Hearty-Recipient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

204

Trades

1,110

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-31

last 09-04 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 23% -$1,247

Sports

24% 36% -$675

Other

10% 18% -$381

Tech

5% 17% -$398

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+3,873	$40	0¢	$6	-$34	09-04 14:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	104	$833	6,543	2,910	+3,633	No	-$125	07-17 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:05 UTC	7	$551	1,541	1,541	+0	Down	+$397	07-17 06:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 06:15 UTC	8	$531	1,860	531	+1,329	Up	+$31	07-17 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:30 UTC	4	$447	2,418	375	+2,044	Up	+$147	07-17 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:15 UTC	9	$426	1,669	356	+1,313	Down	+$81	07-17 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:20 UTC	10	$335	1,894	249	+1,645	Up	-$115	07-17 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	8	$327	632	265	+366	Down	+$57	07-17 04:14
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$321	298	298	+0	Knicks	+$179	06-04 02:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	17	$234	8,701	3,877	+4,824	No	-$65	07-22 21:23
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	12	$232	25,111	25,111	+0	open	—	08-18 18:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:45 UTC	9	$225	1,238	0	+1,238	Down	-$225	07-17 06:49
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	8	$205	24,556	20,683	+3,873	open	—	09-04 14:42
Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?	14	$203	8,351	10	+8,341	No	-$203	06-04 18:39
mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	4	$192	444	0	+444	Los Angeles Angels	-$192	06-07 22:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$188	1,204	390	+814	No	-$98	09-04 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:25 UTC	6	$188	713	120	+593	Down	+$18	07-17 04:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$169	1,177	0	+1,177	Yes	-$169	09-04 15:51
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:05 UTC	7	$159	787	0	+787	Up	-$159	07-17 04:09
mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 total 9pt5	17	$158	160	160	+0	Over	+$5	06-07 22:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:15 UTC	7	$155	2,054	0	+2,054	Down	-$155	07-17 06:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	4	$152	571	571	+0	Up	+$42	07-17 06:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 06:15 UTC	3	$150	1,046	0	+1,046	Up	-$150	07-17 06:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:40 UTC	3	$150	1,078	0	+1,078	Down	-$150	07-17 06:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 06:45 UTC	3	$144	208	208	+0	Up	+$44	07-17 06:58
mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 total 9pt5	15	$142	437	0	+437	Over	-$142	06-07 22:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$131	656	0	+656	No	-$131	09-04 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:20 UTC	2	$130	114	114	+0	Up	+$80	07-17 06:24
mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 total 10pt5	10	$123	105	105	+0	Under	+$6	06-07 22:28
mlb nym sd 2026 06 07 total 8pt5	19	$120	131	130	+1	Over	-$18	06-07 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:35 UTC	3	$120	609	0	+609	Down	+$424	07-17 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 15:51:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x67b6ad…
09-04 15:51:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	20¢	$80	0x8a9dac…
09-04 15:50:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	20¢	$51	0xa993d0…
09-04 15:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x8d69f1…
09-04 15:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x750332…
09-04 15:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xce40cb…
09-04 15:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xd32517…
09-04 15:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x3555b2…
09-04 15:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x8e9142…
09-04 15:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x054d9e…
09-04 15:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xd50cf9…
09-04 15:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x085d66…
09-04 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xfec147…
09-04 15:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x84c171…
09-04 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x607753…
09-04 15:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xb144c9…
09-04 15:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x05c3cf…
09-04 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x0e5f63…
09-04 15:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x305174…
09-04 15:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x684420…
09-04 15:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x38c13c…
09-04 15:03:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc00759…
09-04 15:03:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4bf013…
09-04 15:03:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	12¢	$45	0x040aca…
09-04 15:00:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x41d4bc…
09-04 15:00:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	459	14¢	$64	0x064546…
09-04 14:56:33	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0xe6b149…
09-04 14:54:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,204	12¢	$143	0xc6218d…
09-04 14:42:01	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x36fe43…
08-18 19:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	264	1¢	$3	0x1ab231…
08-18 19:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xedb831…
08-18 19:14:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0x4fb50f…
08-18 19:14:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xabd44b…
08-18 19:14:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3e82b0…
08-18 19:13:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	294	0¢	$1	0xf16309…
08-18 19:13:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6f1e88…
08-18 19:12:19	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	687	0¢	$2	0x3909a6…
08-18 19:12:10	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x2dfad9…
08-18 19:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	459	1¢	$5	0x1923c2…
08-18 19:11:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0xa828b9…
08-18 19:10:01	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x3cae3c…
08-18 18:47:34	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	246	1¢	$2	0xf43829…
08-18 18:47:34	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	378	1¢	$3	0x3f3131…
08-18 18:47:12	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	756	0¢	$4	0x174c6d…
08-18 18:42:51	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xe09e1f…
08-18 18:23:06	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	SELL	92	1¢	$1	0x061118…
08-18 18:01:49	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x08398a…
08-18 17:29:52	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x09733f…
08-18 17:19:39	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	800	1¢	$11	0xb288d0…
08-18 17:19:28	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xbdbf62…
08-18 17:13:21	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	464	0¢	$1	0x6b166e…
08-17 16:00:12	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x76f06f…
08-17 16:00:09	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x83a43e…
08-17 15:03:22	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	527	0¢	$1	0x02c460…
08-17 12:20:39	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc7450c…
08-17 12:18:24	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	476	0¢	$0	0x41b452…
08-17 10:43:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa6976f…
08-17 09:05:04	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd53737…
08-17 08:40:09	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd31efd…
08-17 08:40:06	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdf3e1a…
08-17 08:40:06	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xd9fc2c…
08-17 08:34:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe2eab5…
08-17 05:43:54	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x3d5311…
08-17 04:07:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd75e12…
08-17 04:07:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa7b9de…
08-17 04:07:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa3c3fc…
08-17 04:04:12	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1eb4cf…
08-17 04:04:10	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x0b69cd…
08-17 04:00:18	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa35be1…
08-17 03:46:21	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x19081f…
08-17 03:46:19	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x970147…
08-17 03:46:19	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	196	0¢	$0	0x5fb1df…
08-17 03:46:19	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1f8935…
08-17 03:46:12	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	178	0¢	$0	0x55ad86…
08-17 03:46:10	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa93b8a…
08-17 03:46:10	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x76fd6e…
08-17 03:32:04	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa9cc62…
08-16 23:43:54	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x27bbb3…
08-16 21:30:19	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcf4545…
08-16 20:03:34	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8e4cc9…
08-16 20:03:34	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x57e4c7…
08-16 20:03:33	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a6824…
08-16 20:03:33	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7aeff4…
08-16 20:03:33	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x504906…
08-16 20:03:33	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4f59e9…
08-16 12:37:22	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x29320c…
08-16 09:55:49	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x389478…
08-16 09:43:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x93e2c6…
08-16 09:43:52	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x938337…
08-16 08:57:18	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3b4321…
08-16 03:56:34	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x437f14…
08-15 23:56:51	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x23ed5e…
08-15 23:42:54	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x46be35…
08-15 23:39:28	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdf9ea1…
08-15 20:39:36	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x08bde9…
08-15 12:17:01	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb9efe4…
08-15 08:38:46	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa111fc…
08-14 23:07:01	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x589f32…
08-14 18:18:06	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2a3c3f…
08-14 12:52:04	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xb9e92a…