Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.61K

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,688

lifetime

Volume

$442.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$36.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

100% 14% -$37,335

Other

0% 0% -$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+242,741	$29,650	14¢	$32.8K	+$3,120	10-23 01:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+14,000	$502	15¢	$2.1K	+$1,598	10-29 16:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+30,000	$2,063	6¢	$1.9K	-$113	10-27 23:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	135	$131.6K	127,480	127,500	-19	Yes	+$122,876	03-01 09:34
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	157	$108.1K	367,409	0	+367,409	No	-$108,129	03-13 00:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	274	$58.7K	244,860	137,223	+107,636	No	-$8,025	03-24 20:21
Iran leadership change by December 31?	103	$29.6K	242,741	0	+242,741	open	—	10-23 01:05
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	10	$20.4K	10,527	10,527	+0	No	+$421	02-01 21:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$15.3K	9,187	9,187	+0	Yes	+$3,026	03-08 23:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$13.0K	64,580	1,793	+62,787	No	-$12,823	03-30 22:47
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$12.6K	7,059	7,059	+0	No	+$1,481	03-08 23:43
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	22	$9.0K	15,935	15,935	+0	No	-$6,280	01-30 00:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$5.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-27 23:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$3.9K	2,204	2,204	+0	Yes	+$159	01-30 03:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	149	$3.6K	78,458	0	+78,458	No	-$3,566	02-18 23:12
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	86	$3.5K	122,610	0	+122,610	No	-$3,546	01-19 07:56
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	336	$3.4K	384,719	0	+384,719	No	-$3,413	02-11 13:00
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	49	$3.4K	146,000	0	+146,000	No	-$3,406	02-06 16:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$2.8K	43,425	43,425	+0	No	-$2,547	01-31 22:11
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	997	$2.2K	335,616	0	+335,616	No	-$2,234	02-12 17:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$2.1K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	10-27 23:02
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$1.9K	0	1,869	-1,869	Yes	-$6	03-01 09:34
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	51	$1.4K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$1,400	03-12 16:15
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	49	$1.1K	194,918	0	+194,918	No	-$1,142	02-07 21:26
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	451	$1.1K	120,000	0	+120,000	No	-$1,080	02-18 22:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	-$978	02-17 20:34
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	293	$983	163,769	0	+163,769	No	-$983	02-14 02:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$818	14,226	7,539	+6,687	No	-$532	01-31 22:22
us forces enter iran by march 7	32	$700	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$700	03-04 06:38
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$560	19,319	0	+19,319	No	-$560	02-25 12:46
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	2	$552	46,026	0	+46,026	No	-$552	02-14 15:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$502	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	10-29 16:33
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	5	$500	62,500	0	+62,500	No	-$500	02-02 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:33:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6,975	4¢	$251	0x9dc8c4…
10-29 16:30:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc5b0ed…
10-29 16:28:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x46cb67…
10-29 16:28:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6,995	4¢	$249	0x8c836e…
10-27 23:02:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30,000	7¢	$2,063	0xbe14cf…
10-27 23:01:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,000	43¢	$2,149	0xecc653…
10-27 11:46:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	235	62¢	$145	0x7eae04…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,005	62¢	$1,235	0xe7418c…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc64bbc…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$185	0xa9970d…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5f7a00…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5b6f94…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4b7847…
10-27 11:46:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x04c4f5…
10-27 11:45:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$185	0x353992…
10-27 11:45:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	111	62¢	$69	0x4fb8fd…
10-27 11:45:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	147	62¢	$90	0xeae655…
10-27 11:45:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,877	61¢	$1,153	0xbd6497…
10-23 01:05:18	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	439	12¢	$53	0x66e256…
10-22 16:59:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xce0e8c…
10-22 15:05:20	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb871fa…
10-22 01:13:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0xee1fba…
10-21 19:39:17	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x4df62d…
10-21 19:17:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x36c329…
10-21 17:55:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	73	12¢	$9	0x719bbc…
10-21 17:52:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x3cf2d9…
10-21 17:23:32	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x774041…
10-21 17:23:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x8be2a3…
