Crafty-Package — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$651

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-15 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 60% +$250

Other

16% 100% +$0

Politics

11% 100% +$400

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$999	1,002	504	+498	Down	$-1	05-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	9	$695	434	434	+0	Down	+$55	05-13 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$500	704	0	+704	Up	+$204	05-13 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$458	897	0	+897	open	—	06-15 22:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	13	$204	655	107	+548	Yes	+$400	04-18 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$133	648	0	+648	Down	$-133	05-13 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	9	$85	710	0	+710	Up	+$125	05-13 15:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	04-01 10:58
will trump post peace through strength on truth social this week 631	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-24 22:00
will trump say make america great again this week march 29	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	03-24 22:00
trump approval up or down this week 394	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-27 22:12
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-13 14:45
trump out as president by march 31	3	$14	1,880	1,547	+333	open	—	03-27 22:11
will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	1	$14	43	0	+43	open	—	03-24 22:02
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-26 10:35
Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 15:07
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$7	7,190	0	+7,190	open	—	04-15 20:54
will trump post cnn fake news or fake news cnn on truth social this week	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-23 23:59
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	06-12 04:43
will trump post nato on truth social this week	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-24 00:00
will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 29	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-23 23:52
will trump say gay this week march 29	1	$4	19	0	+19	open	—	03-23 23:56
Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	3	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 15:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$2	16	0	+16	open	—	04-16 00:13
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-15 15:02
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	03-24 22:07
will elon musk pay tsa salaries	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	03-24 00:07
will india join the board of peace	1	$1	23	0	+23	open	—	03-23 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 22:56:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0x4f16bd…
06-14 20:51:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	202	47¢	$95	0xb0140b…
06-12 04:43:54	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x0373d2…
06-12 04:40:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x713fca…
06-12 04:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	464	56¢	$260	0x0484a8…
06-12 04:37:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x654806…
05-13 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x59d498…
05-13 15:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xd3a62f…
05-13 15:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0xc01460…
05-13 15:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x02ac9e…
05-13 15:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xcb86dd…
05-13 15:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	504	99¢	$499	0x55a73d…
05-13 15:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x827924…
05-13 15:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x58a594…
05-13 15:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x6836b8…
05-13 15:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	253	40¢	$100	0xd47183…
05-13 15:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xb652c7…
05-13 15:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	234	99¢	$232	0x163624…
05-13 15:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x768cdf…
05-13 15:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf2fc5b…
05-13 15:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5bd0ff…
05-13 15:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x22ba2a…
05-13 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	199	72¢	$143	0x241eb2…
05-13 15:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x539544…
05-13 15:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8420ef…
05-13 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3bccd7…
05-13 15:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0bf627…
05-13 15:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0xaa8324…
05-13 15:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x009fdd…
05-13 15:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x118f95…
05-13 15:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9b2188…
05-13 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdb5854…
05-13 14:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcf1b21…
05-13 14:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x2f8246…
05-13 14:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x30c5b2…
05-13 14:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3785a9…
05-13 14:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x60b1ee…
05-13 14:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb70844…
05-13 14:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc964d0…
05-13 14:45:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xcaee26…
04-18 04:15:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	26¢	$30	0x1b06f5…
04-16 00:13:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xdda5f8…
04-15 20:54:26	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7,190	0¢	$7	0x28eb93…
04-15 20:54:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0xc6346e…
04-15 16:26:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xe84768…
04-15 15:08:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x12f63a…
04-15 15:07:54	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x3876bc…
04-15 15:07:08	Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x21b29f…
04-15 15:04:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xef7883…
04-15 15:02:12	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x308f3d…
04-15 14:58:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0xa20e1f…
04-15 14:57:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xcbac35…
04-15 14:57:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x2f0bdb…
04-15 14:56:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x1e621f…
04-15 14:56:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0xce90e2…
04-15 14:55:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	248	27¢	$67	0x3b7ca0…
04-14 17:24:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x0eeb89…
04-14 17:08:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x99fa79…
04-14 17:04:44	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x41738c…
04-12 00:25:01	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x19e126…
04-12 00:24:53	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x15bd2d…
04-12 00:24:27	Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6d3475…
04-01 10:58:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x7fd8d5…
03-27 22:12:53	trump approval up or down this week 394	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x63bdcd…
03-27 22:11:13	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1012cb…
03-26 10:35:45	will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xd926e9…
03-25 21:01:57	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,547	0¢	$3	0x35a6cf…
03-24 22:19:05	trump approval up or down this week 394	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe9b277…
03-24 22:07:13	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x94f24d…
03-24 22:02:15	will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	Yes	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x7e7653…
03-24 22:00:51	will trump post peace through strength on truth social this week 631	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x94ac2f…
03-24 22:00:41	will trump say make america great again this week march 29	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x76edcf…
03-24 00:07:59	will elon musk pay tsa salaries	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x19c070…
03-24 00:00:55	will trump post nato on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3e2950…
03-23 23:59:17	will trump post cnn fake news or fake news cnn on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1078a4…
03-23 23:58:43	will trump post peace through strength on truth social this week 631	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf56140…
03-23 23:56:23	will trump say gay this week march 29	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xe3bf22…
03-23 23:52:23	will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 29	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf7c282…
03-23 23:51:47	will trump say make america great again this week march 29	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x28d972…
03-23 23:50:55	will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x27a4f4…
03-23 23:50:13	will india join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3efabb…
03-23 23:33:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x390dd3…
03-23 23:30:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9bd2c2…
03-23 23:28:49	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,547	1¢	$10	0xb033cb…