Flawed-Chop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

20,681

Trades

65,560

lifetime

Volume

$393.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 01:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 65% -$1,249

Other

3% 55% -$501

Sports

0% 62% +$1

Politics

0% 29% -$2

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 1506 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+35	$30	92¢	$32	+$2	08-25 20:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+36	$5	8¢	$3	-$3	08-25 21:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:00 UTC	28	$3.9K	3,681	3,624	+57	Up	+$7	01-12 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:45 UTC	28	$3.7K	3,775	3,227	+548	Up	-$393	01-12 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:45 UTC	24	$3.6K	3,445	3,391	+54	Up	+$3	01-12 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 01:15 UTC	20	$1.5K	1,066	1,056	+10	Down	+$36	01-12 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 00:00 UTC	38	$1.5K	1,385	1,363	+22	Down	-$32	01-12 00:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 09:00 UTC	26	$1.5K	1,261	1,240	+21	Up	-$42	01-12 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 09:45 UTC	16	$1.3K	1,099	1,081	+18	Down	+$48	01-12 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:00 UTC	15	$1.3K	952	941	+11	Up	+$29	01-13 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 03:00 UTC	8	$1.3K	714	712	+2	Up	-$7	01-12 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 07:45 UTC	128	$1.1K	2,332	0	+2,332	Down	-$53	01-01 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 21:15 UTC	6	$1.0K	574	573	+1	Down	-$41	01-11 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:45 UTC	12	$1.0K	726	717	+9	Up	+$18	01-13 20:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 15:45 UTC	1	$995	1,009	0	+1,009	Up	+$13	01-14 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 00:15 UTC	9	$990	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$10	01-03 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 00:30 UTC	6	$990	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$10	01-03 00:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 14:45 UTC	1	$985	995	0	+995	Up	+$10	01-14 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 05:15 UTC	5	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$10	01-03 05:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 15:30 UTC	2	$975	500	500	+0	Up	-$15	01-17 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:00 UTC	12	$934	528	525	+3	Up	+$10	01-12 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 09:00 UTC	4	$928	482	481	+1	Down	+$0	01-11 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 00:00 UTC	13	$856	993	739	+255	Up	-$117	01-02 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 00:00 UTC	84	$850	1,660	0	+1,660	Up	-$20	01-05 00:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:45 UTC	6	$845	625	617	+8	Up	+$40	01-10 12:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 09:15 UTC	138	$802	1,681	0	+1,681	Down	+$53	01-01 09:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 13:00 UTC	136	$777	1,588	0	+1,588	Up	+$54	01-01 13:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 21:30 UTC	139	$776	1,558	0	+1,558	Down	-$5	01-01 21:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 11:15 UTC	10	$760	561	553	+8	Down	+$18	01-13 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 11:30 UTC	137	$757	1,489	0	+1,489	Down	+$9	01-01 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 01:15 UTC	137	$746	1,506	0	+1,506	Down	-$29	01-02 01:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 15:15 UTC	141	$739	1,597	0	+1,597	Up	-$64	01-01 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1e44be…
10-27 22:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x1191f3…
10-27 22:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xece7aa…
10-27 20:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x71cb05…
10-27 20:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2c131e…
10-27 17:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x379f71…
10-27 15:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbe195b…
10-27 14:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xcf31a7…
10-27 13:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x75e13b…
10-27 03:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb1d1c0…
10-27 01:44:47	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xeb5383…
10-27 01:44:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x2917d2…
10-27 00:37:11	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0748e6…
10-27 00:26:32	trump declassifies new ufo files by november 30 2026 20261026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd88e09…
10-27 00:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x45d51f…
10-27 00:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x56bcf1…
10-27 00:10:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x63343b…
10-27 00:00:33	Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xda1613…
10-26 23:45:15	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x56e667…
10-26 23:42:33	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xba8114…
10-26 23:42:33	Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x34b13c…
10-26 23:42:32	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8188d7…
10-26 23:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd40eb3…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfe657d…
10-26 19:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfd09b2…
10-26 18:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xd038a4…
10-26 15:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf4fb96…
10-26 14:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7cc644…
10-26 13:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9f81d3…
10-26 12:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xa73ae0…
10-26 12:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf89285…
10-26 12:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x687066…
10-25 19:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xce1a9f…
10-25 15:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xdb88f4…
10-25 15:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xfca9fa…
10-25 14:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xf1b419…
10-25 12:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9e7b2f…
10-25 12:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4533ab…
10-25 12:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xae0d8f…
10-24 15:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x015ad2…
10-24 14:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xe0d795…
10-24 14:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7c888f…
10-24 14:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x710d20…
10-24 14:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x3ec0ee…
10-24 14:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x32eabe…
10-24 13:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x983bac…
10-24 13:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf507f6…
10-24 13:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9f0268…
10-24 04:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x573ca0…
10-24 04:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 24?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x883e05…
10-22 05:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 23?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe8459a…
09-06 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd9e042…
09-06 18:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1688b8…
09-06 18:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x7e2780…
09-06 18:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc99e28…
09-06 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8495e7…
09-06 18:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x334ab9…
09-06 18:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x496745…
09-06 17:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x87f3f7…
09-06 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xcde87e…
09-06 17:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc3e204…
09-06 17:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6970bb…
09-06 17:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x830fbf…
09-06 17:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa13b0f…
09-06 17:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5d84bf…
09-06 17:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1dc558…
09-06 17:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xde155b…
09-06 17:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x4e4b82…
09-06 17:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfa6343…
09-06 17:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe25268…
09-06 16:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xad1fab…
09-06 16:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x836804…
09-06 16:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x53d924…
09-06 16:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x0979bc…
09-06 16:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x705819…
09-06 16:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa4c772…
09-06 16:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xefbb90…
09-06 16:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x779a73…
09-06 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2a08e1…
09-06 16:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x960285…
09-06 16:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x0cef13…
09-06 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xadeed4…
09-06 15:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd99e1c…
09-06 15:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x5e4313…
09-06 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x18bd56…
09-06 15:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7429c2…
09-06 15:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6fb995…
09-06 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa2326d…
09-06 15:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe616c5…
09-06 15:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x2f4d11…
09-06 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x55f042…
09-06 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x239149…
09-06 15:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc419a7…
09-06 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb79036…
09-06 14:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xfa4704…
09-06 14:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x1b674d…
09-06 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x451f60…
09-06 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x46d7d1…
09-06 14:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc0f900…
09-06 14:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x690d37…