Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$14,014
Trades
1,582
Unique wallets
278
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-10-20
First seen
2026-10-19
last 10-20 00:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.5¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $5.8K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $13.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 80 | $747 | $7.9K | $7.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 81 | $1.2K | $2.3K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 75 | $273 | $480 | $207 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $68 | $123 | $55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 77 | $523 | $5.3K | $4.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 30 | $103 | $998 | $895 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $6 | $114 | $108 |
| Median | 10 | $12 | $61 | $49 |
| Below median | 58 | $70 | $406 | $337 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 21 | $24 | $168 | $144 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 38 | $265 | $1.5K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $1.3K | $2.4K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Up | +1,201 | $44 | $44 | 19 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +813 | $804 | $804 | 44 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | +812 | $797 | $797 | 15 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +719 | $592 | $592 | 22 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +678 | $411 | $411 | 6 | 10-19 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa33e…7e84 | Up | +618 | $92 | $148 | 3 | 10-19 23:53 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +573 | $476 | $476 | 16 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d2a…fbf3 | Up | +535 | $59 | $59 | 16 | 10-19 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d5f…5ec0 | Down | +519 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-19 23:53 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +485 | $484 | $484 | 5 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +464 | $74 | $74 | 22 | 10-19 23:54 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +411 | $60 | $60 | 14 | 10-19 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Up | +400 | $4 | $4 | 15 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Down | +390 | $303 | $303 | 5 | 10-19 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5339…de31 | Up | +375 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 10-19 23:48 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +371 | $27 | $27 | 10 | 10-19 23:57 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +362 | $284 | $284 | 16 | 10-19 23:49 |
| Cautious-Toreador 0xe309…1433 | Up | +360 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 10-19 23:49 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Up | +360 | $46 | $46 | 7 | 10-19 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +348 | $5 | $5 | 9 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Down | +318 | $251 | $251 | 5 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Up | +318 | $25 | $25 | 12 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Down | +312 | $256 | $256 | 15 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Up | +312 | $29 | $29 | 20 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | +299 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-19 23:53 |
| Several-Leopard 0x52f0…0699 | Up | +287 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 10-19 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +265 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-19 23:58 |
| Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | +251 | $249 | $249 | 5 | 10-20 00:01 |
| Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | +222 | $23 | $23 | 29 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | +212 | $192 | $192 | 22 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | +212 | $22 | $22 | 27 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | +210 | $22 | $22 | 26 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | +210 | $18 | $18 | 28 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +208 | $131 | $131 | 8 | 10-19 23:48 |
| Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | +202 | $180 | $180 | 23 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f | Down | +202 | $148 | $148 | 2 | 10-19 23:49 |
| Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | +200 | $179 | $179 | 23 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | +200 | $182 | $182 | 23 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xebf1…a7c6 | Down | +199 | $163 | $163 | 7 | 10-19 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x172e…714f | Up | +192 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Tired-Departure 0x64c7…985f | Up | +180 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 10-19 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +180 | $140 | $140 | 3 | 10-19 23:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +180 | $56 | $56 | 10 | 10-19 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +155 | $110 | $110 | 9 | 10-19 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c2b…c79b | Down | +150 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 10-19 23:50 |
| Square-Botany 0x7048…2fbc | Down | +143 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6d…7619 | Down | +137 | $106 | $106 | 4 | 10-19 23:53 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +130 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 10-19 23:55 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | +130 | $98 | $98 | 8 | 10-19 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +127 | $89 | $89 | 10 | 10-19 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0b1…4fa1 | Up | +125 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Up | +125 | $15 | $15 | 13 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Up | +124 | $19 | $19 | 17 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +120 | $2 | $2 | 15 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x57b8…8274 | Down | +118 | $84 | $84 | 5 | 10-19 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | +115 | $101 | $101 | 14 | 10-19 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | +113 | $12 | $12 | 24 | 10-19 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe30…eaf5 | Up | +110 | $15 | $15 | 12 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Down | +108 | $89 | $89 | 14 | 10-19 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | +108 | $97 | $97 | 22 | 10-19 23:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 00:01:24 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9b56bf… |
| 10-20 00:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x36b7…79f4 | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9b56bf… |
| 10-19 23:58:26 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | SELL | 245 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb671ae… |
| 10-19 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x360a…8ed6 | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb671ae… |
| 10-19 23:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 265 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb671ae… |
| 10-19 23:57:36 | Wordy-Penguin 0xb4c5…d67e | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0b7bd3… |
| 10-19 23:57:36 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0b7bd3… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x2fd723… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbdcef9… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Down | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0xbdcef9… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x186f44… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fd723… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02aaa5… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Down | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x02aaa5… |
| 10-19 23:57:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x186f44… |
| 10-19 23:57:21 | Defensive-Pawnshop 0x878b…72ec | Down | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5229f9… |
| 10-19 23:57:21 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5229f9… |
| 10-19 23:57:21 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5229f9… |
| 10-19 23:57:21 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5229f9… |
| 10-19 23:56:45 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0xa4ddda… |
| 10-19 23:56:45 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4ddda… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf094a6… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0xf094a6… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x5db552… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5db552… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa6f3fa… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5abd0a… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xb67b…e739 | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd2678f… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30ee14… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd53f…e2b6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x78190f… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5abd0a… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x5abd0a… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5abd0a… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc21ff3… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30ee14… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2678f… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd53f…e2b6 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1ce322… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x81dc…9ece | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1ce322… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78190f… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90f9e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaad231… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd53f…e2b6 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaad231… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd53f…e2b6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc21ff3… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0x90f9e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x30ee14… |
| 10-19 23:56:44 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa6f3fa… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe3cc6b… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2b33… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81eae0… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x99d0…a67e | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3d2b33… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0adcf1… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x81eae0… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe3cc6b… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe3cc6b… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Lovable-Pineapple 0x726b…9daa | Up | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2b33… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x3d2b33… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3d2b33… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81eae0… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0adcf1… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2b33… |
| 10-19 23:56:42 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81eae0… |
| 10-19 23:56:41 | Square-Botany 0x7048…2fbc | Down | BUY | 143 | 99¢ | $141 | 0x142829… |
| 10-19 23:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Up | BUY | 96 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x142829… |
| 10-19 23:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x99d0…a67e | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x142829… |
| 10-19 23:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x9ac2…cad6 | Down | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x142829… |
| 10-19 23:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x2066…7eae | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x8dd755… |
| 10-19 23:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x525e55… |
| 10-19 23:56:38 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x525e55… |
| 10-19 23:56:38 | Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x50ea6a… |
| 10-19 23:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8dd755… |
| 10-19 23:56:38 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Up | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x50ea6a… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:35 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9a159d… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0xe052…4a2c | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Up | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3d52e8… |
| 10-19 23:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e3546… |
| 10-19 23:56:32 | Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x902b40… |
| 10-19 23:56:32 | Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x902b40… |
| 10-19 23:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9fac59… |
| 10-19 23:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x902b40… |
| 10-19 23:56:32 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x902b40… |
| 10-19 23:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x988d34… |