Early-Philosophy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

9,557

Trades

9,890

lifetime

Volume

$48.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-21 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% +$289

Other

0% 96% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$12	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-17 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$12	12	+12	Down	+$0	05-16 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	2	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	06-13 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	07-04 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	07-19 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	07-26 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	07-04 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	07-01 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	06-23 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	09-09 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	09-08 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	06-26 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	08-10 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	07-16 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	10-10 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:00 UTC	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	07-10 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	09-11 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	08-02 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:00 UTC	2	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	08-26 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	10-11 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:00 UTC	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	07-27 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Down	-$9	10-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	08-23 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$8	10	+10	Up	+$2	10-11 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:00 UTC	2	$6	8	+8	Down	+$2	06-05 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Down	+$2	05-16 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 02:35 UTC	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	04-21 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-17 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-24 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:30 UTC	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	06-14 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 19:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd22ce4…
10-21 15:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x26b8db…
10-21 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1ca4e6…
10-21 14:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb23ea3…
10-21 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd060fe…
10-21 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3d46ce…
10-21 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0df09c…
10-21 13:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x580f81…
10-21 12:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6bfaa6…
10-21 12:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1a64d1…
10-21 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x740b9e…
10-21 10:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cfae0…
10-21 07:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd95595…
10-21 07:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x857618…
10-21 05:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0c731b…
10-21 02:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4f9b3…
10-21 01:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa887c9…
10-21 01:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x00e5d4…
10-21 01:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8eb07a…
10-21 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x05a110…
10-21 01:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb44537…
10-21 00:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeedbb5…
10-21 00:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x94a48d…
10-20 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e72ad…
10-20 15:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf535d…
10-20 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4dade2…
10-20 14:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8d32d6…
10-20 14:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x001c38…
10-20 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62c89b…
10-20 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x25fc0e…
10-20 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xf28186…
10-20 13:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x986fb0…
10-20 13:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeaef76…
10-20 13:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe19172…
10-20 12:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3878a6…
10-20 12:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x879c4e…
10-20 12:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x891177…
10-20 11:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x256ac7…
10-20 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe8b769…
10-20 04:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x329469…
10-20 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xab621f…
10-20 00:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x383db5…
10-20 00:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x27b6da…
10-19 18:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4458ed…
10-19 17:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x395a12…
10-19 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x805df7…
10-19 14:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x00df50…
10-19 14:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3aaf6b…
10-19 13:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4718ca…
10-19 13:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x68202a…
10-19 13:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x71b706…
10-19 13:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4bf578…
10-19 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee3662…
10-19 10:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe9ab2d…
10-19 10:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x494cf4…
10-19 10:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x912708…
10-19 07:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x490f35…
10-19 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x199049…
10-19 00:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8b4b6d…
10-19 00:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae734b…
10-19 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc44a8b…
10-18 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ed979…
10-18 23:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x28d195…
10-18 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xeb6820…
10-18 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2f7503…
10-18 20:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe0cee4…
10-18 19:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x15e662…
10-18 19:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfed24b…
10-18 19:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4f9dcb…
10-18 16:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa7a727…
10-18 16:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6481d2…
10-18 16:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa4ba2a…
10-18 15:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86e828…
10-18 14:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x30207f…
10-18 13:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe41aa7…
10-18 13:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd9c752…
10-18 13:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xac110a…
10-18 13:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x82602e…
10-18 12:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc76341…
10-18 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe45d18…
10-18 11:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x316ff2…
10-18 09:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xae04be…
10-18 09:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x265864…
10-18 09:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0580c1…
10-18 07:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18568d…
10-18 06:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x28963e…
10-18 03:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3fc75e…
10-18 03:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x56472c…
10-18 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf25c66…
10-18 01:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee44b8…
10-18 00:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb414fd…
10-17 22:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xde3f88…
10-17 22:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6f0ea2…
10-17 22:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe5c4ce…
10-17 21:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9e782…
10-17 21:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7786a…
10-17 21:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf43e30…
10-17 21:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe05dd7…
10-17 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5d319…
10-17 17:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd86bf7…