(anonymous) 0x5965ea…698b0a Create alert
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
235
Trades
713
lifetime
Volume
$3.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$64
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 11-02 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
41% 63% +$4
Politics
34% 73% +$2
Crypto
15% 54% -$43
Tech
7% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 $0 10-30 01:26
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? No +6 $2 94¢ $6 +$4 10-30 13:25
Will Meta have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-02 09:52
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $5 +$1 10-30 17:41
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $3 81¢ $4 +$1 11-01 16:33
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? No +6 $2 72¢ $4 +$2 10-30 15:24
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +6 $1 63¢ $4 +$3 10-31 11:39
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +21 $4 19¢ $4 +$0 10-31 18:41
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +5 $4 61¢ $3 $0 10-30 10:18
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 10-31 23:27
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +5 $3 52¢ $3 -$1 10-31 11:54
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? No +6 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 10-30 15:26
Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? No +5 $3 36¢ $2 -$1 11-01 22:53
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? No +5 $3 38¢ $2 -$1 10-30 00:11
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +6 $4 29¢ $2 -$2 10-31 18:04
Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-30 12:03
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $2 +$0 10-31 15:40
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? No +6 $1 24¢ $1 $0 11-02 10:09
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? No +6 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-30 14:57
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No +6 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 10-30 14:51
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +6 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-31 21:52
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? Yes +6 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 11-02 09:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +6 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-30 00:00