Will Trump say "Trump Arc" or "Arc de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in May?
open
Total volume
$1,457
Trades
39
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$108
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-01 15:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.2¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $6
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $999 | $997 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $4 | $332 | $327 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1 | $114 | $113 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $73 | $72 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $43 | $42 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 06-01 14:06 |
| Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | +949 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-01 15:25 |
| Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | +318 | $317 | $317 | 3 | 06-01 12:33 |
| Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | +137 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 06-01 15:25 |
| Red-Monotheism 0x0b97…0efe | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-31 19:25 |
| Gloomy-Wellbeing 0x5042…fcb0 | No | +44 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 05-30 15:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 05-30 19:25 |
| Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-19 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:25 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-19 01:27 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 15:43 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 14:06 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:25 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 19:25 |
| Frivolous-Character 0x761b…e8f7 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 07:37 |
| Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-31 07:37 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 15:49 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d35…fe4f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 08:37 |
| Honest-Pasture 0x5906…c04c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf8f…33db | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 21:41 |
| Worse-Cofactor 0x31b6…3f0e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 21:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 15:25:47 | Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7064c1… |
| 06-01 15:25:47 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7064c1… |
| 06-01 14:06:45 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75cc0c… |
| 06-01 14:06:45 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x75cc0c… |
| 06-01 14:06:45 | Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | BUY | 959 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x75cc0c… |
| 06-01 14:06:45 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75cc0c… |
| 06-01 12:33:02 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 155 | 100¢ | $154 | 0xdd9519… |
| 06-01 12:33:02 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd9519… |
| 06-01 12:28:38 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $81 | 0xddac10… |
| 06-01 12:28:38 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xddac10… |
| 06-01 08:25:32 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a8afd… |
| 06-01 08:25:32 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0x3a8afd… |
| 05-31 21:01:15 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcec464… |
| 05-31 21:01:15 | Worse-Cofactor 0x31b6…3f0e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcec464… |
| 05-31 19:25:30 | Red-Monotheism 0x0b97…0efe | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x61b879… |
| 05-31 19:25:30 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61b879… |
| 05-31 19:25:30 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61b879… |
| 05-31 19:25:30 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61b879… |
| 05-31 19:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61b879… |
| 05-31 07:37:53 | Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa1ff0e… |
| 05-31 07:37:53 | Frivolous-Character 0x761b…e8f7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa1ff0e… |
| 05-30 19:25:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5093f8… |
| 05-30 19:25:41 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5093f8… |
| 05-30 15:43:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf13027… |
| 05-30 15:43:22 | Gloomy-Wellbeing 0x5042…fcb0 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf13027… |
| 05-30 15:43:14 | Gloomy-Wellbeing 0x5042…fcb0 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0xc0fb5a… |
| 05-30 15:43:14 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc0fb5a… |
| 05-30 15:43:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc0fb5a… |
| 05-30 08:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x3d35…fe4f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x290317… |
| 05-30 08:37:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x290317… |
| 05-30 01:11:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x68bd2a… |
| 05-30 01:11:33 | Honest-Pasture 0x5906…c04c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x68bd2a… |
| 05-29 21:41:23 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9ca0dc… |
| 05-29 21:41:23 | (anonymous) 0xcf8f…33db | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9ca0dc… |
| 05-19 01:27:31 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x70a9da… |
| 05-19 01:27:31 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x70a9da… |
| 05-19 01:27:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x70a9da… |
| 05-05 15:49:16 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xcbcfe6… |
| 05-05 15:49:16 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xcbcfe6… |