Gleaming-Veil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$2.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-28 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

49% 96% +$4

Politics

30% 90% -$21

Crypto

20% 100% +$4

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	+$0	08-13 03:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	3	$145	73	73	+0	No	+$2	10-05 05:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:37
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	11	$144	72	72	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$134	69	69	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	10-28 11:07
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	3	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	08-31 17:45
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	10-09 08:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$84	94	0	+94	Yes	-$54	10-26 00:09
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$79	80	0	+80	Yes	+$1	08-05 12:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	08-14 16:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	08-13 14:09
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$73	74	0	+74	Yes	+$1	08-17 16:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$73	74	0	+74	No	+$1	08-15 15:24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$72	73	0	+73	No	+$1	09-14 05:10
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	08-20 17:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$68	69	0	+69	No	+$1	08-31 18:49
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$1	06-27 13:03
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	09-22 12:28
grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	1	$58	59	0	+59	Yes	+$1	07-30 10:37
will openais valuation hit high 950b by june 30	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	06-30 04:40
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$50	84	84	+0	open	—	10-17 16:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	09-16 00:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	08-31 13:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-30 01:51
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-14 08:13
googl above 260 on march 31 2026	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	03-31 02:29
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-28 05:27
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	09-17 13:29
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-28 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:07:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xe6bb4c…
10-28 08:25:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xeb3046…
10-26 00:09:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe324df…
10-21 05:05:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x6f475b…
10-17 16:19:14	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	84	30¢	$25	0x6d4a7a…
10-15 02:32:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0x864a21…
10-12 09:21:55	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x36d467…
10-09 08:48:45	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4ecf51…
10-08 17:16:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xcd0568…
10-05 05:47:32	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb032e9…
10-05 05:46:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x3df873…
10-05 01:32:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x05e16c…
10-03 07:03:03	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa08930…
09-30 20:27:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0801ef…
09-27 20:14:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x585fe9…
09-26 05:30:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf097aa…
09-25 04:29:03	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe3f95f…
09-22 12:28:25	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$60	0xd444bd…
09-17 13:29:54	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x64773a…
09-16 00:52:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb28018…
09-15 21:38:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x3613af…
09-14 05:10:19	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x268439…
09-10 19:36:54	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x47b2b5…
09-10 19:34:10	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x66b752…
09-10 04:05:12	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3edcfe…
09-10 03:58:22	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x07c12c…
09-10 03:58:19	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x791412…
09-10 03:58:15	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa08495…
09-10 03:58:12	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2a1380…
09-10 03:58:07	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8be638…
09-10 03:58:06	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xee303b…
09-10 03:58:04	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97bf53…
09-10 03:49:12	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x40389d…
09-07 12:37:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x81ff22…
09-05 21:55:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0x1d4ceb…
09-04 07:23:18	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x30805a…
08-31 18:49:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xb84a7a…
08-31 17:45:18	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xd52947…
08-31 17:28:55	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xca55c3…
08-31 13:41:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf5ade7…
08-29 20:44:30	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbb036b…
08-26 21:08:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x936521…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0xcbaf99…
08-26 08:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0x97f2a7…
08-26 08:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xfd49a9…
08-26 03:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x9750a2…
08-26 03:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x379c86…
08-26 03:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x42b44c…
08-26 03:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x961de8…
08-24 02:46:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x5e936a…
08-22 20:49:36	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x645ecd…
08-21 07:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0x597e66…
08-20 17:29:37	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x9f90d9…
08-20 15:54:21	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3e26d5…
08-17 16:28:31	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xa0f4f3…
08-15 15:24:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xacab94…
08-15 10:52:04	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe234ab…
08-14 16:34:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x442d5b…
08-13 14:09:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb3cbb2…
08-13 03:32:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xac4be5…
08-10 22:32:12	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa6cb83…
08-10 22:19:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$0	0xef5bdc…
08-10 00:10:27	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbae894…
08-08 04:53:07	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x397091…
08-07 07:33:58	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x29683b…
08-05 12:22:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x15950c…
08-05 06:59:41	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd351cb…
07-30 10:37:42	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xc24ce8…
07-29 01:20:53	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x427e87…
07-28 06:18:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b0aca…
07-27 15:03:57	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88333b…
07-26 20:52:00	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2013fc…
07-26 07:43:15	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd5d07…
07-24 01:24:27	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb254eb…
07-23 17:03:24	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3437ea…
07-22 01:10:09	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe0986d…
07-21 12:05:33	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x322e29…
07-20 12:59:57	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd0fbfe…
07-06 04:06:46	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa98895…
06-30 04:40:37	will openais valuation hit high 950b by june 30	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x4e7937…
06-28 14:45:05	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbbfa90…
06-27 21:51:20	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cf21c…
06-27 18:48:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef9e5f…
06-27 13:03:59	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0xb8f226…
06-27 01:30:31	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xecadcd…
05-30 07:50:54	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd44d37…
05-30 01:51:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xca7823…
05-20 06:14:46	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03741b…
05-17 18:16:23	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf2c4f…
05-17 11:14:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcc8d12…
05-14 08:13:22	Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xc6268b…
05-12 03:17:04	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8468b4…
05-10 04:54:20	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f8603…
05-09 23:34:24	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe93134…
05-09 23:03:17	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3e01c1…
05-09 16:15:11	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cf114…
05-08 21:57:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbda0a1…
05-08 18:40:35	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e3f23…
05-08 03:28:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ec549…
05-08 01:28:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc789d…