Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$256

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-25 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

74% 47% -$33

Politics

25% 67% +$7

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?	2	$75	91	91	+0	No	-$75	09-18 04:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$53	34	34	+0	Yes	+$13	02-02 12:01
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	2	$29	38	38	+0	No	+$19	09-02 00:00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	2	$25	31	31	+0	Yes	+$15	09-02 00:00
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	1	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	+$18	01-17 08:35
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	09-02 16:03
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	+$8	03-15 23:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$6	67	0	+67	No	-$6	10-25 23:48
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	09-18 04:57
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	135	0	+135	No	-$5	03-15 23:04
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	03-15 23:07
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	132	0	+132	No	-$5	01-17 08:37
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-02 12:01
will wicked for good win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	25	0	+25	No	-$2	01-17 08:40
will wicked for good win best production design at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	17	0	+17	No	-$2	01-17 08:40
will wicked for good win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	115	0	+115	No	-$1	01-17 08:42
will marty supreme win best casting at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	19	0	+19	No	-$1	03-15 23:09
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$1	0	81	-81	No	+$1	04-30 00:15
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	1	$0	0	28	-28	No	+$0	04-30 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:48:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xeb82dd…
09-18 04:57:36	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x1a6938…
09-18 04:56:16	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x29eff7…
09-17 07:32:33	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	83¢	$75	0x2d0c8b…
09-02 16:03:19	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbaac55…
09-02 00:00:45	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x37f34e…
09-02 00:00:43	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x1332fa…
09-01 23:52:58	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf3ba48…
09-01 18:50:15	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf5995c…
09-01 18:50:09	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xbb7242…
04-30 00:17:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfa0dd3…
04-30 00:15:56	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0x4e8d67…
04-30 00:15:54	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x99e6f8…
03-15 23:09:09	will marty supreme win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe9e659…
03-15 23:07:27	will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbc522d…
03-15 23:04:31	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x594ea5…
03-15 23:04:17	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x07d08b…
02-02 12:01:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xf2a0b0…
02-02 12:01:42	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0142e5…
01-29 18:06:04	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd4ecc3…
01-17 08:42:14	will wicked for good win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x148100…
01-17 08:40:52	will wicked for good win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xcf11b4…
01-17 08:40:46	will wicked for good win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa9e8e3…
01-17 08:37:00	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x2d2372…
01-17 08:35:00	will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x3f98cd…
01-17 08:26:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x646746…