Serpentine-Wombat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$994

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

4,086

Trades

6,930

lifetime

Volume

$49.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 80% -$793

Other

4% 64% -$283

Politics

1% 47% -$25

Sports

1% 66% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 22:00 UTC	1	$99	132	0	+132	Down	+$33	01-10 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:45 UTC	4	$98	114	0	+114	Up	+$16	01-11 12:49
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	3	$77	40	40	+0	No	+$3	01-26 17:05
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	3	$77	40	40	+0	No	+$3	01-26 17:05
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	3	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$4	01-26 17:05
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$71	40	40	+0	No	+$2	03-19 07:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$70	40	40	+0	No	+$0	01-26 17:05
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$70	40	40	+0	No	+$1	01-26 17:05
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	4	$68	55	70	-15	Yes	-$23	01-26 17:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$61	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	01-26 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:50 UTC	14	$59	105	0	+105	Up	-$59	03-01 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	11	$59	82	0	+82	Up	+$23	03-02 20:47
bitcoin up or down february 4 3pm et	6	$54	48	19	+29	Down	+$13	02-04 20:55
ethereum up or down february 4 9am et	10	$53	59	41	+19	Down	+$3	02-04 14:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 04:15 UTC	4	$49	55	0	+55	Down	+$6	01-11 04:20
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:15 UTC	4	$49	57	0	+57	Up	+$8	01-11 12:20
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:45 UTC	4	$49	55	0	+55	Up	+$5	01-11 12:50
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:30 UTC	4	$49	56	0	+56	Down	+$7	01-10 12:35
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 22:30 UTC	4	$49	52	0	+52	Up	+$3	01-10 22:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:30 UTC	5	$49	61	0	+61	Down	+$12	01-11 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:15 UTC	4	$49	61	0	+61	Up	+$12	01-11 12:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 17:45 UTC	4	$49	53	0	+53	Down	+$4	01-10 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 23:00 UTC	6	$49	55	0	+55	Up	+$6	01-10 23:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 13:00 UTC	4	$49	56	0	+56	Down	+$7	01-10 13:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:45 UTC	7	$49	60	0	+60	Up	+$11	01-11 12:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 12:30 UTC	1	$49	67	0	+67	Up	-$49	01-11 12:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 22:00 UTC	4	$49	58	0	+58	Down	+$9	01-10 22:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 09:00 UTC	4	$49	61	0	+61	Down	+$12	01-11 09:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 22:45 UTC	4	$49	52	0	+52	Down	+$3	01-10 22:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 09:00 UTC	5	$49	36	21	+15	Down	-$11	02-09 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdcb329…
10-26 08:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1827d2…
10-26 06:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf41457…
10-26 03:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x769335…
10-26 01:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd43d51…
10-25 23:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd590bd…
10-25 23:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfbee85…
10-25 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xefb740…
10-25 21:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0709ac…
10-25 19:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x47f41a…
10-25 15:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ab426…
10-25 14:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3554da…
10-25 12:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x783597…
10-25 11:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2056d0…
10-25 08:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0db284…
10-25 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe302a7…
10-25 06:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5ee9ef…
10-25 04:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfb32e8…
10-25 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17e1bc…
10-25 02:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d5910…
10-25 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0bee4c…
10-24 23:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa08066…
10-24 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9a3318…
10-24 21:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9744cc…
10-24 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x24f15b…
10-24 15:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x22cbde…
10-24 13:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xaccd39…
10-24 09:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0fc02e…
10-24 09:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd2df8b…
10-24 09:09:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-24 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaeb894…
10-24 08:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5ba86b…
10-24 07:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbea484…
10-24 05:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x563143…
10-23 23:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0831db…
10-23 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81586e…
10-23 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd543f8…
10-23 14:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f6633…
10-23 13:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb71024…
10-23 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6e746…
10-23 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x868a6f…
10-23 12:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcdc2fe…
10-23 12:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf53e95…
10-23 11:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x63372f…
10-23 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x71b64d…
10-23 02:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7fa120…
10-23 01:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x187653…
10-23 00:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13f274…
10-23 00:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa6dde…
10-22 15:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa6af3f…
10-22 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a5dfd…
10-22 12:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d44e5…
10-22 08:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb94fc8…
10-22 08:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa63bed…
10-22 08:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb4075f…
10-22 07:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae206b…
10-22 01:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3340db…
10-22 00:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x28ad9b…
10-21 19:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x43a0da…
10-21 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa185c8…
10-21 09:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xada0fc…
10-21 00:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdecd5f…
10-20 23:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8c34e9…
10-20 22:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x169ceb…
10-20 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x36dba7…
10-20 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9596c0…
10-20 13:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x25f8dd…
10-20 13:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x714c74…
10-20 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb883b3…
10-20 12:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x928b04…
10-20 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x713eff…
10-20 08:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf565dc…
10-20 08:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd92980…
10-20 08:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6817d…
10-20 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27eb2b…
10-20 01:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7da46b…
10-20 01:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0a077…
10-20 00:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1960e8…
10-20 00:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73e524…
10-19 23:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x251fb0…
10-19 23:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2742ed…
10-19 22:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x884290…
10-19 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x103fc0…
10-19 14:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x90f609…
10-19 14:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x06f232…
10-19 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xec30c4…
10-19 10:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a9ba7…
10-19 08:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x07f8c5…
10-19 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2600cc…
10-19 02:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1d46d…
10-19 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc66228…
10-19 01:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xacac69…
10-18 21:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf2c2fb…
10-18 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0f9d99…
10-18 20:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6779a5…
10-18 19:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc96d46…
10-18 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x53b825…
10-18 13:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x702dcd…
10-18 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x370a29…
10-18 10:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4f68bb…
10-18 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3524bc…