Flat-Deal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-09 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

79% 100% +$34

Politics

18% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-67

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashire	2	$178	143	143	+0	open	—	05-22 06:52
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	2	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	05-16 18:00
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$143	118	118	+0	open	—	05-16 16:40
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$142	73	73	+0	open	—	05-15 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$136	97	97	+0	open	—	05-15 06:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$130	79	79	+0	open	—	05-12 11:15
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islands	2	$128	98	98	+0	open	—	05-14 06:58
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$126	68	68	+0	No	+$8	05-09 10:02
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$124	177	177	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$119	90	90	+0	open	—	05-12 18:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$113	125	125	+0	open	—	05-19 18:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$113	74	74	+0	open	—	05-12 05:33
T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria: Romania vs Bulgaria	2	$110	59	59	+0	Romania	+$8	05-08 14:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$102	68	68	+0	open	—	05-08 09:54
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$78	48	48	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$18	05-07 12:09
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$67	81	0	+81	Sean Strickland	$-67	05-09 13:01
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	06-01 09:52
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	2	$57	29	29	+0	Pakistan	+$1	05-06 12:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$30	788	788	+0	open	—	05-18 21:05
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$17	410	410	+0	open	—	05-18 21:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$16	253	656	-403	open	—	05-27 09:21
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	1	$12	59	0	+59	open	—	05-17 16:01
Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	2	$9	249	0	+249	open	—	05-23 13:47
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	05-28 09:30
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	06-09 16:18
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-24 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:18:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x62e455…
06-01 09:52:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x921aa0…
06-01 07:49:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	92¢	$32	0x9d4e76…
05-28 09:30:49	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xfdac05…
05-27 09:21:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	546	0¢	$1	0x36587f…
05-26 13:49:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x1fa9b9…
05-26 08:28:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	110	5¢	$5	0xb5fc26…
05-26 07:06:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	110	4¢	$5	0x6d64f5…
05-24 10:29:20	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa61345…
05-23 13:47:39	Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	No	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0x288e1e…
05-23 13:00:02	Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	No	BUY	124	4¢	$4	0xa55ac8…
05-22 06:52:17	T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashire	Surrey	SELL	143	61¢	$87	0xa13139…
05-21 16:59:43	T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashire	Surrey	BUY	143	63¢	$90	0x4063e5…
05-19 18:53:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	76	36¢	$27	0xe7738e…
05-19 13:43:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0x53c043…
05-18 21:05:50	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	410	2¢	$7	0xde8f8c…
05-18 21:05:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	788	2¢	$13	0x02b76f…
05-18 19:05:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	430	2¢	$9	0xb32b94…
05-18 12:15:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	410	2¢	$10	0x94ada9…
05-17 22:11:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x707a65…
05-17 16:01:01	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	REKONIX	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0x066dbb…
05-17 06:04:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$4	0xb998cd…
05-16 18:00:51	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xb263ec…
05-16 17:18:35	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x394b48…
05-16 16:40:58	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	118	61¢	$72	0x39d3eb…
05-16 07:10:28	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	118	61¢	$71	0x3cd58d…
05-15 08:01:45	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x277498…
05-15 06:32:35	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x3843ad…
05-15 06:30:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	97	73¢	$71	0x0ff11c…
05-14 13:10:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	97	67¢	$65	0x781392…
05-14 10:54:26	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	177	38¢	$68	0x36457d…
05-14 07:23:51	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	177	32¢	$57	0x0badc6…
05-14 06:58:06	T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islands	Cook Islands	SELL	98	61¢	$60	0x433719…
05-14 06:12:41	T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islands	Cook Islands	BUY	98	70¢	$68	0xc45d16…
05-12 18:20:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	90	53¢	$48	0xfd3d39…
05-12 17:34:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x55951f…
05-12 11:15:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0x7dd7f1…
05-12 08:48:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	79	72¢	$57	0x5ee79a…
05-12 05:33:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	74	79¢	$59	0x32c24d…
05-11 12:59:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	74	73¢	$54	0xf562e1…
05-09 13:01:26	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	81	82¢	$67	0x495b0f…
05-09 10:02:05	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	68	98¢	$67	0x2bd927…
05-08 17:59:56	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	68	87¢	$59	0x642f98…
05-08 14:30:19	T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria: Romania vs Bulgaria	Romania	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x479d7b…
05-08 13:53:37	T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria: Romania vs Bulgaria	Romania	BUY	59	87¢	$51	0x742f9e…
05-08 09:54:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	68	80¢	$54	0x5f8b0b…
05-07 15:03:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	68	71¢	$48	0xc2cd28…
05-07 12:09:05	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x4245fc…
05-07 11:47:11	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x6a43a3…
05-07 10:46:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x614b6d…
05-06 12:34:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc20e77…
05-06 12:25:30	ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	Pakistan	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2c0c59…
05-06 08:50:02	ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	Pakistan	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xa639d4…