Honest-Pasture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

461

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-05 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

9% 50% $-1

Politics

8% 0% $-10

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	1	$279	0	300	-300	open	—	01-21 00:59
clavicular charged by jan 31	1	$175	0	182	-182	open	—	01-02 03:24
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	12	$166	264	231	+33	open	—	02-02 03:14
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	19	$151	136	95	+41	open	—	02-16 22:21
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	1	$120	0	137	-137	open	—	02-02 03:14
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	1	$95	0	100	-100	open	—	01-02 16:34
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	1	$76	0	82	-82	open	—	01-04 03:45
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	01-30 14:53
will don lemon be criminally charged	3	$62	104	104	+0	open	—	01-30 14:53
will hyperliquid hit 34 in january	3	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	01-28 04:39
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	01-26 15:44
will open reach 8 25 in february	1	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	02-20 17:06
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	2	$45	24	24	+0	open	—	01-26 15:45
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	6	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	01-02 16:33
will kanye release bully by january 30	2	$43	16	33	-18	open	—	01-29 02:25
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	02-05 03:34
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-11 23:46
open above 7pt5 on march 6 2026	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	03-01 05:59
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	4	$38	42	0	+42	open	—	02-08 00:09
btc updown 15m 1767413700	4	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	01-03 04:27
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	5	$36	38	19	+19	open	—	01-30 03:43
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	05-15 02:06
will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	01-26 21:20
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	01-14 22:31
will dkiti be played at the super bowl halftime show	2	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	02-04 23:01
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 19	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-20 17:19
will trump say gold medal or gold medallist this week february 22	6	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	02-23 14:05
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$25	81	0	+81	open	—	01-14 22:26
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	01-02 03:22
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-07 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 20:14:23	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x07351e…
07-03 18:42:17	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x6fe505…
07-03 18:39:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf156fb…
06-27 19:55:38	wnba phx tor 2026 06 27	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1636b3…
06-27 19:54:52	wnba atl sea 2026 06 27	Atlanta Dream	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x33d729…
06-25 22:42:34	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x97c480…
06-25 22:36:29	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x09890b…
06-25 22:34:40	mlb oak sf 2026 06 25	Athletics	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7fc7a2…
06-10 21:37:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 21pt5	Spurs	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2fcbb5…
06-10 21:37:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1ca70b…
06-10 21:36:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 196pt5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe9ae57…
06-10 21:36:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 18pt5	Knicks	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xec0464…
06-09 00:31:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 196pt5	Over	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xf73d6b…
06-09 00:30:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 18pt5	Knicks	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xae24e1…
06-09 00:29:42	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0947a4…
06-05 18:33:36	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05 total 14pt5	Under	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x180a83…
06-03 18:36:30	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x361ba2…
06-03 18:36:19	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x361972…
06-03 18:35:21	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8bcaeb…
06-02 04:11:32	Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xab9512…
06-02 04:11:07	Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5da4e2…
06-02 04:10:31	Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x43aea1…
06-02 04:09:17	Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcacd1e…
06-02 04:07:36	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xee5930…
06-02 04:07:06	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb3dd4d…
06-02 04:06:41	Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcb5a7a…
05-30 20:33:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb96579…
05-30 19:39:23	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb557b0…
05-30 18:53:36	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe827cc…
05-30 04:56:15	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x3cc25b…
05-30 04:42:06	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x812261…
05-30 04:30:18	Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc46dc…
05-30 04:27:12	Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5449fb…
05-30 04:26:46	Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x679c1b…
05-30 04:26:09	Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x178b4f…
05-30 04:24:19	Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1a51c2…
05-30 04:23:35	Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9e9a56…
05-30 03:33:06	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x7811d7…
05-30 03:33:02	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1cef94…
05-30 03:32:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xef5331…
05-30 03:32:55	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x43306f…
05-30 02:56:03	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf2543d…
05-30 02:04:19	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x47c871…
05-30 01:21:21	mlb min pit 2026 05 29 total 14pt5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5719cf…
05-30 01:20:57	mlb min pit 2026 05 29 total 14pt5	Under	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x638717…
05-30 01:12:38	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x7c4d73…
05-30 01:11:33	Will Trump say "Trump Arc" or "Arc de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x68bd2a…
05-30 01:11:16	Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0c1bb3…
05-30 01:09:29	Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x11bcd4…
05-30 01:09:17	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5621e8…
05-30 01:08:33	Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b3b8e…
05-30 01:08:21	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x638346…
05-30 01:08:08	Will Trump say "Pig" in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa22af8…
05-30 01:07:54	Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd66355…
05-30 01:07:07	Will Trump say "Rabbit" or "Bunny" in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x29da00…
05-30 01:06:44	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4531ea…
05-30 01:06:27	Will Trump say "Panther" in May?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdfa799…
05-30 01:03:06	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8c0e63…
05-30 00:02:43	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8702e2…
05-29 01:14:43	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xac695b…
05-25 02:28:10	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a1dc8…
05-25 02:27:00	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc3a342…
05-25 02:22:25	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x49171b…
05-23 02:18:16	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc53525…
05-23 02:17:47	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x81eaf9…
05-23 02:17:31	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2fd0da…
05-15 04:48:19	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7a05fa…
05-15 04:45:10	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xad248f…
05-15 04:44:46	Will "Delilah" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x602986…
05-15 04:44:14	Will "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf5eaa6…
05-15 04:44:04	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8cb715…
05-15 04:43:39	Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x36f9f3…
05-15 03:05:29	Will Drake release a surprise album?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf198ff…
05-15 03:00:47	Will Drake release a surprise album?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x874953…
05-15 03:00:40	Will Drake release a surprise album?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8402a9…
05-15 02:21:16	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90d56e…
05-15 02:16:43	Will "Khaled" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x87f261…
05-15 02:16:06	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73dc32…
05-15 02:15:12	Will "Khaled" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0e98c6…
05-15 02:14:51	Will "Khaled" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae2025…
05-15 02:13:58	Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfefd67…
05-15 02:06:55	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x35599f…
05-15 02:05:22	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf19f14…
05-15 01:55:09	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x086e43…
05-15 00:39:44	Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7ba82b…
05-15 00:33:54	Will Drake release a surprise album?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x922fbf…
05-12 04:14:47	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbc16a5…
05-12 04:11:29	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ce489…
05-12 04:04:14	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4842fc…
05-03 22:35:12	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xe6e63c…
05-03 22:34:20	New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun	New York Liberty	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x37e099…
05-03 19:16:50	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xb6136c…
04-27 04:46:26	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x126bea…
04-27 04:46:12	Will Drake feature Lil Durk on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf756fa…
04-27 04:45:54	Will Drake feature 2 Chainz on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f0ba7…
04-27 04:45:38	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x9009f8…
04-27 04:45:04	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdefc2e…
04-27 04:44:38	Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x515d46…
04-27 04:37:08	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x908445…
04-27 04:35:16	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf2ed7d…