Hard-To-Find-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

24 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$85

$85 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	+4	$4	99¢	$4	+$0	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	+3	$3	90¢	$3	$-0	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	+5	$5	34¢	$2	$-3	05-06 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd3261f…
05-06 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x84fe3c…
05-06 01:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x0c6d6d…
05-06 01:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x99329c…
05-06 01:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x489560…
05-06 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x632734…
05-06 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5cad9e…
05-05 23:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x805599…
05-05 21:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5c5f9a…
05-05 21:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe7757b…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x85a95c…
05-05 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf3a124…
05-05 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x75b23f…
05-05 19:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb07350…
05-05 18:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce8816…
05-05 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe64e5a…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xbecab0…
05-05 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0580f9…
05-05 02:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1cd868…
05-05 01:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0ea06c…
05-05 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x34be3b…
05-05 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe964bc…
05-04 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x35f71b…
05-04 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x757658…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$3.88K	123	05-06 02:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$12.3K	77	05-06 02:33
Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4	21	$608	67	05-06 02:34
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	20	$539	90	05-06 02:34
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	18	$2.01K	336	05-06 02:34
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	18	$1.38K	44	05-06 02:34
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$835	51	05-06 02:33
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	17	$1.84K	150	05-06 02:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 20:29