Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 11-01 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

67% 14% -$130

Politics

26% 0% -$25

Tech

7% 50% -$15

Crypto

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	+40	$21	13¢	$5	-$16	10-08 05:32
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1	$2	18¢	$0	-$2	11-01 16:37
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	+1	$0	32¢	$0	$0	10-31 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026	13	$161	120	120	+0	Yes	-$7	08-18 11:58
Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	15	$106	90	76	+14	Yes	-$13	09-24 21:35
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	8	$92	72	71	+0	No	-$14	09-29 08:56
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	7	$84	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	08-22 03:40
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	6	$82	60	60	+0	Yes	-$23	10-01 06:17
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	8	$76	80	80	+0	Yes	-$12	10-01 19:18
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	3	$59	40	20	+20	Yes	+$1	09-30 05:24
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	7	$54	49	48	+1	Yes	-$2	09-26 20:11
Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?	3	$48	26	26	+0	Yes	-$1	08-14 11:58
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	7	$47	120	119	+1	No	-$19	09-23 14:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	8	$45	80	79	+1	No	-$9	09-29 13:53
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	5	$39	60	60	+0	open	—	08-27 15:22
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)	4	$36	40	40	+0	Yes	-$8	09-02 12:50
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	5	$34	60	60	+0	Yes	-$6	09-29 20:26
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-15 22:35
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	12	$28	57	56	+1	No	-$2	10-15 18:49
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	7	$27	80	80	+0	Yes	-$5	09-26 22:28
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	7	$27	67	67	+0	Yes	-$16	09-22 07:09
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	5	$24	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	10-15 21:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	10-08 05:32
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	7	$21	55	54	+1	open	—	11-01 16:37
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 00:00
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in September?	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-25 17:33
Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	3	$17	40	40	+0	Yes	-$11	09-02 06:08
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	2	$15	40	0	+40	No	-$15	09-27 00:55
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 11:24
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 21:31
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?	5	$13	55	20	+35	No	-$7	08-14 16:36
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	2	$12	24	0	+24	Yes	+$11	10-02 09:36
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	10-25 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:37:30	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0xd6eab1…
11-01 07:04:42	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x210a47…
11-01 07:02:36	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xead3c4…
11-01 04:00:16	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x4cc5a5…
11-01 04:00:15	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xe40c6f…
11-01 03:52:48	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xcec6fc…
11-01 03:47:06	Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xdb6553…
10-31 20:57:54	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xe05e94…
10-25 05:05:06	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xa0234c…
10-24 10:52:18	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5c589b…
10-18 05:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x4dd87b…
10-17 22:02:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xfca9d8…
10-17 21:31:14	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x662a9f…
10-17 21:31:00	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x81ceaa…
10-16 11:24:13	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x09049c…
10-16 11:03:00	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd91cf4…
10-16 00:00:31	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xcd340a…
10-15 23:46:49	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb0b3b2…
10-15 23:31:48	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3d47ff…
10-15 23:29:45	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe25b01…
10-15 22:35:36	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x7943e0…
10-15 22:14:38	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb62a0a…
10-15 21:48:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xfbddd2…
10-15 21:22:15	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x23e65c…
10-15 21:22:14	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6a6615…
10-15 21:22:14	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x41b3d2…
10-15 20:43:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x6a73e4…
10-15 18:49:52	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x94a97c…
10-15 18:49:28	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x8586a1…
10-15 18:01:22	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3b27a2…
10-15 18:01:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x53cde5…
10-15 18:01:16	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xfa6de0…
10-15 18:01:16	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xafcfc0…
10-15 18:01:16	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9f4bd2…
10-15 18:01:16	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x5b13a7…
10-15 18:00:34	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x728cc1…
10-15 17:35:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xfdd529…
10-15 17:24:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf345aa…
10-15 17:24:14	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xef6b7e…
10-08 05:32:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x36dfef…
10-08 00:18:44	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x736f66…
10-02 09:36:33	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc20717…
10-02 02:15:20	another gta vi trailer released by october 31	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xfec624…
10-01 19:18:36	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x30ed68…
10-01 18:12:44	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbcdb00…
10-01 17:56:20	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xc91a7a…
10-01 13:23:12	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x57a133…
10-01 13:23:11	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x5f4adb…
10-01 12:29:09	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x2a0fa2…
10-01 12:18:18	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb04cd3…
10-01 08:57:42	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9703f7…
10-01 06:17:35	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0xe412d8…
09-30 16:17:12	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x6cc03e…
09-30 16:09:11	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe4b88c…
09-30 14:41:00	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x51e54d…
09-30 14:06:42	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x81560b…
09-30 12:59:11	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xcb7bfc…
09-30 05:24:32	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xefa260…
09-30 04:46:56	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x39e445…
09-29 22:09:26	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xbbe610…
09-29 20:26:30	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xe6ddc8…
09-29 20:25:02	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0774a2…
09-29 20:19:09	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x91f139…
09-29 19:16:38	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x8ff082…
09-29 16:30:59	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x521072…
09-29 13:53:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	54	18¢	$10	0xaf5958…
09-29 13:53:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x2d79cc…
09-29 13:28:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x40ffe6…
09-29 13:21:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xa12de7…
09-29 13:20:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbbeb18…
09-29 13:19:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x084ef4…
09-29 13:19:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x2496d4…
09-29 13:17:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x582b34…
09-29 08:56:57	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	50¢	$26	0x168546…
09-29 05:20:03	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xaf2ad0…
09-28 21:15:12	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xeeab1a…
09-28 14:22:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x524243…
09-28 13:50:29	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8a9c98…
09-28 11:11:45	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc91a15…
09-28 11:00:03	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x480eb9…
09-28 06:41:36	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb40349…
09-27 00:55:20	Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb5decf…
09-26 23:00:33	Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xff947e…
09-26 22:28:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xec8576…
09-26 22:12:56	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x35cec1…
09-26 22:12:54	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x3e76a7…
09-26 21:12:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xd53910…
09-26 20:19:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xce769e…
09-26 20:14:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xeea21b…
09-26 20:12:21	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x16fa24…
09-26 20:11:38	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x972f70…
09-26 19:51:20	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe3b432…
09-26 13:06:08	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb76b4a…
09-26 01:20:47	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x4d1914…
09-25 21:09:11	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0xd7bc75…
09-25 21:09:11	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x2c0ec9…
09-25 20:34:50	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x27e563…
09-25 17:33:03	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xb3cca8…
09-24 21:35:26	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xfd6b08…
09-24 21:35:24	Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb7746f…