10-21 17:16:56	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x9e1b63…
10-21 17:14:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xd3d3e7…
10-21 17:14:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	118	12¢	$14	0x5001a5…
10-21 17:14:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x1e2a21…
10-21 17:14:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x691c34…
10-21 17:14:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x1fe26b…
10-21 17:14:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9,408	12¢	$1,129	0x16b39a…
10-21 08:17:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19,198	14¢	$2,688	0xabc4a8…
10-21 08:12:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xc599cc…
10-21 08:08:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xc43906…
10-21 08:07:35	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	14¢	$700	0xf4787e…
10-21 07:32:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x68272b…
10-21 07:29:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	14¢	$210	0xc03272…
10-21 07:12:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3b548f…
10-21 07:11:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x1a21fd…
10-21 07:10:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	14¢	$1,400	0xcf7afb…
10-21 07:10:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,729	14¢	$382	0x2426f5…
10-21 07:10:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x1e581a…
10-21 07:10:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20,000	14¢	$2,800	0x8c8d9e…
10-21 06:36:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x98aa5d…
10-21 06:17:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xd09e8c…
10-21 03:54:00	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x3fb900…
10-20 23:46:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x47e5a4…
10-20 23:36:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,347	14¢	$189	0x8bae2d…
10-20 23:36:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x695707…
10-20 23:36:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14,701	14¢	$2,044	0xf0fa55…
10-20 23:36:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x6eb293…
10-02 18:00:20	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15,068	12¢	$1,808	0xc2a2f4…
10-02 17:34:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xe11c5d…
10-02 17:33:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	256	12¢	$31	0x06ae43…
10-02 17:33:35	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	151	12¢	$18	0xf90d0d…
10-02 17:33:21	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x130316…
10-02 17:33:20	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x92cf21…
10-02 17:33:18	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x55503b…
10-02 17:33:15	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x28f265…
10-02 17:33:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6631b8…
10-02 17:33:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	449	12¢	$54	0x9a90fc…
10-02 17:33:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,427	12¢	$171	0x8f664a…
10-02 17:33:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x8329ba…
10-02 17:33:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	149	12¢	$18	0x3f520f…
10-02 17:33:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	12¢	$11	0x2da1d4…
10-02 17:33:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x047ba1…
10-02 17:33:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0xfe0242…
10-02 17:33:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0xb17c37…
10-02 17:33:05	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	202	12¢	$24	0x43ecab…
10-02 17:33:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb16ade…
10-02 17:33:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31,740	12¢	$3,809	0xabecf8…
10-02 17:33:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	64	12¢	$8	0x4ac82a…
10-02 01:21:38	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,917	11¢	$211	0x0c33c3…
10-02 01:16:35	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x0d7658…
10-01 20:45:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x81a46b…
10-01 19:39:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x312a93…
10-01 18:44:00	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	195	11¢	$21	0x11a64e…
10-01 17:47:59	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x08210f…
10-01 16:33:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	433	11¢	$48	0xa397ea…
10-01 14:50:32	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0e81d2…
10-01 14:03:32	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe64c91…
10-01 12:52:44	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	11¢	$220	0xfc8a7f…
10-01 10:24:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x5694c9…
10-01 07:53:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,247	11¢	$247	0x83973a…
10-01 07:46:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xc7c28f…
10-01 06:53:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	11¢	$550	0x579403…
10-01 06:21:23	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x1bc9e1…
09-30 18:59:44	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x5aadfd…
09-30 14:49:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	884	11¢	$97	0x541d8b…
09-30 14:49:17	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10,927	12¢	$1,311	0x05554e…
09-30 10:46:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0xad1cc8…
09-30 09:36:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x4fc6c7…
09-30 07:31:27	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x7017f8…
09-30 06:34:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	11¢	$33	0xd4c931…
09-30 04:10:11	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x2bc2cd…
09-30 02:33:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	786	11¢	$86	0x6de81b…