925…
06-25 00:07:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9d0878…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9966f4…
06-24 20:58:26	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaecfc1…
06-24 16:58:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xca251a…
06-24 03:15:11	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdd5508…
06-23 22:01:16	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 assists jude bellingham gte1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc25656…
06-23 21:04:40	wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3aaf4b…
06-23 20:00:52	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f2840…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0c9ee…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87b06d…
06-23 13:18:31	kbo nc lot 2026 06 23	Lotte Giants	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0d4709…
06-23 12:21:56	itf samardz khramts 2026 06 23	Ayline Samardzic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x718eb3…
06-23 01:00:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe703fa…
06-23 00:54:53	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3e7608…
06-22 19:02:17	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdd59d7…
06-21 18:13:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f4b26…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa50ad8…
06-21 13:51:46	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea65c5…
06-21 06:59:20	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners team away 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98dffc…
06-20 22:09:10	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9346fa…
06-20 20:36:25	wttmen kuo qiu 2026 06 20	Qiu	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x390cb0…
06-20 20:06:49	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd3bf2f…
06-20 18:24:01	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x22dd25…
06-20 05:14:19	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1dfd89…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8ea21a…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7bd39e…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdaf9ba…
06-19 08:22:25	val osg dk 2026 06 19	ONSIDE GAMING	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x463cb5…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9bf096…
06-18 10:41:56	cs2 fokus noirve 2026 06 18	FOKUS	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93a3de…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfc243b…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x593ff7…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x776fe0…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb53208…
06-17 16:06:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae3ec0…
06-17 12:13:37	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x35300e…
06-17 08:50:17	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fa3b1…
06-17 06:16:41	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2a846f…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbfd382…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd6636f…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36dda0…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb122af…
06-14 19:32:24	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb6bfe9…
06-14 19:02:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaffab2…
06-14 17:38:04	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x434cfd…
06-13 11:58:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0d1bba…
06-13 09:02:46	cs2 fnc minken 2026 06 13	fnatic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae6e56…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce3642…
06-12 21:34:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc651b1…
06-12 21:07:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf14dc9…
06-12 21:01:31	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd84516…
06-12 20:37:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdb55b7…
06-12 20:26:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51220a…
06-12 20:19:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a2d20…
06-12 20:17:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8bb8bb…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x199ffc…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd88cc9…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x22f069…
06-11 21:13:51	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0b1fc7…
06-11 21:13:28	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6b3c27…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc96eea…
06-11 12:58:13	itf cuenin baroni 2026 06 11 first set total 10pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4419c3…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7b26e…
06-10 20:05:10	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0af6af…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b1bbc…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x722cbb…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x37b947…
06-08 00:06:25	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd6a925…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x884e76…
06-07 20:03:43	codmw lat1 faz 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4e407c…