Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

457

Trades

1,464

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-02 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% -$1,420

Crypto

17% 45% +$28

Tech

5% 42% -$301

Politics

4% 25% -$52

Sports

4% 0% -$410

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	24	$391	438	437	+0	open	—	10-24 09:13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$330	1,837	0	+1,837	No	-$330	07-13 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?	3	$329	241	241	+0	Yes	+$129	07-31 06:28
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$256	156	156	+0	Yes	+$56	06-14 03:53
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	2	$247	147	147	+0	No	+$47	06-14 06:05
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	2	$243	143	143	+0	Yes	+$43	06-17 06:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$230	134	134	+0	Yes	+$30	07-31 14:27
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	2	$225	125	125	+0	No	+$25	06-17 02:55
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	2	$210	110	110	+0	Under	+$10	06-14 06:05
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	2	$204	125	125	+0	open	—	08-25 09:59
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	12	$186	209	209	+0	open	—	10-24 10:31
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	9	$181	142	142	+0	open	—	10-31 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	3	$172	121	121	+0	Yes	+$52	08-06 07:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	3	$158	102	102	+0	No	-$3	10-29 20:46
foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	4	$149	1,307	1,307	+0	No	-$52	08-10 01:20
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?	2	$145	125	125	+0	Yes	+$105	06-30 04:10
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	4	$140	8,202	0	+8,202	Yes	-$140	07-08 05:57
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	1	$140	824	0	+824	No	-$140	07-15 13:19
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	9	$138	159	159	+0	open	—	10-24 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?	2	$126	106	106	+0	No	+$86	08-04 08:08
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	3	$120	3,959	0	+3,959	Yes	-$120	07-08 05:57
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 team total away 1pt5	2	$119	69	69	+0	Under	+$19	06-17 06:17
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	2	$119	1,429	372	+1,058	No	+$99	07-06 02:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 15:45 UTC	21	$116	181	181	+0	Down	-$4	06-19 15:59
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	2	$108	343	343	+0	No	-$92	08-10 01:20
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?	2	$101	588	588	+0	No	-$99	06-17 05:16
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	1	$100	625	0	+625	No	-$100	07-19 13:31
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$100	208	0	+208	No	-$100	06-14 09:24
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	556	0	+556	Canada	-$100	06-24 14:18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$100	169	0	+169	No	-$100	06-13 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:35:04	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x1dece4…
11-01 05:32:27	Will ETH/BTC dip to 0.0275 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcc9f70…
10-31 12:03:16	Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Nicolas Acevedo advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x8f39d8…
10-31 12:02:22	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x58a297…
10-31 12:02:15	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x7bd5a1…
10-31 12:02:06	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x2266a8…
10-31 12:01:57	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x4de592…
10-31 12:01:52	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xd91d51…
10-31 12:01:45	Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x7735d2…
10-31 12:01:37	Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x895a23…
10-31 12:01:30	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xbb6c11…
10-31 12:01:22	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xa09c91…
10-31 12:01:13	Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Nicolas Acevedo advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x70c498…
10-31 12:01:13	Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Nicolas Acevedo advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x1b23fb…
10-31 12:01:06	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x2ff095…
10-31 12:01:03	Will ETH/BTC dip to 0.0275 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x5603de…
10-31 12:00:57	Will MetaMask launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x023b55…
10-31 04:32:39	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd0f337…
10-31 01:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x7ced33…
10-30 20:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x07c603…
10-30 18:33:25	Will Ostium launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xe5df91…
10-30 18:33:03	Will Ostium launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xd6cd67…
10-30 18:28:16	Will Felix Protocol launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x158669…
10-30 18:24:21	will felix protocol launch a token by march 31 2027	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x2a1ca2…
10-30 18:17:15	Will Ostium launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd8baac…
10-30 18:08:58	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x0f29e8…
10-30 18:08:54	Will MetaMask launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x2c1124…
10-30 17:53:48	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xdcbead…
10-30 17:53:24	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x419516…
10-30 17:53:22	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x971aaf…
10-30 17:53:22	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the June meeting?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x097c18…
10-30 17:50:25	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	14	55¢	$7	0x048210…
10-30 17:39:48	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x98a163…
10-30 17:12:28	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x6e0003…
10-30 17:04:18	Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4ff83a…
10-30 16:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30?	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xf5831f…
10-30 16:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 30?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc3d700…
10-30 15:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe600b2…
10-30 15:56:58	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xf93035…
10-30 15:56:58	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0xc4d856…
10-30 15:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x75f4ec…
10-30 15:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x6ec6ed…
10-30 15:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x13d3c0…
10-30 15:02:46	Will ETH/BTC dip to 0.0275 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x95a5c1…
10-30 14:40:43	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xa6cb73…
10-30 12:19:12	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x567af7…
10-30 11:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xd248ad…
10-30 11:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x73933d…
10-30 10:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x49a08e…
10-30 10:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5d0a87…
10-30 09:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x64ae2b…
10-30 09:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x5e7d37…
10-30 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xf07879…
10-30 08:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x23c81b…
10-30 08:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x65fa4a…
10-30 08:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x9585d4…
10-30 08:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xae5e75…
10-30 08:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4cc274…
10-30 08:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x3bd05a…
10-30 08:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0x356c47…
10-30 08:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 30?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x231fce…
10-30 08:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xebbfbb…
10-30 08:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x3cc0f6…
10-30 07:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe6eb29…
10-30 07:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xa6f021…
10-30 07:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xce7eaf…
10-30 07:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x3de49a…
10-30 06:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xa0c0bf…
10-30 06:44:01	Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Nicolas Acevedo advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x019f88…
10-30 06:41:15	Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Nicolas Acevedo advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xac425c…
10-30 06:25:51	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2c1110…
10-30 06:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x4b4b17…
10-30 05:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x3032e4…
10-30 03:50:03	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xa0cdb1…
10-30 02:49:42	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xecb374…
10-30 02:49:42	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x9e81ff…
10-30 02:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdd234a…
10-30 02:35:54	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x0e7607…
10-30 02:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x92b0f2…
10-30 02:16:55	will the reserve bank of new zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the february 2027 meeting	No	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x727dfb…
10-30 02:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x09e66f…
10-30 01:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x28951a…
10-30 01:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 30?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x7d40bd…
10-30 01:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0074bc…
10-30 01:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x0f638c…
10-30 01:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe0f3b4…
10-30 01:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xc2259a…
10-30 01:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x64bed9…
10-30 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x98cfb7…
10-30 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x7ba39c…
10-30 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x5e4a3e…
10-30 01:23:21	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x892cd0…
10-30 00:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa12e4d…
10-30 00:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x453073…
10-30 00:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x4672ab…
10-30 00:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x002e61…
10-30 00:13:34	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x08cd2a…
10-30 00:01:37	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x7bb51b…
10-30 00:01:31	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x701918…
10-30 00:01:25	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe62d4b…