Sardonic-Cynic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-07 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

79% 99% +$22

Politics

14% 90% -$6

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 19:21
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	05-30 15:54
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 16:05
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 01:13
highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 24 25f	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	03-16 04:53
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-19 02:52
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 04:21
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	05-29 16:30
highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 24c	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-17 18:19
will tim kaine vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:25
cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 13:41
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	06-02 20:08
white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 15:18
will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	03-29 15:20
highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-16 12:39
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 19c	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-18 14:25
will progressive bulgaria pb win between 80 84 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-19 19:47
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 22:26
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-12 01:58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:48
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 18:38
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:38
highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:18
will hgni hoydal be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-27 21:02
will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-23 08:09
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-15 10:48
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-29 21:49
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:39:31	Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1b23f5…
07-02 16:24:07	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf28d40…
06-25 13:24:05	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x74d4df…
06-25 12:12:59	Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0f2035…
06-18 13:41:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4e280b…
06-18 08:30:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdd5c14…
06-15 10:48:18	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x26c6a0…
06-12 01:58:28	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x5537e6…
06-11 17:31:40	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x638baa…
06-08 18:38:39	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x07e6be…
06-07 13:53:33	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x70b03b…
06-02 20:08:07	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6224d7…
06-01 19:31:49	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd69edf…
06-01 01:38:46	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe73852…
05-30 15:54:33	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8e0f22…
05-30 12:08:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x364e96…
05-29 16:30:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x50e11a…
05-25 19:38:09	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xcec205…
05-21 01:13:08	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xfa576a…
05-19 23:36:19	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x263da2…
05-19 22:26:14	Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xcf388b…
05-18 00:03:49	Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x597aa8…
05-15 15:15:08	Will Sweden come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x69ae46…
05-12 12:48:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6e5d6e…
05-11 10:41:29	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xd8dd7b…
05-07 17:01:30	Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7229ec…
05-05 16:05:30	Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x5d7a32…
05-04 19:03:32	Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xaf11cb…
04-29 21:49:14	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe3a3fb…
04-26 00:52:20	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0698ba…
04-23 08:09:40	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3fa4a9…
04-22 23:13:56	will mrbeasts video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbb8edb…
04-19 19:47:40	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 80 84 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xca018a…
04-18 09:47:40	will progressive bulgaria pb win between 80 84 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xe6bbf2…
04-13 19:21:15	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb94ebd…
04-13 09:20:11	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xacf0d4…
04-09 04:21:31	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1cf06e…
04-08 13:07:49	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x65459a…
04-05 13:54:13	will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be less than 35m	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x366230…
04-01 06:25:11	will tim kaine vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5dd43f…
03-31 15:18:35	white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd831ac…
03-31 03:39:37	white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xbddffe…
03-30 23:08:51	will russia capture all of ternuvate by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0fa5fe…
03-30 00:01:52	will angus king vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 161	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x44a21f…
03-30 00:01:52	will tim kaine vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x22c02f…
03-29 15:20:16	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd39fb0…
03-28 03:57:27	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2270b7…
03-27 21:02:41	will hgni hoydal be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa2f1e0…
03-27 08:54:45	cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x68fe04…
03-26 16:00:17	cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd9dbf…
03-25 10:56:21	will hgni hoydal be the next lgmaur of the faroe islands following the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4efe68…
03-19 13:35:37	highest temperature in chicago on march 20 2026 78forhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x40a166…
03-19 02:52:51	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3a8f0b…
03-18 15:49:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xeadc70…
03-18 14:25:11	highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 19c	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa1c769…
03-18 01:20:59	highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 19c	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xfbf8c0…
03-18 01:16:09	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x18b8c9…
03-17 21:18:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x375810…
03-17 18:19:07	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 24c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x54472e…
03-17 15:53:05	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x05b0d1…
03-17 13:38:33	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 24c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc081c8…
03-17 13:33:25	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1b591f…
03-17 12:31:13	highest temperature in hong kong on march 17 2026 25c	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9fdd21…
03-17 03:03:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xa4660d…
03-16 12:41:35	highest temperature in singapore on march 17 2026 28c	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x8dc1cf…
03-16 12:39:01	highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x79dee5…
03-16 08:31:09	highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xebc7e8…
03-16 04:53:05	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 24 25f	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x62e78a…
03-16 03:47:35	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 24 25f	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x593d10…
03-16 00:39:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4b662e…
03-16 00:00:33	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc92d73…
03-15 11:27:39	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x799a0c…
03-11 01:55:45	will kelvin buck be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xae7d99…
03-11 01:49:15	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7f9be3…
03-10 18:54:41	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6a55ec…
03-10 18:54:29	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8b5f75…
03-10 09:06:53	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2fda15…
03-10 00:01:55	will war machine be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb8c82b…
03-09 00:20:25	will pacto histrico win 18 20 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 111 678	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xed2303…
03-09 00:00:35	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x86cfdc…
03-09 00:00:33	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdb484d…
03-09 00:00:21	will war machine be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa61cc8…
03-09 00:00:21	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9c6097…
03-09 00:00:19	will kelvin buck be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc13b38…
03-09 00:00:19	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa3756e…
03-07 18:21:15	will pacto histrico win 18 20 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 111 678	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf15d1e…
03-06 16:14:53	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf7a8c8…
03-06 13:37:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd29e35…
03-05 21:58:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x46e601…
03-04 00:00:51	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc4158f…
03-02 23:49:33	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt3	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x191492…
03-02 23:41:33	will bill clinton say massage during his epstein testimony	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x16edd9…
03-02 20:10:33	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 36 37f	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x147825…
03-02 19:40:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdae141…
03-02 19:16:51	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt3	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa2f2eb…
03-02 11:00:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 40 41f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x285a93…
03-02 09:49:55	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x42f841…
03-01 20:38:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x967d5f…
03-01 14:33:35	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x16c48a…
02-28 20:59:59	will russia strike kyiv on february 28 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9cdd49…