Moist-Dame 0x58b338…3a653c
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$47.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.63K
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
1,431
Trades
69,961
lifetime
Volume
$23.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$335
Open exposure
$3.72M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 10-27 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
80% 48% +$47,172
Politics
15% 73% -$2,108
Sports
4% 93% +$14,790
Crypto
1% 18% -$12,331
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,386,863 $1,784,064 92¢ $2.21M +$423,784 10-27 09:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,152,425 $419,737 34¢ $397.6K -$22,150 10-24 11:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +486,598 $353,850 74¢ $357.6K +$3,800 10-26 18:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,479,674 $628,123 8¢ $198.4K -$429,749 10-27 10:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -687,329 -$189,868 26¢ $-182142 +$7,726 10-26 18:25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -1,110,628 -$94,953 8¢ $-83297 +$11,656 10-24 17:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +63,300 $57,603 92¢ $58.6K +$949 10-16 14:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +40,416 $28,345 70¢ $28.5K +$148 10-27 09:57
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +26,650 $23,522 94¢ $25.1K +$1,596 10-19 11:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +35,000 $21,584 66¢ $23.3K +$1,691 10-10 14:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +20,512 $20,276 100¢ $20.4K +$164 09-28 21:58
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +19,146 $17,696 99¢ $19.0K +$1,325 10-15 14:36
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +18,686 $17,443 99¢ $18.5K +$1,018 10-18 18:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -21,502 -$14,416 66¢ $-14084 +$332 10-24 02:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +35,000 $13,100 34¢ $11.7K -$1,375 09-21 17:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +38,778 $11,551 30¢ $11.4K -$111 10-27 10:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -1,173,270 -$10,612 1¢ $-8800 +$1,813 10-27 07:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -2,317,936 -$10,932 0¢ $-8113 +$2,820 10-27 07:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -99,026 -$4,896 8¢ $-7427 -$2,531 10-24 17:27
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +19,403 $9,257 36¢ $7.0K -$2,253 10-17 00:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -6,219 -$4,178 92¢ $-5722 -$1,544 10-26 15:19
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes -17,737 -$4,884 32¢ $-5702 -$819 10-17 00:26
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +5,310 $4,702 98¢ $5.2K +$526 10-15 10:32
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +4,400 $4,305 98¢ $4.3K +$9 10-19 00:06
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? No +3,226 $3,126 100¢ $3.2K +$96 10-14 13:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,539 $2,317 96¢ $2.4K +$112 10-14 15:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -2,251,191 -$8,513 0¢ $-2251 +$6,262 10-26 21:57
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes -1,173,928 -$1,715 0¢ $-1761 -$46 10-27 00:14
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +26,640 $3,263 6¢ $1.5K -$1,731 10-19 11:02
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +2,151 $1,290 65¢ $1.4K +$114 10-20 13:39